Wmsptwx Posted February 18 2 minutes ago, canderson said: I don’t want to see another model snow map again. Lol yeah, digital snow is fun to look at, but not often is it reality. It’s definitely fun though. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Itstrainingtime Posted February 18 10 minutes ago, canderson said: I don’t want to see another model snow map again. They're hard to ignore, (try as I do) but a lot of people love them, so my feelings are definitely in the minority and I respect what others want to see. There's no harm in them so long as people understand that they'll end up with somewhere around 5-10% of ground truth if you add up the totals on the maps. It's when people see 17" over their house and expect it from a 6 hour storm that I start to pull my hair out. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Itstrainingtime Posted February 18 16 minutes ago, sauss06 said: not sure i'm buying what its selling, however i'd gladly take it That Euro map was valid at 7:00AM this morning so keep that in mind. That's an additional 1" for me if accurate. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
sauss06 Posted February 18 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: That Euro map was valid at 7:00AM this morning so keep that in mind. That's an additional 1" for me if accurate. for some reason i enjoy snow more when i am at home so this afternoon will work good for me for a lil more white gold 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted February 18 Latest HRRR wants no parts of part 2. I am holding out for the HH NAM to bring it to life. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Storm Clouds Posted February 18 Euro is saying another 4-6 inches of snow tonight for York and Lancaster? That would be one heck of a sandwich on the group...snow, ice, snow! 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Itstrainingtime Posted February 18 3 minutes ago, Storm Clouds said: Euro is saying another 4-6 inches of snow tonight for York and Lancaster? That would be one heck of a sandwich on the group...snow, ice, snow! No - that map was valid at 7:00AM this morning. You have to subtract this morning's snowfall. 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted February 18 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: No - that map was valid at 7:00AM this morning. You have to subtract this morning's snowfall. Storm Clouds just use poor math and you will be fine. Of course when I post the 18z NAM snow map for Canderson it will also make you feel better. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Anduril Posted February 18 Light freezing rain (sidewalk has a nice crunchy slickness goin on) in camp hill at the moment. Id rather have snow back thank you 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted February 18 Relentless NAM for overnight tonight. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
medmax Posted February 18 Relentless NAM for overnight tonight. Care to share a square? 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted February 18 Don't give up #2: Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted February 18 10 minutes ago, medmax said: Care to share a square? Light snow at the very least that's it. Maybe 1-2" more overnight per the NAM. Nothing more unless we get a surprise. We are do for an overperformer so you never know. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
pasnownut Posted February 18 46 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: That Euro map was valid at 7:00AM this morning so keep that in mind. That's an additional 1" for me if accurate. I coulda posted qpf but that too is misleading as we are in various forms of frozen, so I just posted clown map. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Superstorm Posted February 18 Don't give up #2: Kinda starting to get intrigued with this 2nd wave. Could be a surprise or 2.. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Superstorm Posted February 18 Freezing drizzle and 26F. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
pasnownut Posted February 18 If one believes the NAM we surely have rd 2 to contend with. Nothin substantial but def some light snow as coastal gets goin. I approve....and cross fingers. 1-2 for eastern Pa. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Wmsptwx Posted February 18 Nam gives all of us 1 to 3 by tomorrow morning, maybe it’ll come through. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Storm Clouds Posted February 18 Still light freezing rain here...when the sun goes down in a couple hours and if it's still doing this, watch out! Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Voyager Posted February 18 Well, at least I'm off work tonight. I called the boss and he said stay home. Day shift drivers all quit early and parked, and he saw no reason to mess around and have issues later with night shift. While I could use the money, I'd rather be safe and not get injured or damage a truck. So far, we got 1 to 2 inches. I didn't bother to measure this one. It had stopped for about 2 hours, but has picked up again. Mostly snow with a few pellets mixed in. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted February 18 Just went out on the roads here they will be terrible tonight no doubt. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CoralRed Posted February 18 Not on radar but we are getting light snow in Williamsport. The flakes are bigger now than 5 minutes ago. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 18 I have a new algorithm for any more winter storms this season. I am going to take the model that shows the least amount of snow and then divide that number by two for my total 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
TheDreamTraveler Posted February 18 6 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: I have a new algorithm for any more winter storms this season. I am going to take the model that shows the least amount of snow and then divide that number by two for my total yep lol. it also doesn't help that a lot of us have been hyping up these storms and then back to back they keep turning out to be disappointments and then automatically moving onto the next one only to be disappointed yet again. im definitely burnt out which is why i havent expected much from the last 3 or 4 storms Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted February 18 HH GFS doesn't give up on #2: 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dcfox1 Posted February 18 Ever since I have been here some go nuts 4 days out or more. It is more like the day before models get it down. Thought by now that would have got better but that is weather. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GrandmasterB Posted February 18 1 minute ago, paweather said: HH GFS doesn't give up on #2: I just saw the run and snow map and thought, “paweather is going to go full weenie on this run” 3-5 On the 10-1! 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted February 18 1 minute ago, dcfox1 said: Ever since I have been here some go nuts 3 days out or more. It is more like the day before models get it down. I don't even think this is the truth more like when it is game time. But it is just that high I get for tracking and then being disappointed over the 30 years of doing this. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GrandmasterB Posted February 18 Interestingly, I thought the 18Z GFS is the first model to really initialize the stuff down in KY and WV correctly. Hopefully it’s on to something and not just on something. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted February 18 1 minute ago, GrandmasterB said: I just saw the run and snow map and thought, “paweather is going to go full weenie on this run” 3-5 On the 10-1! Don't show Canderson: Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
