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Met1985

2020/2021 Fall/Winter Mountain thread

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The overnight models dont really impress me with this storm.  The GFS looks very moisture starved to me, the NAM looks decent and the euro has cut back on totals a lot. Again to me not good signs if you are looking for a big snow fellas.
I missed out on the Christmas snow and never saw more than 2" last year. So anything over 2" will be a vast improvement IMBY.
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Just now, Tyler Penland said:
5 hours ago, Met1985 said:
The overnight models dont really impress me with this storm.  The GFS looks very moisture starved to me, the NAM looks decent and the euro has cut back on totals a lot. Again to me not good signs if you are looking for a big snow fellas.

I missed out on the Christmas snow and never saw more than 2" last year. So anything over 2" will be a vast improvement IMBY.

I hear ya Tyler. Shoot we have already done much better this season than last. 

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6 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Euro just crushed everyone 

Even down this way and into upstate and Cleveland county with 5-7" totals. 

Nam + Euro 

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Going to be hard not to get Winter Storm Watches hoisted this afternoon for the Mountains and the Foothills. The 12Z ECMWF certainly painted an interesting picture regarding potential totals.  My hunch is someone is looking at final totals early Saturday nearing a foot. Time will tell. 

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1 minute ago, Maggie Ace said:

Going to be hard not to get Winter Storm Watches hoisted this afternoon for the Mountains and the Foothills. The 12Z ECMWF certainly painted an interesting picture regarding potential totals.  My hunch is someone is looking at final totals early Saturday nearing a foot. Time will tell. 

Combined with the para gfs and the nam.

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Just now, BretWx said:

Big increase in QPF.

qpf_acc.us_ma.png

Classic SE flow. Blue ridge escarpment will have power issues 

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TEXT off the 12NAM for KFQD showing 4.5"+ 

HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt 10m Dir 10m Spd TPrcp CPrcp 1000-500 500mb 850mb 500mb MSLP TCC PRS WX   Tot    Snowfall  Vis
                Deg F  Deg F   deg      kt    in.   in.     Thk    GPH   Tmp   Tmp   mb   %  TEXT    Clouds      in    SM
42 01/08 06Z   34     33      58       5    0.06  0.00    541    556   -2.9 -20.4 1019 100 RA    017OVC230    0.2    4.8
  45 01/08 09Z   33     32      53       8    0.17  0.00    540    554   -3.0 -22.2 1016 100 SN    009OVC233    0.4    3.5
  48 01/08 12Z   32     31      45       8    0.14  0.00    538    552   -3.0 -23.0 1017 100 -SN   012OVC142    1.1    4.9
  51 01/08 15Z   32     31      26       8    0.06  0.00    538    551   -2.0 -24.0 1016 100 PL    021OVC239    0.3    2.1
  54 01/08 18Z   32     31       1       7    0.35  0.00    537    550   -1.6 -23.8 1015 100 SN    019OVC239    3.1    0.1
  57 01/08 21Z   35     33      13       7    0.15  0.00    539    550   -0.4 -22.6 1013 100 -RA   036OVC090    0.0   16.3
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24 minutes ago, Maggie Ace said:

Going to be hard not to get Winter Storm Watches hoisted this afternoon for the Mountains and the Foothills. The 12Z ECMWF certainly painted an interesting picture regarding potential totals.  My hunch is someone is looking at final totals early Saturday nearing a foot. Time will tell. 

Was thinking the same especially with the EURO and NAM going the way they are. 

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Wondering if GSP will issue WSW this afternoon or tomorrow morning. Hopefully this afternoon. A celebratory beer is in order. 

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13 minutes ago, Buckethead said:

Something tells me I'll have a little more than 2-4" up here counting the nwf behind the system.

Someone down SW of may get double my total. I hope y'all get nailed.

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
 

Yeah sometimes these storms either underperform or overperform in these type setups.

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1 minute ago, BretWx said:

Wondering if GSP will issue WSW this afternoon or tomorrow morning. Hopefully this afternoon. A celebratory beer is in order. 

I think something will come out this afternoon to warn the public ahead of time. 

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Decided to chase this one, where would y’all recommend I go? Seems like Boone should do well but open to any suggestions. Thanks 

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1 minute ago, NC_WX10 said:

Decided to chase this one, where would y’all recommend I go? Seems like Boone should do well but open to any suggestions. Thanks 

Look back a page. We have already discussed that to a certain point. 

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1 minute ago, Met1985 said:

Look back a page. We have already discussed that to a certain point. 

Sorry about that. I see that now. Thanks 

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