BuffaloWeather Posted February 8, 2022 Author Share Posted February 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: Were rates decent or just snowed lightly and sun angle made it a victim Decent this morning and again this afternoon, rest was light stuff. Combo of very wet snow with sun angle. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Absolutely ripping right now, I thought it was going to be graupel but nope, huge ass flakes..It would be nice if it consolidated a little better though lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 New map has a few inches overnight..I picked up just over an inch this morning that probably melted throughout the day as temps climbed above freezing again lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 1.5 in Caz....slightly surprised when I came home. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 .6 so far today. 31 for the high 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Absolutely crushing right now, couldn't even see the exit coming off 81 lol 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 2.5" so far this evening +1" this morning.. Still coming down solid but out of the"yellows" Booo lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 46 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: 2.5" so far this evening +1" this morning.. Still coming down solid but out of the"yellows" Booo lol Going to take a drive up there some time this week just for the heck of it; only 28 miles from Cicero 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 17 minutes ago, sferic said: Going to take a drive up there some time this week just for the heck of it; only 28 miles from Cicero Well if you want to see some snow, Thursday-thursday night may your best bet, not necessarily here but maybe a little north or the southern tug .. Accumulating lake snows are possible east of Lake Ontario late Thursday afternoon and Thursday night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 The next event also looks modest.. Thursday evening...behind the final front 850 hPa temps drop down to -10C/-12C over the lakes as the trough moves over and through the region. This will likely be enough to support...albeit brief...a period of accumulating lake snows east of Lake Ontario. A 250-260 flow will initially direct lake snows across S. Jefferson and far N. Oswego County. The availability of the longer fetch of lake Ontario and any added upstream connections will lend just enough support to potentially produce several inches (3-5 inches) of snow before lake snows track to the north and then diminish by Friday morning. Off Lake Erie...a similar scenario will unfold but be hampered by the shorter fetch of the lake which will likely limit accumulations. That said...thinking guidance is a bit underdone due to ice coverage represented in the modeling. Have bump up snowfall accumulations across S. Erie and a small portion of Chautauqua County to reflect this issue. Even so...it appears we are only looking at a few inches (1-3 inches). Winds gradually back to the SW then S as we progress through the night. When this occurs...lake snows will push north and then quickly weaken as a mid-level warm front pushes into and through the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 I'm still trying to figure out how Syracuse actually gets to its average of 120 to 130 inches. I have yet to see a track or pattern than produces anything good here. I guess the only times we succeed are when the Low sits over the North Atlantic to give us lake enhanced synoptics...or when I move. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 3 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: We're actually the only sub-forum without a poster who cheers for warmth/sunshine 24/7. Consider yourself lucky we don't have torch tiger or torchageddon. It's like the antithesis to me TorchHillMatt 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Not much, but there a handful of EPS members that try to blow up and tuck the coastal storm for this coming Sunday/Monday. Likely a whiff, but maybe we win the lottery. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Fwiw... the GEFS and Canadian Ens have some amped members too... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Thanks, @BGM Blizzard. Many of those, even the most boring looking ones, give more than the OPs have been showing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Just checked the updated NWS forecast...next 4 days around 40/lower 40s with chance of rain showers...then cold, dry and 20. Just shoot me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Let the trend begin.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 They don't call it the crazy Uncle for no good reason 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Ukie tired of being made fun of? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Down to just a few decent EPS, GEFS, and Cmc Ens members Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Another nice looking day with plans to try a lake hike today… and there goes my Twitter feed again trying to tell me NO… ehhh walks in the forest are better in the winter anyways aren’t they? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Hypnotic sky this morning… 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Looks like our run of winter is coming to a crashing halt, at least if the GFS is to be used. Many warm weather lows the next 2 weeks putting us close to end of the month. It doesn’t go in our favor at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 24 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Looks like our run of winter is coming to a crashing halt, at least if the GFS is to be used. Many warm weather lows the next 2 weeks putting us close to end of the month. It doesn’t go in our favor at that point. Still on the fence enough but def been trending the wrong way to keep winter going. At least it’s looking to stay active. Worst thing now would be a slow 2-3 week warmup slowly eating away at the pack. If it’s gonna go let’s torch it with some heavy rain so I can go on ice jam crick watch! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 7 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Still on the fence enough but def been trending the wrong way to keep winter going. At least it’s looking to stay active. Worst thing now would be a slow 2-3 week warmup slowly eating away at the pack. If it’s gonna go let’s torch it with some heavy rain so I can go on ice jam crick watch! It could be an epic flood if that were to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 7 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: It could be an epic flood if that were to happen. Setup is there for flooding. 2.5-3” of SWE throughout the headwaters. Very thick ice sheet on the creeks. Mouth at the lake is frozen and I have not seen the cotter head out yet to ice break. Rapid warmup and heavy rain would be a big concern. But on a positive note haven’t had a good ice jam to chase in about 3 years now so bring it on! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Setup is there for flooding. 2.5-3” of SWE throughout the headwaters. Very thick ice sheet on the creeks. Mouth at the lake is frozen and I have not seen the cotter head out yet to ice break. Rapid warmup and heavy rain would be a big concern. But on a positive note haven’t had a good ice jam to chase in about 3 years now so bring it on! Im actually hoping for that as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Another wasted winter. Time for a move to the Keewenaw Peninsula since this area is now Western Virginia. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Don't give up on Sunday/Monday... . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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