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Rtd208

E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2020/2021 OBS Thread

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A bit worried the gfs has squashed our threat for next week. Every time it's done that in the medium range this year, it's been correct. I'll be happy for the mid atlantic crew though, they deserve just as much as us.

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7 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

A bit worried the gfs has squashed our threat for next week. Every time it's done that in the medium range this year, it's been correct. I'll be happy for the mid atlantic crew though, they deserve just as much as us.

I wouldnt want to be in the bullseye 5 days out

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1 hour ago, The Iceman said:

A bit worried the gfs has squashed our threat for next week. Every time it's done that in the medium range this year, it's been correct. I'll be happy for the mid atlantic crew though, they deserve just as much as us.

Don't worry about the ops just yet dude. Another couple of days. The EPS ticked N again and we are currently still in a good spot on those. GEFS adjusting towards the EPS this AM. Steady as she goes. What I do like is we aren't in the bullseye yet...has been wobbling around N....then S towards DC yesterday....and so far this AM seems to be inching back N on the ens means towards our area. I dont dislike this trend at all right now.

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Couple of dippin' dots a little while ago under partly cloudy skies, 37F. Watching that blob over CoolHandMike, hope it makes it's way down here.

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Crazy squall coming through Souderton right now. Sun was out 3 minutes ago. Blowing crazy right now.

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Great winter storm thanks to the Canadiens over 24 hours ice storm for our southern half and snow in the north. It also extends half way through New York state plenty of room for squash adjustment.

 

 

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Just now, RedSky said:

Great winter storm thanks to the Canadiens over 24 hours ice storm for our southern half and snow in the north. 

 

Really cant wait to see what model wins on this threat, seems like GFS is in its own little universe for now. 

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Weather World posted the snow to date numbers for PA and except for the northern tier it's a near normal winter. Goes to show how getting the snow all in one shot effects ones expectations. 

But I have to take issue with the January stands at 50-75% normal to date- .8" is in not that close when I average 10" 

 

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1 hour ago, RedSky said:

Either the euro is going to pull off the all time stubborn win( yeah right) or big changes coming with that one

 

The 0z op couldn't get much farther S. I expect it to follow the 6z eps N.

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Euro is cold at the surface....26F here during the height of the event 850s are -2. There is a tight gradient just south tho around the DE border. 850s are warm to the South....scary warm.

A good snow hit for some here and a very icy hit for others. 

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