CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, moneypitmike said: I'd go with 32.6. He’s gonna get at least some ice. Race cars sliding all over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m just not seeing how anyone within 15 miles or more inland is a rainer . Will seems on top of it Who is saying that? I laid out my Thoughts. You are an unsure area. You’ll get at least some ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 6 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: The euro is really holding its ground d for mostly snow for the north of CON to LEW line. GYX hedging towards those warmer models a little bit and has a really good forecast that allows for many possibilities but makes it clear it will be impactf ul. Still a good 36 hours out so we don’t have to watch the meso models today,To see if they tic back colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Who is saying that? I laid out my Thoughts. You are an unsure area. You’ll get at least some ice. Oh it seems like you were only talking icestorm for Ray and ORH. Lots of confusion and chaos I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 This looks it comes in tomorrow afternoon as straight zr south of pike , so things get going well in advance of the main event Monday into Tuesday . Maybe starts as sleet or snow north of 90? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Oh it seems like you were only talking icestorm for Ray and ORH. Lots of confusion and chaos I guess I don’t think you read any posts that aren’t a lock for snow or ice for you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 5 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: I don't think it is over yet on that panel at least for up here I was talking to Kevin. This is yours.watch that sneaky 700 warmth though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Still a good 36 hours out so we don’t have to watch the meso models today,To see if they tic back colder. Yes and maybe a trend to get the Monday stuff heavier. Is it a two part storm with a period of fluffy snow Monday pm, then a pause then some wetter snow Tuesday am which changes to mix before ending? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This looks it comes in tomorrow afternoon as straight zr south of pike , so things get going well in advance of the main event Monday into Tuesday . Maybe starts as sleet or snow north of 90? Yea. Light icing for a little while until Tuesday, but as I said....the meat of it for you is not certain as far as temps go. I’d lean colder, but this isn’t a fresh polar airmass anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: I was talking to Kevin. This is yours.watch that sneaky 700 warmth though Thanks Steve, as usual hoping for a good thump first. But .8 seems reasonable and that is so close with the warmth aloft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 This is always a nice reminder 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This looks it comes in tomorrow afternoon as straight zr south of pike , so things get going well in advance of the main event Monday into Tuesday . Maybe starts as sleet or snow north of 90? You can tell by the ageo wind direction and meso low that travels along the CT coast then up the CC canal that this is a hairy situation. Hard to scour out cold in the CT Valley as well with low N winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 24 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 6z Euro all of this is frozen for you how does it look out here? Seems borderline on other guidance right now.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 BTV's forecast map... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: how does it look out here? Seems borderline on other guidance right now.... At least .3 frozen. Everyone will have to watch temps. Models like to overwhelm shallow cold air when winds are offshore. Many times cold locks in while above torches. Now cast situation. If we go SE winds its over. Thats what other models have. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: BTV's forecast map... Yea you will cash in this week for sure. Hopefully Phins icicles poke through his roof lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: At least .3 frozen. Everyone will have to watch temps. Models like to overwhelm shallow cold air when winds are offshore. Many times cold locks in while above torches. Now cast situation. If we go SE winds its over. Thats what other models have. Euro shows it well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Qpf seems kind of meh for here maybe a couple inches of snow followed by .10 of zr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 23 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Thanks Steve, as usual hoping for a good thump first. But .8 seems reasonable and that is so close with the warmth aloft It’s probably a little warmer just below H7 too. 3k nammy for example. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don’t think you read any posts that aren’t a lock for snow or ice for you. I do read everything. Except I skim Tips War and Peace posts 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 22 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You can tell by the ageo wind direction and meso low that travels along the CT coast then up the CC canal that this is a hairy situation. Hard to scour out cold in the CT Valley as well with low N winds Interesting catch there. One of the keys too will be total Qpf. If it’s near or over 1”.. it could be Katy Bar the door time in spots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 The valley here almost always holds on to cold longer than the models are showing. I'm expecting mainly sleet and ZR here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, CT Valley Snowman said: The valley here almost always holds on to cold longer than the models are showing. I'm expecting mainly sleet and ZR here. Looks good for ice there. Also the 12z mesos should be out later and may shed some light if we can get that kink and weak low near the cape. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: It’s probably a little warmer just below H7 too. 3k nammy for example. But the nam tends to run warm, no? if it gets to CON we don't have but a half hour. Maybe it'll get stuck at hookset Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Looks good for ice there. Also the 12z mesos should be out later and may shed some light if we can get that kink and weak low near the cape. She’s a very kinky girl? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, mahk_webstah said: But the nam tends to run warm, no? if it gets to CON we don't have but a half hour. Maybe it'll get stuck at hookset idk...I always feel like it does a decent job with the warmth aloft. Especially when it’s around 700mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: She’s a very kinky girl? I’m still laughing at Janet Jackson Ginxy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, dendrite said: idk...I always feel like it does a decent job with the warmth aloft. Especially when it’s around 700mb. It does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, dendrite said: idk...I always feel like it does a decent job with the warmth aloft. Especially when it’s around 700mb. Well I'm just a hopeful weenie...you are an expert so we hope for good trends today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: I’m still laughing at Janet Jackson Ginxy. Lol.. I was thinking about that running yesterday morning just laughing to myself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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