• Member Statistics

    16,116
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Irish
    Newest Member
    Irish
    Joined
cyclone77

October 2020 General Discussion

Recommended Posts

50 days and counting...

...HISTORIC PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER CONTINUES AT INDIANAPOLIS...

TODAY...OCTOBER 6...MARKS THE 49TH CONSECUTIVE DAY THAT LESS THAN
A TENTH OF AN INCH HAS FALLEN OFFICIALLY AT INDIANAPOLIS...THE 
LONGEST SUCH STRETCH IN RECORDED HISTORY. WITH JUST A SMALL 
THREAT FOR RAIN THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...THIS STREAK 
WILL EXTEND SEVERAL MORE DAYS.

THE TOP FIVE LONGEST CONSECUTIVE STREAKS OF LESS THAN A TENTH OF
AN INCH OF DAILY PRECIPITATION:

1) 49 DAYS: 8/19-10/6/2020  ***ACTIVE*** 
2) 47 DAYS: 6/1-7/17/2012 
T3) 46 DAYS: 12/3/1955-1/17/1956 
T3) 46 DAYS: 8/13-9/27/1908 
5) 44 DAYS: 1/22-3/6/1935 (0.39")
  • Sad 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
15 hours ago, IWXwx said:
50 days and counting...

...HISTORIC PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER CONTINUES AT INDIANAPOLIS...

TODAY...OCTOBER 6...MARKS THE 49TH CONSECUTIVE DAY THAT LESS THAN
A TENTH OF AN INCH HAS FALLEN OFFICIALLY AT INDIANAPOLIS...THE 
LONGEST SUCH STRETCH IN RECORDED HISTORY. WITH JUST A SMALL 
THREAT FOR RAIN THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...THIS STREAK 
WILL EXTEND SEVERAL MORE DAYS.

THE TOP FIVE LONGEST CONSECUTIVE STREAKS OF LESS THAN A TENTH OF
AN INCH OF DAILY PRECIPITATION:

1) 49 DAYS: 8/19-10/6/2020  ***ACTIVE*** 
2) 47 DAYS: 6/1-7/17/2012 
T3) 46 DAYS: 12/3/1955-1/17/1956 
T3) 46 DAYS: 8/13-9/27/1908 
5) 44 DAYS: 1/22-3/6/1935 (0.39")

Man, I knew they were dry, but that is insane. 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
22 hours ago, Brian D said:

Interesting weather fact from Ft. Ripley October 1820. 11" of snow from the 11th-14th. Still stands as the most significant early Oct snowfall for that area. Fantasy of a bygone era? :)

https://www.climatestations.com/minnesota-weather-for-1820/

Thanks for sharing that link. It was really interesting to go back and read the weather records from Fort Anthony/Snelling in those early days. 1820 to the present is a very impressive weather record for our part of the continent. My home is only a couple miles from the historic fort location, I’m sure there was settler activity right on my property during those days. 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest ovweather
18 hours ago, IWXwx said:
50 days and counting...

...HISTORIC PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER CONTINUES AT INDIANAPOLIS...

TODAY...OCTOBER 6...MARKS THE 49TH CONSECUTIVE DAY THAT LESS THAN
A TENTH OF AN INCH HAS FALLEN OFFICIALLY AT INDIANAPOLIS...THE 
LONGEST SUCH STRETCH IN RECORDED HISTORY. WITH JUST A SMALL 
THREAT FOR RAIN THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...THIS STREAK 
WILL EXTEND SEVERAL MORE DAYS.

THE TOP FIVE LONGEST CONSECUTIVE STREAKS OF LESS THAN A TENTH OF
AN INCH OF DAILY PRECIPITATION:

1) 49 DAYS: 8/19-10/6/2020  ***ACTIVE*** 
2) 47 DAYS: 6/1-7/17/2012 
T3) 46 DAYS: 12/3/1955-1/17/1956 
T3) 46 DAYS: 8/13-9/27/1908 
5) 44 DAYS: 1/22-3/6/1935 (0.39")

Yet Indy is still barely into moderate drought status on the latest monitor. I don’t know how the area can’t at least be considered to be in a severe short-term drought based on the current streak. I guess the coolish temps of late have helped.

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?Midwest

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest ovweather
50 minutes ago, sojitodd said:

Can this rain please then just skip under Indy if want to keep this dry spell but then move up and give me a good one or two inches? Dang. 

 

 

With a strengthening La Niña, the dryness in the midwest is likely to continue into November. Late summer / autumn dryness / drought is common in the midwest during La Niña’s, of course with variabilities.

Delta is starting to look like a possible swing and a miss for the lower OV this weekend as each model run lowers precip totals, but we aren’t nearly as dry as central IN.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, ovweather said:

With a strengthening La Niña, the dryness in the midwest is likely to continue into November. Late summer / autumn dryness / drought is common in the midwest during La Niña’s, of course with variabilities.

Delta is starting to look like a possible swing and a miss for the lower OV this weekend as each model run lowers precip totals, but we aren’t nearly as dry as central IN.

Yeah I see that the chances of significant rainfall for me are going down...oh well. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

LOT calling for 81 at ORD tomorrow.  Assuming it happens, there's a very good chance it will be the last 80 degree day.

  • Sad 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

canvas.png.b70fbdab703fd930ff870d19c72b9628.png

9 hours ago, ovweather said:

Yet Indy is still barely into moderate drought status on the latest monitor. I don’t know how the area can’t at least be considered to be in a severe short-term drought based on the current streak. I guess the coolish temps of late have helped.

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?Midwest

The wife and I spent a few days in the Louisville area last weekend. The drive down was interesting because as we drove through Central Indiana, suddenly the lawns were dead (dormant).  It got a little greener as we got down to the Ohio, but was still dry. We thought about doing a waterfall tour, but the first two we checked out were almost dry.  We quickly gave up on that idea. lol

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, Hoosier said:

LOT calling for 81 at ORD tomorrow.  Assuming it happens, there's a very good chance it will be the last 80 degree day.

We are forecast for 80 both tomorrow and Saturday. If that little backdoor front moves the clouds in too soon on Saturday, 80's not happening.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest ovweather
8 minutes ago, IWXwx said:

canvas.png.b70fbdab703fd930ff870d19c72b9628.png

The wife and I spent a few days in the Louisville area last weekend. The drive down was interesting because as we drove through Central Indiana, suddenly the lawns were dead (dormant).  It got a little greener as we got down to the Ohio, but was still dry. We thought about doing a waterfall tour, bet the first two we checked out were almost dry.  We quickly gave up on that idea. lol

Yeah, not a good time for a waterfall tour. This time of year, unless big rain events happen weekly, most creeks / streams are normally running at their lowest levels for the entire year.

It seems September / October in the OV is either very dry or very wet over the past few decades. Rarely “normal.”

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
13 hours ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Man, I knew they were dry, but that is insane. 

Arid, Parched, Desiccated are just a few terms for how it is around these parts.

  • Like 1
  • Sad 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

How do the great November storms correlate with ENSO?

Nov 1913: El Nino!

Nov 1940 (Armistice Day Storm): El Nino!

Nov 1950: La Nina

Nov 1966 (985 mb): possibly neutral

Nov 1975 (Edmund Fitzgerald): La Nina

Nov 2002 (tornado outbreak) El Nino

Does anybody else have any thoughts about this?

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
18 minutes ago, Chinook said:

How do the great November storms correlate with ENSO?

Nov 1913: El Nino!

Nov 1940 (Armistice Day Storm): El Nino!

Nov 1950: La Nina

Nov 1966 (985 mb): possibly neutral

Nov 1975 (Edmund Fitzgerald): La Nina

Nov 2002 (tornado outbreak) El Nino

Does anybody else have any thoughts about this?

That big storms can happen in any ENSO state?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
48 minutes ago, Chinook said:

How do the great November storms correlate with ENSO?

Nov 1913: El Nino!

Nov 1940 (Armistice Day Storm): El Nino!

Nov 1950: La Nina

Nov 1966 (985 mb): possibly neutral

Nov 1975 (Edmund Fitzgerald): La Nina

Nov 2002 (tornado outbreak) El Nino

Does anybody else have any thoughts about this?

You are missing a few 1998 had a huge storm, and though in October you have to consider the Octobomb, both of which were La Nina.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Looks like today could be the last 80-degree day until next year.

With clouds already increasing by morning, get ready for Delta to be responsible for a crappy weekend.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Although this is the time of the year for the greatest diurnal temp swings, the dryness in Central Indiana seems to be exacerbating the spreads. Muncie had a nice 42° spread yesterday (45°-87°).

 

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Record yesterday here in Duluth. Awesome day yesterday.

RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 0725 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2020 ...

RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT DULUTH MN...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 80 WAS SET AT DULUTH MN YESTERDAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 76 SET IN 1930.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
22 hours ago, Chinook said:

How do the great November storms correlate with ENSO?

Nov 1913: El Nino!

Nov 1940 (Armistice Day Storm): El Nino!

Nov 1950: La Nina

Nov 1966 (985 mb): possibly neutral

Nov 1975 (Edmund Fitzgerald): La Nina

Nov 2002 (tornado outbreak) El Nino

Does anybody else have any thoughts about this?

You can add Halloween storm Oct31-Nov2 1991: El Nino

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

For a week I was looking forward to this weekend and some modest warmth and sunshine after the mixed week, instead of waking up to the final hours of good weather I see a dark, gloomy overcast (noon is as bright as 6:45 pm!!) and higher than expected winds. Just 24 hours ago it was showing mainly sunny conditions. This was the last day on my 7-day showing both 20C+ and some sunlight...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The GFS continues to tease snow events for the upper midwest in the 1-2 week period.  Last night's Euro had a good one up in Minnesota.

At the very least, it appears the garden season will be over.

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
10 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

The GFS continues to tease snow events for the upper midwest in the 1-2 week period.  Last night's Euro had a good one up in Minnesota.

At the very least, it appears the garden season will be over.

GFS fantasy games had to start at some point.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_44.png

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
27 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

^Talk about a wintry look Oct 20 and beyond.

La Nina and below average Octobers are rare. More typical in Nino's. Do you know any that have occurred during a La Nina in Chicago? How did the following winter pan out? 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.