Upstate/Eastern New York-Pattern Change Vs Tughill Curse?

[Syrmax]

2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Other than disposing of the Ksyzzle thermometer, I don't think it can be helped that we seem to be under a death band of climate change that runs right across our area .....

That and covid!  Whoa is me!  LOFL. Morons one and all..

[LakeEffectKing]

For E and SE of L. Ontario, it looks like Sunday's LES event will be a relatively short/transient event (a few hours?), south of ART.  

That said, rates will be stout, based on 3k and RGEM depictions ATT.

Thick DGZ and Omega intersect almost perfectly. (see below) Ratios should be well north of 20:1 with rates, at times, approaching 4"/hr. when near ART.

As the band settles southward through Oswego county Sunday, rates should subside some and then lower substantially as it moves south of the Oswego/Onondaga Co. border.

I see Watertown area (+/- 7mi. North or south) getting 10-14+"...5-10" in Oswego Co. and 2-5" south of there.

[BGM Blizzard]

This sucksssss........

[96blizz]

-11 here in Skaneateles 

[LakeEffectKing]

This place would be hoppin' over over the next 2 weeks if this verifies.

[LakeEffectKing]

-13 in Caz....

[LakeEffectKing]

14 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

This sucksssss........

Wow!

[lakeeffectkid383]

Slashed totals pretty good. If I see 6” here I’d be thrilled. 
 

Even the 06z RGEM and 3k NAM look like crap. 
 

 

[tim123]

Gotta be coldest morning in years in west central ny

[TugHillMatt]

1 hour ago, LakeEffectKing said:

This place would be hoppin' over over the next 2 weeks if this verifies.

Eh, I don't know. It tries hard to put me in that band of zero snowfall right off Lake Ontario. 

[TugHillMatt]

2 hours ago, LakeEffectKing said:

For E and SE of L. Ontario, it looks like Sunday's LES event will be a relatively short/transient event (a few hours?), south of ART.  

That said, rates will be stout, based on 3k and RGEM depictions ATT.

Thick DGZ and Omega intersect almost perfectly. (see below) Ratios should be well north of 20:1 with rates, at times, approaching 4"/hr. when near ART.

As the band settles southward through Oswego county Sunday, rates should subside some and then lower substantially as it moves south of the Oswego/Onondaga Co. border.

I see Watertown area (+/- 7mi. North or south) getting 10-14+"...5-10" in Oswego Co. and 2-5" south of there.

The models show barely anything south of Oswego to Parish, so I hope you are right on us getting even a few inches.

[Flying MXZ]

Nice morning walk with the dog!  The eagle that flew over didn’t seem to mind the cold. 

[yankees102110]

[manhattanandcatskills]

Same here

16499C74-3A7D-47F4-8505-CD3FF1547FC7.heic

[LakeEffectKing]

23 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

The models show barely anything south of Oswego to Parish, so I hope you are right on us getting even a few inches.

Ratios will be quite high.... And I expect a few, much weaker, bands to form Sun. eve. behind the main band that sweeps through Sunday afternoon.

[LakeEffectKing]

18 minutes ago, Flying MXZ said:

Nice morning walk with the dog!  The eagle that flew over didn’t seem to mind the cold. 

 Man.... turn the heat up a bit inside!!!! Lol!

[tombo82685]

Man I wish the euro was good at lake effect 

[BuffaloWeather]

This cold sucks. Cold and dry is the worst. 

[TugHillMatt]

With this upcoming week looking WAY less exciting than it was just a few days ago, it's safe to say Syracuse will finish it's 3rd straight month with well below normal snowfall. It's also the 3rd consecutive crap January. Snowfall averages are going to take a hit if this continues for several more years.

[cny rider]

1 hour ago, Flying MXZ said:

Nice morning walk with the dog!  The eagle that flew over didn’t seem to mind the cold. 

-15F here. I was just out for 20 minutes

It doesn't register as cold on my skin so much as it does direct pain.

I love winter but below zero, no thanks.

 

[Flying MXZ]

1 hour ago, LakeEffectKing said:

 Man.... turn the heat up a bit inside!!!! Lol!

76° warmer than outside, felt great!

[WxWatcher007]

Love the below zero stuff. Did about a half hour outside this morning. 

[rochesterdave]

2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

This cold sucks. Cold and dry is the worst. 

Just bundle up. It makes all the difference. I look like Nanook of the North every time I walk the dogs. 

[tombo82685]

34 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Love the below zero stuff. Did about a half hour outside this morning. 

if there is no wind, it's not bad out. I've been taking long walks at night with temps in the -5 to -10 and its really not terrible. 

[wolfie09]

Through 3weeks the pulaski COOP is at -4.4° for the month, mainly due to the overnight lows . I should also mention below average in the snowfall department lol

[BuffaloWeather]

1 hour ago, rochesterdave said:

Just bundle up. It makes all the difference. I look like Nanook of the North every time I walk the dogs. 

Just not a fan of the cold, only like snow falling. 25-30 degrees and snow falling everyday is my ideal climo in winter. 

[tombo82685]

7 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Just not a fan of the cold, only like snow falling. 25-30 degrees and snow falling everyday is my ideal climo in winter. 

 

[Buckeyes_Suck]

1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Love the below zero stuff. Did about a half hour outside this morning. 

There’s been a lot written the last few years about the benefits of intermittently expossure to cold. Especially if you’re big into fitness. My favorite cardio is splitting wood which is great on days like today. 

[BuffaloWeather]

22 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

 

Also don't care about snow on the ground. Just give me 3-4" rates all day.

I'll never understand how really cold temps are even enjoyable. I almost got frostbite a few times on some of my long winter hikes. It's not fun. Skiing in really cold temps going up the lift sucks, hiking in it sucks, what is it good for? I guess frozen ponds for pond hockey would be one thing.

[BuffaloWeather]

GEFS went pretty far SE with that next storm, barely scraps NE. There are still a couple NW outliers.