Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, paweather said: Good stuff not the monster but not bad you guys will be getting in a couple of weeks but a teaser The Paweather Mid January Hecs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: The Paweather Mid January Hecs. Paweather has a sore stomach THANKS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 15 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Hmmmmm wonder why it would be struggling to convert the precip to snow, since there aren't any temp issues throughout the column?? Is it just me or has the Ukie been struggling more than what it used to in the past? Always thought it was a pretty good model, at least for SLP locations and path and whatnot, perhaps not as much on the precip side? Used to be that the Ukie almost always was in line with what the Euro showed, but no more. Last year he Ukie was erratically bad and this year it looks like more of the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Nice icing event Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, paweather said: Nice icing event Sunday Does precipitation make it to northern pa in that one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, Wmsptwx said: Does precipitation make it to northern pa in that one? Sure does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 23 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Why does it just dry up lol. 22 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Nashville about to be beating us lol 10 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: 1.2 lock it in! You did get close to 50" last winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 14 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: 1.2 lock it in! Williamsport for the win! 5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Used to be that the Ukie almost always was in line with what the Euro showed, but no more. Last year he Ukie was erratically bad and this year it looks like more of the same. Thanks, and agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 What’s best to use for actual ground temps on models. 2m? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 4 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: What’s best to use for actual ground temps on models. 2m? That is pretty much the only thing to use that I know of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 17 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: You did get close to 50" last winter... lol don’t get all huffy I barely even said anything. Enjoy the advisory snow, looks like it’s going to stick around at least for awhile depending on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 14 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: What’s best to use for actual ground temps on models. 2m? Yes, the one and only thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, Wmsptwx said: lol don’t get all huffy I barely even said anything. Enjoy the advisory snow, looks like it’s going to stick around at least for awhile depending on Sunday. Huffy? Not even close. You have had a tendency in the past to go on negative runs and there was a quick succession of posts from you headed that way. I just wanted to remind you that you cleaned up last year and to keep everything in perspective. I'm sorry if I came across in a bad way. Truly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 16 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: What’s best to use for actual ground temps on models. 2m? Another comment. The Nam 2M has been too cool on a lot of different kinds of weather days for months now. Not sure why. A fully cloudy/rainy day has not been as bad but on any day where sun or WAA was involved, it was too cool. This includes the Cad protected areas of the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Do I have a chance before I leave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Euro is cold run with trough in East with reinforcing cold fronts. Storm brewing at hr 198 as cold retreats 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Another comment. The Nam 2M has been too cool on a lot of different kinds of weather days for months now. Not sure why. A fully cloudy/rainy day has not been as bad but on any day where sun or WAA was involved, it was too cool. This includes the Cad protected areas of the LSV. Nothing like the lows on the Canadian, which seems to pretty much assume perfect radiational cooling conditions basically every night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Thanks for the 2m info. Kinda figured but I’m new to the model world Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, paweather said: Do I have a chance before I leave Is that a Miller A inbound or hybrid 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Is that a Miller A inbound or hybrid Not sure yet Cold air is retreating though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, paweather said: Not sure yet Not coming together at 216. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 5 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Euro is cold run with trough in East with reinforcing cold fronts. Storm brewing at hr 198 as cold retreats Verbatim there’s a nice little inch or two of bonus snow for some out ahead of that storm. Not saying it’ll happen, but I’d take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 11 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Nothing like the lows on the Canadian, which seems to pretty much assume perfect radiational cooling conditions basically every night. My comment was for the highs on the nam. The lows on the Rgem/CMC, have been pretty decent. GFS, Nam, Hrrr usually too warm. IMBY thing I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Interesting at 240 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, paweather said: Interesting at 240 PAWeather--->FLWeather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Festus Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 WWA issued for Adams, York and Lancaster. 2 - 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: PAWeather--->FLWeather Only leaving at 11:42am If this things come in before that cancellation! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, Festus said: WWA issued for Adams, York and Lancaster. 2 - 4". Does that mean I am getting a WSW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Does that mean I am getting a WSW? They went all in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, Festus said: WWA issued for Adams, York and Lancaster. 2 - 4". 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Does that mean I am getting a WSW? MU's take: Snow will overspread the Lower Susquehanna Valley between ~ 7 and 11 p.m. Thursday evening and end around or shortly before daybreak Friday. I expect a general 2-4 inches across the region, but 5-6 inches is possible in the higher terrain of southern York and LanCo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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