40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Betty Davis just deleted her account. Cristina Abernathy has issued a warning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 25 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: exactly what I said last week when everyone was dancing like its 2015 and the greatest winter pattern ever Well, they were referencing a modeled pattern that is not going to verify....having a cross polar flow linked through an enormous ridge that engulfs the majority of the EPO and PNA domains renders the NAO much less relevant. I was surprised to see that guidance that gung-ho on the Pacific, and it makes more sense to me that the idea was abandoned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 19, 2020 Author Share Posted January 19, 2020 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, they were referencing a modeled pattern that is not going to verify....having a cross polar flow linked through an enormous ridge that engulfs the majority of the EPO and PNA domains renders the NAO much less relevant. I was surprised to see that guidance that gung-ho on the Pacific, and it makes more sense to me that the idea was abandoned. It was fragile and the NAO still looks like crap, not exactly confidence building Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 CMC and the Euro have the low in pretty much the same spot at hour 120.. but different upper air patterns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 Just now, Dr. Dews said: It was fragile and the NAO still looks like crap, not exactly confidence building NAO was supposed to still look like crap at this point. We should know how things will play out within the next month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 Just now, ineedsnow said: CMC and the Euro have the low in pretty much the same spot at hour 120.. but different upper air patterns CMC hanging back confluence to the north more.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: NAO was supposed to still look like crap at this point. We should know how things will play out within the next month. We can work with HBR. If the weeklies are right it’s +NAO for a chunk of Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 Euro might be good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: We can work with HBR. If the weeklies are right it’s +NAO for a chunk of Feb. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 me thinks euro is gonna be pretty good , low about to pull out of Delmarva region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 Euro doesn't look that good to me. It's ok. But it buried the ULL pretty hard and the confluence is not as good as GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 Still warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 wonder if it misses south lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Euro doesn't look that good to me. It's ok. But it buried the ULL pretty hard and the confluence is not as good as GGEM. Yep.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 H5 is a bit further south than 00z on the EURO....bleh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 We move to the mtns of MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 LOL Not many posts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 Confluence actually trended worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 Move that north into the cold air that's a ton of qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 Just an op run. As WD mentioned .. it’s qpf loaded . See what EPS shows. This isn’t a suppression pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 LOL Not many posts...Just another solutionSent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 Days and days of onshore flow. Pissah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 A week away, not putting all money in on any single solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 It's got potential still but you don't want to bury that ULL like that. Again...as Walt said...this is all about timing. You need that ULL lifting up to the northeast under us at the same time we're getting the good confluence. If you mistime them, then it's a boring solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Days and days of onshore flow. Pissah. It will be good practice for you for the spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 wpc seems to take a primary to sw ohio, then redevelop in sw virgina. moves to just south of long island sunday morn but the high looks to be ne of Maine, instead of in Quebec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: wpc seems to take a primary to sw ohio, then redevelop in sw virgina. moves to just south of long island sunday morn but the high looks to be ne of Maine, instead of in Quebec. It’s as good a guess as any.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just an op run. As WD mentioned .. it’s qpf loaded . See what EPS shows. This isn’t a suppression pattern Who cares this far out? Let's see if there is any consistency next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 Through. 1/18/2020 BOS: +10.5 ** BDL: +9.3 PVD: +8.3 ORH: +8.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 EPS are still showing potential. All we can say at this time range. Wish it was a little colder but the EPS are colder than the OP run and further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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