Bubbler86 Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 Just now, paweather said: Thanks JB! I hear Mike has a similar workout regime to JB as well! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 3 minutes ago, paweather said: Thanks JB! Always got time to drop that line in when it works. LOL 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I hear Mike has a similar workout regime to JB as well! One quick glance at me and you'll refute your own statement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Sign me up for the Ukie . No time to post excellent EURO to follow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 Just now, losetoa6 said: Sign me up for the Ukie . No time to post How much for Philly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 CMC, for the Mid Week system, is just like the Ukie except right where we want it...sliding by to our south at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 16 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I hear Mike has a similar workout regime to JB as well! Shoves steroids up his ass? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 We warmup at the end of the GFS run AGAIN! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 46 minutes ago, paweather said: GFS is getting cold again on the 13th. Transient cold shots much the same as we are seeing now. We need wholesale changes discussed yesterday to get cold to hold. Sorry, just not gonna do it in current view. Yes, like next week, there can be well timed events to keep hope alive, but verbatim, your cold on the 13th is replaced w/ SE flow on the 15th w/ pig ridge. As much as I HATE being a Debbie, I'm just trying to temper hopes and expectations for a little while. There absolutely can be an event that gets us and everyone can roast the hell outta me. No problem, but as sad as it is to type it, I'm standing where I am until larger changes start to show upstream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 16 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: CMC, for the Mid Week system, is just like the Ukie except right where we want it...sliding by to our south at the moment. CMC way south and east we need a jump north on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: Transient cold shots much the same as we are seeing now. We need wholesale changes discussed yesterday to get cold to hold. Sorry, just not gonna do it in current view. Yes, like next week, there can be well timed events to keep hope alive, but verbatim, your cold on the 13th is replaced w/ SE flow on the 15th w/ pig ridge. As much as I HATE being a Debbie, I'm just trying to temper hopes and expectations for a little while. There absolutely can be an event that gets us and everyone can roast the hell outta me. No problem, but as sad as it is to type it, I'm standing where I am until larger changes start to show upstream. Yes it disappear with the SE ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 6 minutes ago, paweather said: CMC way south and east we need a jump north on this run. That was what I was alluding too...where we want it for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 6 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Transient cold shots much the same as we are seeing now. We need wholesale changes discussed yesterday to get cold to hold. Sorry, just not gonna do it in current view. Yes, like next week, there can be well timed events to keep hope alive, but verbatim, your cold on the 13th is replaced w/ SE flow on the 15th w/ pig ridge. As much as I HATE being a Debbie, I'm just trying to temper hopes and expectations for a little while. There absolutely can be an event that gets us and everyone can roast the hell outta me. No problem, but as sad as it is to type it, I'm standing where I am until larger changes start to show upstream. I think you and I have temporarily taken on each other's personalities. Truly, there is little to be excited about for wintry weather anytime soon. Pattern looks putrid for snow lovers, that's for sure. I've been watching this setup for next week and thinking "well...why not...there ain't nothing else to look at anytime soon" kind of thing. Whether we get anything wintry or not next week, this month will likely go down as well above normal in the temp department, and likely below for snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I think you and I have temporarily taken on each other's personalities. Truly, there is little to be excited about for wintry weather anytime soon. Pattern looks putrid for snow lovers, that's for sure. I've been watching this setup for next week and thinking "well...why not...there ain't nothing else to look at anytime soon" kind of thing. Whether we get anything wintry or not next week, this month will likely go down as well above normal in the temp department, and likely below for snowfall. I was wondering if the +8 had a shot but recent runs are tempering it a bit to just a run of the mill AN departure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Whether we get anything wintry or not next week, this month will likely go down as well above normal in the temp department, and likely below for snowfall. And correct me if I am wrong, but most seasonal outlooks had December being the pick of the litter for winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I think you and I have temporarily taken on each other's personalities. Truly, there is little to be excited about for wintry weather anytime soon. Pattern looks putrid for snow lovers, that's for sure. I've been watching this setup for next week and thinking "well...why not...there ain't nothing else to look at anytime soon" kind of thing. Whether we get anything wintry or not next week, this month will likely go down as well above normal in the temp department, and likely below for snowfall. Then I'm in good company. Hope for next week would be deeper trough post Monday, or quicker ejection out of midwest for your storm to have a chance. Keep an eye on NAO and if it keeps the neutral look, stale cold is better than no cold (even GFS hints at N Pa seeing ice). IF any of these things happen, then the scorned KIng and his minions may briefly rule the day for next week. While MJO plots are met w/ some skepticism of late, in warming times, they are something I hold a little more weight with. I've been on record of being a fan of AO as my favorite indicie for winter fun round here (that teacher dude in the MA forum used to roast me often about it- it seemed to work, so I'll claim a small victory), and when that happens (or our NAO buddy), then I get a bit excited. JMO's though. I'm not afraid to lay out my stance, cause that's partly why I'm here, to discuss learn, share, whatever. No cats needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 8 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: And correct me if I am wrong, but most seasonal outlooks had December being the pick of the litter for winter? some said early start, but others have punted december and said around new years into Jan might be first real go time for winter lovers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: some said early start, but others have punted december and said around new years into Jan might be first real go time for winter lovers. And when do they punt New Year's? I think it's time to punt the lot. This feels like 2012. I think that was the year we had basically nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: You have had a few biggies out there but I know what you mean. The airmass we currently have means you will not miss much regardless. Very rare only 4 ever storms over 20", vs the many further east. 6" is a big storm here, but I doubt that's what we're looking at here in Pittsburgh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 11 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: And when do they punt New Year's? I think it's time to punt the lot. This feels like 2012. I think that was the year we had basically nothing. I personally would not punt beyond mid Dec and even that is not as punt with a potential winter system next week. I think all modeling shows wintery weather here except the GFS.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I personally would not punt beyond mid Dec and even that is not as punt with a potential winter system next week. I think all modeling shows wintery weather here except the GFS.... Damn GFS won't jump on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 18 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: And when do they punt New Year's? I think it's time to punt the lot. This feels like 2012. I think that was the year we had basically nothing. 13.25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 Just now, paweather said: Damn GFS won't jump on board. EURO time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: EURO time. Let's do it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 5 minutes ago, paweather said: Let's do it! Upper level cold is fairly deep to start Tuesday. 540 line down in central VA. HP actually centered a bit further south than we may want it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 42 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: And correct me if I am wrong, but most seasonal outlooks had December being the pick of the litter for winter? That was my understanding, yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 Very light snow breaking out Wed AM. HP about the same place as 0Z at this point....a bit East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Very light snow breaking out Wed AM. HP about the same place as 0Z at this point....a bit East. Heavier stuff moving in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 Storm is hundreds of miles "slower" as we go into Wed Afternoon...still light snow M/D and north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 Storm basically minors out/starts to transfer to the coast going into Wed evening. On the plus side, there is no strong surge of warm air. But not a lot of qpf for PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Storm basically minors out going into Wed evening. On the plus side, there is no strong surge of warm air. Snow totals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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