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General Tropical Discussion - 2020

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31 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Models have moved into two main camps overnight. Out to sea, or pulled in to the mainland by the ULL

Spann DOES have a funny bone after all ;)


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Surface low seems to be forming right on Daytona Beach. As NWS said, too much shear for this thing to get going. For what it's worth, the NAM (I know) has a frisky tropical low moving into the Carolina coastline tomorrow and proceeding up through the Piedmont with heavy rain. 

Also, towards the end of the GFS, it has been advertising development in the western Caribbean/GOM for a couple days now. It did a good job with Arthur in the long range as well.


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Tropical trouble may develop in the GoM from the system that is traversing over land from the Eastern Pacific in the Gulf.  System is progged to reach Tropical Storm strength a couple hundred miles south of LA.  Spagetti plot hinting at a generally northward movement.  


Screen Shot 2020-06-01 at 7.36.01 PM.png

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