Typhoon Tip Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 Well ... dreaded discussion topic - I dunno... but, do we talk record highs Thursday and Friday ? ...what are they - I wonder. The synoptic metrics seem to support, but the details within that framework may or may not - but, anytime there is a potential anomaly of any kind the sets precedence ( record territory ) we should, being the responsible, lucid objective brain trust of the public access social media's sphere ( eh hm...) give it its equal acknowledgement ... I mean, after all, we live in a participation trophy era - lol. Anyway, the Euro may be too pessimistic with its 2-meter temps given that synoptic look, but it depends as usual, on specifics with ceiling RH, as well as wind direction. At this time of year? we cannot afford < than 220 wind direction or the L.I. Sound will wall off the warmth from NYC-PWM axis and points east. Dodging that...the WSW wind at 500, 700, 850 and surface under heights substantive enough to allow diurnal thickness expansion, all under "Equinoxial" sun strength... probably sends the actual temperatures across the region considerably higher than the 18z, 58F at Bedford's Hanscom field ob station the Euro sells them two days. The Euro has 850 mbs warming a tick or two every cycle going back 4 or 5 -worth. Now, +10 to 12C ... The sky/cloud coverage tends to be too pessimistic in most guidance when the flow is deep layer continental conveyor from WSW/SW trajectories - particularly adding that this is pre-green up N of the Mason Dixie, that's also not really in a hurry to advect moisture ..so my hunch is that if the models suggest mostly cloudy you go partly sunny... etc... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 If March ends snowless here it could bring my winter grade into D territory. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 7 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: If March ends snowless here it could bring my winter grade into D territory. I assumed and banked on a futile March, so its baked into the C-. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 22 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I assumed and banked on a futile March, so its baked into the C-. There's never been a Blutowsky March at Logan. There's always been a virga CU that at least traced to "save" those otherwise boned months of yore. Last year was one of them... Traced the month ... I think I saw 6 years up there on the overhead while 'milling a 10 K at the gym last week. I got to thinkin' maybe this is a candiate year for the 0 . 0 0 March. This fun hypothesis is based upon several bum pumps: 1 ... despite all the cold, it won't snow. Persistence is a remarkable aspect when one gets into acceptance - it really sets them free of angst, actually. 2 ... La Nina spring, which erstwhile has not really presented. Now... as Scott and I rightfully mused the other day, at no time has this recent cold season very convincingly demoed a La Nina hemisphere - save for the off chance that a pattern happened to (maybe..) be passing through La Nina construct in a destiny that is not.. Point being, that trend might suggest that this is not a La Nina year - just a cold Pacific water that is meaningless .. proving that arm of the climatological science of indexing has always been a falsity ... That'd be cool! But, I think the HC shit is going to get proven over time.. just a matter of - digressing... What I'm thinking is that the La Nina may present more so now that the gradient is relaxing ...just in time to trample on the backs of the winter season bruised, that may have been hoping to get an exit swan song consolation to appease disappointment as a compensation. Nope... no symbolic savior for you - ONE YEAR! 3 ... HC - blah blah 4 ... The sun... mm hm.. Those of us that have been advancing ideas of regression back to winter, I have noted, an implicit lack of consideration for celestial mechanics - that means... the Earth going around the sun at 64, 000 mph hour is racing away from winter ... ( do you ever think of that? If you are standing there on a calm nape day in spring... no wind. Warm sense. Serenely calm and bathed in comfortability ...you and the setting are moving through space at 64,000 miles per hour. And, that motion is also tied to a movement around the Galaxy that is ... 250,000 miles and hour...which is all moving at a separate vector of ... etc etc... ) 5 ... Indexes: towering +AO that "might" come back to nuetral before rising again week 2... NAO not really convincingly helpful... PNA tending to negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 Damn thats some serious snow on the Colorado front range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 Who lives there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 Has New England had a March this boring since 2012? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 SnowTotals this winter 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 9 minutes ago, MJO812 said: SnowTotals this winter Those dark purples out west look fun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 10 minutes ago, Fozz said: Has New England had a March this boring since 2012? This March is much more boring....that month was in the 90s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 March 2020 was pretty boring until the 3/23 event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 20 minutes ago, MJO812 said: SnowTotals this winter So the range for mby is 48-72 inches. Not exactly sensitive...lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 28 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Who lives there? Lots of people live in Denver and Boulder. Models show them getting crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 2 hours ago, PhineasC said: Still looks mostly dry up here through mid-month. Not seeing any signs that changes soon. I'm over it, Moved on. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: I'm over it, Moved on. Reshuffle the deck next season. One more below average snowfall season, and I will tie the record dating back to 1956 of four consecutive below average seasons since from 1988-1989 through 1991-1992. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Reshuffle the deck next season. One more below average snowfall season, and I will tie the record dating back to 1956 of four consecutive below average seasons since from 1988-1989 through 1991-1992. We had a late season snowfall last year that left me dead on avg 72", We're to far in arrears this year to have a May snow storm save us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Reshuffle the deck next season. One more below average snowfall season, and I will tie the record dating back to 1956 of four consecutive below average seasons since from 1988-1989 through 1991-1992. Looks as though Boston, where records go back to 1871-1872, has two worse pork periods....1948-1949 through 1954-1955 seasons (7 consecutive below avg) and the top porker award goes to the 1907-1908 through 1914-1915 seasons (8 consecutive below average). Rumor has it that weenies were hanging themselves by thy knickers. 1910-1911 just made it as below, at 40.6", so it nearly ended at three consecutive. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 Man, imagine not being lucky enough to swallow an ice berg aboard the Titanic, and having to endure that 1907-1908 through 1914-1915 stretch. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks as though Boston, where records go back to 1871-1872, has two worse pork periods....1948-1949 through 1954-1955 seasons (7 consecutive below avg) and the top porker award goes to the 1907-1908 through 1914-1915 seasons (8 consecutive below average). Rumor has it that weenies were hanging themselves by thy knickers. 1910-1911 just made it as below, at 40.6", so it nearly ended at three consecutive. What were the ENSOs in the 30 months leading each - curiously ... I mean, back when ENSO meant more than rat pellets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I assumed and banked on a futile March, so its baked into the C-. Maybe I’m being a little harsh with the D but January really sucked. I’m still 10” under average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2021 Author Share Posted March 8, 2021 11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks as though Boston, where records go back to 1871-1872, has two worse pork periods....1948-1949 through 1954-1955 seasons (7 consecutive below avg) and the top porker award goes to the 1907-1908 through 1914-1915 seasons (8 consecutive below average). Rumor has it that weenies were hanging themselves by thy knickers. 1910-1911 just made it as below, at 40.6", so it nearly ended at three consecutive. Irish and Italian weenies coming here for a better life full of snow, moving back. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2021 Author Share Posted March 8, 2021 Portuguese whalers using their harpoon cannons on themselves. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Irish and Italian weenies coming here for a better life full of snow, moving back. I have gone a long way towards paying my climo debt over the course of these past several seasons. I have had one above average snowfall season since 2014-2015......2017-2018. 2016-2017 was just about normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2021 Author Share Posted March 8, 2021 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have gone a long way towards paying my climo debt over the course of these past several seasons. I have had one above average snowfall season since 2014-2015......2017-2018. 2016-2017 was just about normal. The region as a whole needs to. Obviously some more than others (like myself), but it's been a snowgasm overall since 07-08 minus a few seasons. Kind of due for a meh stretch, even if it's just a string of seasons near normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The region as a whole needs to. Obviously some more than others (like myself), but it's been a snowgasm overall since 07-08 minus a few seasons. Kind of due for a meh stretch, even if it's just a string of seasons near normal. Just have to hope climo finds its footing and those who should pay more, do. I'm hardly above average over that stretch, at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 I remember musing in June of 2015 how if it snowed 0.0 for the next three consecutive seasons... we'd end up on climo for the 4-year mean at a lot of climate sites/ ..backyards. No one in here thought that was funny - interestingly ... In fact, I don't recall anyone even responded. ...I wonder why that is... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I remember musing in June of 2015 how if it snowed 0.0 for the next three consecutive seasons... we'd end up on climo for the 4-year mean at a lot of climate sites/ ..backyards. No one in here thought that was funny - interestingly ... In fact, I don't recall anyone even responded. ...I wonder why that is... You do a lot of musing.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 43 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You do a lot of musing.... yeah...well, it's also the diplomatic way of approaching an audience with such a proven track record of razor sharp objectivity ... so willing to accept truths and consequence - You know, as a different science: I do think ( not you per se ...), that people play denial and bargaining/ .. evasive games with general informatic because there are no consequences for being wrong. Not like many moons ago - 200 years ago... people were less prone to flights of fancy or they died of diphtheria and their kids didn't eat. Modernity enables a person, and en masse, collections of civility to believe in whatever they want. They don't have to take a warm up seriously ...because they don't grow their own food ... billion ways to define how/why modern extravagances that are ( frankly ..) not a part of 99.9973 % of human evolution, are in conflict with judicial rational that the previous evolutionary curve blessed us with and allow us to get to this spectrum of provisions and presumptions in existentialism.. That's going to be an interesting catch-22 etched in epitaph upon Humanity's last tombstone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 44 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I remember musing in June of 2015 how if it snowed 0.0 for the next three consecutive seasons... we'd end up on climo for the 4-year mean at a lot of climate sites/ ..backyards. No one in here thought that was funny - interestingly ... In fact, I don't recall anyone even responded. ...I wonder why that is... Buuuut...it didn’t happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: Buuuut...it didn’t happen Missing the point - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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