Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,186
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    AtlanticWx
    Newest Member
    AtlanticWx
    Joined

Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2022


buckeyefan1
 Share

Recommended Posts

Upgraded to an excessive heat warning today. We verified one yesterday despite only having a heat advisory. Heat like this, even in the south, is quite rare. Usually our dew points mix out in the afternoon at peak heating but this is a pure soup airmass. Hope the advertised pattern changes noted above come to fruition. This has been a miserable summer 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

41 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Upgraded to an excessive heat warning today. We verified one yesterday despite only having a heat advisory. Heat like this, even in the south, is quite rare. Usually our dew points mix out in the afternoon at peak heating but this is a pure soup airmass. Hope the advertised pattern changes noted above come to fruition. This has been a miserable summer 

Meanwhile, GSO only reached 93 yesterday with similar dewpoints. A combination of elevation and cloud debris coming off the mountains has consistently kept high temps much more reasonable (and also at times set up a boundary for storm development)

 

The data backs up my theory. The average high temp in June was 3.2 degrees higher at Raleigh than at GSO (90.0 & 86.8), compared to the historical average having a gap of 1 degree (86.1 & 85.1)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Upgraded to an excessive heat warning today. We verified one yesterday despite only having a heat advisory. Heat like this, even in the south, is quite rare. Usually our dew points mix out in the afternoon at peak heating but this is a pure soup airmass. Hope the advertised pattern changes noted above come to fruition. This has been a miserable summer 

It was extremely soupy here yesterday and into night fall. Yesterday evening was only the 2nd evening this year that I haven't been able to walk the pups due to the heat and humidity.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 hours ago, olafminesaw said:

Meanwhile, GSO only reached 93 yesterday with similar dewpoints. A combination of elevation and cloud debris coming off the mountains has consistently kept high temps much more reasonable (and also at times set up a boundary for storm development)

 

The data backs up my theory. The average high temp in June was 3.2 degrees higher at Raleigh than at GSO (90.0 & 86.8), compared to the historical average having a gap of 1 degree (86.1 & 85.1)

Excellent points. I guess what really struck many of us yesterday was how isolated to the Triangle and Sandhills the big heat was.  The Triad was unremarkable yesterday, while RDU was  at historic heat levels. Even normally hottest Fayetteville was cooler.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Excellent points. I guess what really struck many of us yesterday was how isolated to the Triangle and upper Sandhills the big heat was.  The Triad was unremarkable yesterday, while RDU was trying to historic. Even normally hottest Fayetteville was cooler. It seems RDU gets big numbers so easily while officially hitting 95 remains rare even in mid summer in the Triad. 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

33 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Excellent points. I guess what really struck many of us yesterday was how isolated to the Triangle and Sandhills the big heat was.  The Triad was unremarkable yesterday, while RDU was trying to historic. Even normally hottest Fayetteville was cooler.

I wonder if urban heat island is a significant contributing factor. The Triangle has had significant growth even in the past few years, since the last major heat wave. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I’m not sure where else to ask this, but my family and I are heading down to Carolina Beach, NC on vacation tomorrow through next Saturday, and my mom is freaking out because Weather Channel is saying rain everyday. Anyone have a more detailed analysis? Is it looking like a (literal) wash next week?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, SoCoWx said:

I’m not sure where else to ask this, but my family and I are heading down to Carolina Beach, NC on vacation tomorrow through next Saturday, and my mom is freaking out because Weather Channel is saying rain everyday. Anyone have a more detailed analysis? Is it looking like a (literal) wash next week?

Looks wet but I highly doubt it will be a rain out every day. Most likely you will see afternoon and evening thunderstorms daily.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

22 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

What is wrong with GFS this summer?

 

It is nothing new that the operational GFS has a bias to overdo summer highs during hot periods. Also, the Euro op. has done that at least to some extent the past few years. The better bet is to go with the ensemble means because they average cooler than the operationals.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...