FocoWeather Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 This week we need Burger like old times lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, frazdaddy said: That's a lot of freezing rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, BullCityWx said: Looks like we're gonna go from freezing rain to snow. we dont usually go in that order. The cold is for real, but it bleeds in slow coming from that trajectory. It looks like the boundary stalls out to our south and several weak waves of low pressure ride up over it. Are there several impulses that get ejected this way or does this evolve into one major storm? To me this could just as easily be a setup for long duration icing event with overrunning precip and maybe it does trend from ice to snow as deeper colder infiltrates our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, BullCityWx said: We end with heavy snow at 19 degrees on Saturday Morning. Last night’s run had Conway, SC in sleet at 22 degrees at 1pm Saturday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, BullCityWx said: GFS para showing significant icing as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Wider ZR view of the whole region. Ouch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 I created a thread for the weekend threat. https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/54494-26-27-snow-threat/ 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, griteater said: Last night’s run had Conway, SC in sleet at 22 degrees at 1pm Saturday Which is a totally normal thing. Better head up to Loris and store up on some chicken bog. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: Might have to add this to the archives of most ridiculous freezing rain maps I’ve ever seen. That’s lights out for 90% of the Carolinas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Monster Winter Storm end of next week per Euro.... 10"+ around my neck of the woods for end of next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 -7 in AVL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlover Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 5 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: We end with heavy snow at 19 degrees on Saturday Morning. Where are you located? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 I think if you dig into the sounding a bit more, it may be more of a sleet than freezing rain event for north of 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, WXNewton said: The cold is for real, but it bleeds in slow coming from that trajectory. It looks like the boundary stalls out to our south and several weak waves of low pressure ride up over it. Are there several impulses that get ejected this way or does this evolve into one major storm? To me this could just as easily be a setup for long duration icing event with overrunning precip and maybe it does trend from ice to snow as deeper colder infiltrates our area. If the wave digs into Mexico like that and it stays positive tilt, with a slight SE ridge flex, then yeah it’s just a long duration overrunning event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Would be absurd to get a gigantic ice storm then cover everything in deep snow before we go into the freezer for a few days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 6 minutes ago, FocoWeather said: This week we need Burger like old times lol I just sent him a text 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, griteater said: If the wave digs into Mexico like that and it stays positive tilt, with a slight SE ridge flex, then yeah it’s just a long duration overrunning event Long duration overrunning events are my favorite tbh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, weatherlover said: Where are you located? Northwest Durham. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, frazdaddy said: I just sent him a text He's too worried about getting buried in Amsterdam soon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 5 minutes ago, jrips27 said: Wider ZR view of the whole region. Ouch Dear God .... Mobile Alabama lights out too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, jrips27 said: Wider ZR view of the whole region. Ouch If we get that much ice and these temps come in afterwards it would be devastating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Everybody take a deep breath on these OP runs. These are the same models that have squashed multiple systems this season only to bring them back within 48-72 hrs. They’re also the same models that have swung from 60s to 30s and back and forth for highs less than 4-5 days out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 wow i counted 3 separate waves move across as the arctic high pressed in between 2/11 -13.. the whole point of this is there's a strong signal for a widespread southern snow event 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 So I think it may be overdoing the freezing rain and here's why. 925 temps clearly support sleet from roughly the state line with SC on up to VA. I think, if this solution ended up being what we run with, the people who'd really be nuked would be along I-20 in SC and GA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 8 minutes ago, WXNewton said: If we get that much ice and these temps come in afterwards it would be devastating. I was in NE Georgia in Cumming for an ice storm 5-6 years ago and it didn’t get above freezing for two days afterward. I was working for Sawnee EMC at the time and we kept having trees falling in lines we’d just re-hung as the ice wasn’t melting. Trees probably fell for 48 hours straight. Some places up there were in the dark for 10 days. It was bad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 With the temperatures that follow and the amount of people that depend on electricity for heat, that widespread of a devastating ice storm could turn deadly. Really pray nothing like that happens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 12 minutes ago, Wow said: wow i counted 3 separate waves move across as the arctic high pressed in between 2/11 -13.. the whole point of this is there's a strong signal for a widespread southern snow event wow indeed is correct, @Wow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Like others have said, think the thing to takeaway is that there’s definitely a threat for a potential long duration event next weekend. Upside could be quite high in terms of snow/ice totals if the cards fall right. Let’s see if the EPS signal increases. Longggg ways to go (see the model changes inside 96 hours for this weekend) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 This weekendSent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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