PhineasC Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Worst case , Anger and bargaining after 0z euro The JV models are just trying to distract us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 13 minutes ago, PhineasC said: What the hell is happening? Meh, these are non-hydrostatic models that are producing some of these really ugly solutions. I haven’t seen this from any of the globals yet. NAM actually did tick slightly better from 18z. I know the rpm didn’t, but I’d want to see some higher end guidance before reading too much into it. I like non-hydrostatic models in these types of storms once we are close in, but sometimes they can go haywire when over 36h out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 What’s wrong with the 3k NAM? Looks good to me. 4-8” eastern ma special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 where is DIT to tell everyone that the folks on the board for 50 years know better and it will be ok? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 seriously nobody should be headed to the tobin after the NAM or RPM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 My name is dryslot and i approve this message. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, dryslot said: My name is dryslot and approve this message. I’ll second that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 icon still looks pretty good, not as good as 12z but not the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, dryslot said: My name is dryslot and i approve this message. icon clobbers ME also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 RGEM is looking a bit more amped than 18z through 21 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 0z RGEM looked warm and wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: RGEM is looking a bit more amped than 18z through 21 hours. yeah, pretty big jump north on the precipitation shield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 The ICON is WAY more amped than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, dryslot said: 0z RGEM looked warm and wet. Great news here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, PhineasC said: The ICON is WAY more amped than 18z. looked significantly better . CCB cranks further NW as SLP is definitely a good 30-50 miles North Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 11 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’ll second that. I'd take that that and run. I think the only guidance that blows for me is 12km NAN and RPM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Anyone got the Herps (model) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Anyone got the Herps (model) Comes out after the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Anyone got the Herps (model) Valcyclovir Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Euro seems pretty damned locked in....I would be surprised if it is way off at this point....maybe developing the low a bit too quickly..ie NE shift, and/or w or east up to 40 mi or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 RGEM way more NW from 18z too. 12k NAM is all alone so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 0z RGEM made a decent jump NW thru 42-48h Not weighing it significantly until within 36h, but it's bucking the 0z trend so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: 0z RGEM looked warm and wet. It’s really struggling in the lower levels even though it has like 850 temps of -5C in the CCB lol. Kind of weird, but I’d think that would be pretty good for a lot of people who get under that CCB. That’s intense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: It’s really struggling in the lower levels even though it has like 850 temps of -5C in the CCB lol. Kind of weird, but I’d think that would be pretty good for a lot of people who get under that CCB. That’s intense. RGEM is awful w 2m temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: It’s really struggling in the lower levels even though it has like 850 temps of -5C in the CCB lol. Kind of weird, but I’d think that would be pretty good for a lot of people who get under that CCB. That’s intense. -5c, ha, Yeah, lol, I could only see the crappy maps with no upper air maps, So surface look only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Rgem has some funny looking clown maps with that warmish low level Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, wxsniss said: 0z RGEM made a decent jump NW thru 42-48h Not weighing it significantly until within 36h, but it's bucking the 0z trend so far I’ve always ignored the icon , but it’s worth mentioning that moved a bit NW as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Rgem has some funny looking clown maps with that warmish low level That's ominous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Verbatim 0z RGEM thermals are suspect... has heavy rains to at least ORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 11 minutes ago, dryslot said: 0z RGEM looked warm and wet. Anything going over the canal at this time of year and with this air mass in place cannot be good for us in E SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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