Bubbler86 Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 Just now, paweather said: Snow totals? Just added them to my previous post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Storm basically minors out/starts to transfer to the coast going into Wed evening. On the plus side, there is no strong surge of warm air. But not a lot of qpf for PA. I'll take 3" but was hoping more heavier as it showed yesterday 4-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 Bub thanks for the updates! I’ll see what we’re showing Sunday and then maybe get excited. Was hoping for a 3-5” type snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 46 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: And when do they punt New Year's? I think it's time to punt the lot. This feels like 2012. I think that was the year we had basically nothing. 3 days into met winter is no time to punt anything. You were awake last year correct. Odds can be defied. We all like quick starts and pray for endless days of snow, but, like many other times, we just have to be patient. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 7 minutes ago, pawatch said: Bub thanks for the updates! I’ll see what we’re showing Sunday and then maybe get excited. Was hoping for a 3-5” type snow. Sure, totally different evolution this time. Energy seems split keeping thins further south and less moisture laden as a second SLP forms on the front well to our south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Sure, totally different evolution this time. Energy seems split keeping thins further south and less moisture laden as a second SLP forms on the front well to our south. Nothing like a southern slider and then 50 deg here waiting for the next cold front to wash rinse repeat..right. We saw this several times last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 7 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Nothing like a southern slider and then 50 deg here waiting for the next cold front to wash rinse repeat..right. We saw this several times last year. How much for Shortpump. In all seriousness we really do have a full suite of solutions here. GFS is still amped. UKIE and Icon focus on the first piece of energy but slides below us (good times). Euro and CMC both shows signs of a second system forming that keeps the whole deal minimized for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: How much for Shortpump. In all seriousness we really do have a full suite of solutions here. GFS is still amped. UKIE and Icon focus on the first piece of energy but slides below us (good times). Euro and CMC both shows signs of a second system forming that keeps the whole deal minimized for us. start throwing darts Bubbler 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: How much for Shortpump. In all seriousness we really do have a full suite of solutions here. GFS is still amped. UKIE and Icon focus on the first piece of energy but slides below us (good times). Euro and CMC both shows signs of a second system forming that keeps the whole deal minimized for us. Euro jams that weekend cutter through the Midwest and ensures the warm weekend everyone else is on board with, though it’s quite cold on the back end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 4 minutes ago, sauss06 said: start throwing darts Bubbler You may have started a new theme for the season. 'At least were are throwing darts' to indicate something is on the map. Nut is posting, Blizz top 4, etc...winter is here! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Euro jams that weekend cutter through the Midwest and ensures the warm weekend everyone else is on board with, though it’s quite cold on the back end. The 510 line makes its first LSV appearance at 240. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: You may have started a new theme for the season. 'At least were are throwing darts' to indicate something is on the map. Nut is posting, Blizz top 4, etc...winter is here! All we need now is for Williamsport to stop in and tell us it's going to miss south. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: All we need now is for Williamsport to stop in and tell us it's going to miss south. lol Now is his time with the Euro hot off the presses. . Plus Michigan is in the CFP at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 The GFS makes more sense than the Euro I think - it follows recent patterns. The Euronhas struggled mightily this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Now is his time with the Euro hot off the presses. . Plus Michigan is in the CFP at the moment. Don't forget the resurgence of the New England Patriots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 5 minutes ago, canderson said: The GFS makes more sense than the Euro I think - it follows recent patterns. The Euronhas struggled mightily this year. The Euro has struggled mightily since it's "upgrade" a few years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 8 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: The Euro has struggled mightily since it's "upgrade" a few years ago. This is what I don't get about the continued worship of the Euro. Ever since it's upgrade, it's been pretty bad and the GFS, while not being at a Euro during Sandy level of proficiency, has been pretty solid. We don't like that because it gives us bad solutions, but this "King Euro" shtick needs to be retired. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 37 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: How much for Shortpump. In all seriousness we really do have a full suite of solutions here. GFS is still amped. UKIE and Icon focus on the first piece of energy but slides below us (good times). Euro and CMC both shows signs of a second system forming that keeps the whole deal minimized for us. Good news is that its not going poof....so hey, maybe we sneak one in before we get the shorts out......(or for some, just keep em on). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: Good news is that its not going poof....so hey, maybe we sneak one in before we get the shorts out......(or for some, just keep em on). Sweatshirts and heater for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 13 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Eps 6 hour precip EPS looking good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 28 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The 510 line makes its first LSV appearance at 240. dude, if the Euro wants the crown back, its gotta earn it. If this next week gig happens, it will help for sure. Historically when Euro/CMC/UKie are seeing something similar, it raises ones eyebrow, so what the heck. I'll be happy to wait a few more days before closing the shades, and then hope that they aren't closed for long. December snow is my favorite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 16 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Eps 6 hour precip Gotta say thats a nice look, but HP location is gonna be critical. me thinks verbatim, thin strip of decent snows (but some to the south get on the board). OTOH if the HP scoots too soon (GFS)....it's coldish tears falling from the sky. Nothin there to anchor it, but hey, timing IS everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 3 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Gotta say thats a nice look, but HP location is gonna be critical. me thinks verbatim, thin strip of decent snows (but some to the south get on the board). OTOH if the HP scoots too soon (GFS)....it's coldish tears falling from the sky. Nothin there to anchor it, but hey, timing IS everything. GFS is wrong it has to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 11 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Gotta say thats a nice look, but HP location is gonna be critical. me thinks verbatim, thin strip of decent snows (but some to the south get on the board). OTOH if the HP scoots too soon (GFS)....it's coldish tears falling from the sky. Nothin there to anchor it, but hey, timing IS everything. Trying to think when we were successfully with a HP progression like this and drawing a blank, honestly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 45 minutes ago, pasnownut said: dude, if the Euro wants the crown back, its gotta earn it. If this next week gig happens, it will help for sure. Historically when Euro/CMC/UKie are seeing something similar, it raises ones eyebrow, so what the heck. I'll be happy to wait a few more days before closing the shades, and then hope that they aren't closed for long. December snow is my favorite. You were not around much in the summer, guy, but I have been a vocal dissenter of the Euro but try to do it without insulting anyone who does not agree. I do not like when some of the chicken no littles in the MA bash the Nam because they read someone else doing it. But to me its just another suite to talk about and compare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 For what it’s worth, CPC’s week 3-4 outlook is . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 42 minutes ago, canderson said: Trying to think when we were successfully with a HP progression like this and drawing a blank, honestly. what loop are you looking at?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 29 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Thread the needle most likely for those wanting a advisory event . I did like seeing the latest Eps trend the mega low to the north of our high a bit further south in the Labrador Sea ...as to help stall the escape of our high a bit more. Yeah, thats gonna be the way to the promise land. With no help from AO, possible neutralish look on NAO for this timeframe could support HP being a bit further south doing its "dirty work" and helping some of us out. I'm keying on NAO as it can come and go in short notice, so models do have a chance at further correcting based on that alone IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 25 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: You were not around much in the summer, guy, but I have been a vocal dissenter of the Euro but try to do it without insulting anyone who does not agree. I do not like when some of the chicken no littles in the MA bash the Nam because they read someone else doing it. But to me its just another suite to talk about and compare. lol's. Was just a comment, and not a pointed one whatsover. All good. Carry on pal. Headed home for happy hour....give me something to drink in celebration over (other than the friggin week being over). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 34 minutes ago, pasnownut said: what loop are you looking at?? I wasn't paying attention to the hour ... go figure lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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