Chris78 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Got this from another subforum. Im assuming this is the best the GEFS has looked in a while for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 18Z WB GEFS for weekend. Some improvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 28, 2020 Author Share Posted January 28, 2020 15 minutes ago, CentralVaNATS said: Not gonna happen Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk If you want to do this, do it in the banter thread. Or find a two year old to join you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: If you want to do this, do it in the banter thread. Or find a two year old to join you. These kinds of years teach us a lot about people Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Ok....don’t look at the GEFS WB Day 16 prob. if it annoys you, but its the highest its been in awhile if not all winter. I dare say above climo average...now see if it is a trend or blip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 37 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Does it matter on Monday? It's a step in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 51 minutes ago, CentralVaNATS said: Nope Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Try not to put so much effort into it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: It's a step in the right direction. One of my steps or yours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, leesburg 04 said: One of my steps or yours? A step toward Seat Pleasant. Central Ave and Addison Road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 21 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Ok....don’t look at the GEFS WB Day 16 prob if it annoys you, but its the highest its been in awhile if not all winter. I dare say above climo average...now see if it is a trend or blip. better pattern = better probabilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: better pattern = better probabilities. Thanks for sanity................... Simply, better pattern....... If it verifies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 15 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: better pattern = better probabilities. There's our window ... let's keep the look going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: There's our window ... let's keep the look going. A long wave trough axis over Cincinnati and Nashville can work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 7 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 18z Eps with a nice improvement as well for the weekend. Nice bump in mean qpf . Mean snowfall also bumped up . Mean snowfall is 1.5 inches to 2 inches i95 west Perhaps the ICON could be correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: 18Z EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, losetoa6 said: No doubt there will be more changes being 100 to 110 hrs out . It be nice if we could get 2 model suites to build off each other at 0z . It be a nice win if we could manage to squeak out a 1-3 "2-4" event from this . 2.4” at DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: No doubt there will be more changes being 100 to 110 hrs out . It be nice if we could get 2 model suites to build off each other at 0z . It be a nice win if we could manage to squeak out a 1-3 "2-4" event from this . Would be money! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Westendsnowguy Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 18z vs 12z and some member eye candy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Did PD2 500mb pattern have a rather significant SE Ridge? Or am I thinking of some other significant past Feb storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 9 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Nobody posted the Navy ....989 off Va beach HH on a role Progressive bias so tuck that in and amp it to 980! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, psuhoffman said: Progressive bias so tuck that in and amp it to 980! I thought we had a convo back in the fall that they fixed that bias? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 13 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I thought we had a convo back in the fall that they fixed that bias? I have no idea I don’t ever look at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 33 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Dam*..the most progressive model is the most phase happy . Next frame ends up at 958 mb off Cape Cod Outside of a tropical system I don’t think we could get a 958 off the VA capes in winter. I’d pay to see it however Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 1 hour ago, losetoa6 said: Nobody posted the Navy ....989 off Va beach HH on a role Is that a slight neg tilt developing in the isobars? 540 right through DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 28, 2020 Author Share Posted January 28, 2020 Think the ICON is gonna be north and stronger. Probably should let it play out I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Think the ICON is gonna be north and stronger. Probably should let it play out I guess. A miss. Not as good at 500. You could tell early on. Wouldn't really worry about it unless all the other guidance shifts east tonight. Wouldn't take much to get it back at 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 28, 2020 Author Share Posted January 28, 2020 6 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Think the ICON is gonna be north and stronger. Probably should let it play out I guess. Haha good call. It looked better but then just seemed to wash out. Oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, MD Snow said: A miss. Not as good at 500. You could tell early on. Wouldn't really worry about it unless all the other guidance shifts east tonight. Wouldn't take much to get it back at 6z. H5 much more postive tilted compared to 18z. That made all the difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 So GFS may be about to pull something here. H5 is a bit more amped than previous runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 GFS no doubt going to be better than the 0z icon....maybe better than 18z GFS as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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