General Tropical Discussion - 2020

[Solak]

 

[Modfan2]

7 hours ago, Solak said:

 

Not a lot of warm water to work with north of the Bahamas

[magpiemaniac]

Update...

 

[Orangeburgwx]

2020 be like...

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[Solak]

Recon tentatively scheduled for Friday.

[Solak]

 

[tarheelwx]

Well, if the euro is right, any talk of the summer drought being underway wound be a distant memory.  
TW

[mackerel_sky]

Models have moved into two main camps overnight. Out to sea, or pulled in to the mainland by the ULL

[Solak]

31 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Models have moved into two main camps overnight. Out to sea, or pulled in to the mainland by the ULL

Spann DOES have a funny bone after all

 

[NorthHillsWx]

Surface low seems to be forming right on Daytona Beach. As NWS said, too much shear for this thing to get going. For what it's worth, the NAM (I know) has a frisky tropical low moving into the Carolina coastline tomorrow and proceeding up through the Piedmont with heavy rain. 

Also, towards the end of the GFS, it has been advertising development in the western Caribbean/GOM for a couple days now. It did a good job with Arthur in the long range as well.

[NorthHillsWx]

NAM nailed this. We have Bertha 

[nwohweather]

Raining buckets here

[kvegas-wx]

Welcome Bertha!  May your rains be small.

[Anonmet_GSO]

Tropical trouble may develop in the GoM from the system that is traversing over land from the Eastern Pacific in the Gulf.  System is progged to reach Tropical Storm strength a couple hundred miles south of LA.  Spagetti plot hinting at a generally northward movement.  

 

[yotaman]

TD3 has formed off the western Yucatan peninsula.