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Windspeed

Tropical Storm Eta

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1 minute ago, Windspeed said:

Some left the party too fast. lol... Eta is still reaching for peak.

Still here :twister:

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2 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said:

The new recon is aborting just shy of the storm

I haven't seen an update from the old recon in 45minutes other than the sonde.

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Just now, Floydbuster said:

Why have three recons turned around in 24 hrs? What in the world??

 

Just now, StormChaser4Life said:

Seriously....why?! 

Evil exists.

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Mitch killed 10,000 people in 1998 with 180 mph sustained winds at its peak if my memory is right. Similar path and time of year to this. Pretty sure the models didn't get the path right on Mitch - have to watch for that in the coming days. 

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1 minute ago, raindancewx said:

Mitch killed 10,000 people in 1998 with 180 mph sustained winds at its peak if my memory is right. Similar path and time of year to this. Pretty sure the models didn't get the path right on Mitch - have to watch for that in the coming days. 

Mitch was down to a 1 by landfall, though. It was all rainfall-induced landslides.

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1 minute ago, raindancewx said:

Mitch killed 10,000 people in 1998 with 180 mph sustained winds at its peak if my memory is right. Similar path and time of year to this. Pretty sure the models didn't get the path right on Mitch - have to watch for that in the coming days. 

Mitch did not hit this same area on this same path as Eta.  Mitch went north of Honduras and then turned south and made landfall in central north coast of Honduras and then meandered around.

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2 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said:

You see the end of my post? Lol. I put #2020. Haha

yep.  This is the year of Murphy's Law squared.  This year, if it might, kinda, sorta, barely, potentially possibly go wrong...

it WILL!!!...

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New VDM. Mesovortices. Would like to see the radar loop if they can put it up on twitter after the mission.

 

302 
URNT12 KNHC 030403
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE   AL292020
A. 03/03:10:10Z
B. 14.03 deg N 082.61 deg W
C. 700 mb 2435 m
D. 925 mb
E. 290 deg 14 kt
F. CLOSED
G. C7
H. 135 kt
I. 127 deg 3 nm 03:07:00Z
J. 232 deg 127 kt
K. 135 deg 4 nm 03:06:30Z
L. 125 kt
M. 043 deg 5 nm 03:13:30Z
N. 135 deg 125 kt
O. 043 deg 5 nm 03:13:30Z
P. 11 C / 3037 m
Q. 20 C / 2998 m
R. 3 C / NA
S. 12345 / 07
T. 0.02 / 0.5 nm
U. AF304 0429A ETA OB 15
MAX FL WIND 137 KT 193 / 5 NM 02:18:00Z
MANY MESOVORTICES ROTATING ON INSIDE EYEWALL.
;

 

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2 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

Mitch did not hit this same area on this same path as Eta.  Mitch went north of Honduras and then turned south and made landfall in central north coast of Honduras and then meandered around.

Mitch hit a fairly populated coast compared with where Eta's going - there's nothing on the Mosquito coast but snakes, crocks and Dengue fever.  Amazing tarpon fishing but that's beside the point.  Unfortunately, however, Eta has apparently set its sights on the one population center in the entire region.  There are about 60-70,000 people right in the target area.

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