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Zelocita Weather

Possible frontal wave snow

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14 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Not true anymore. Euro isnt what it was back in the day. 

So your saying the euros skill is less then it used to be? I highly doubt that. 
Too many things need to go right for this to be more then some wet non accumulating snow (in the city) I’ll take a slushy coating as I like all snow but keep expectations low 

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22 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Gfs still looks really nice for the whole area. 

Yes but we all know not to trust that model

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11 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

So your saying the euros skill is less then it used to be? I highly doubt that. 
Too many things need to go right for this to be more then some wet non accumulating snow (in the city) I’ll take a slushy coating as I like all snow but keep expectations low 

 How many times have the euro busted in the past few years ? It's not as good as it use to be.

1-3 is still a good call for the city . Hopefully the gfs is right with 2-4.

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1 hour ago, Snow88 said:

 How many times have the euro busted in the past few years ? It's not as good as it use to be.

1-3 is still a good call for the city . Hopefully the gfs is right with 2-4.

How’s the euro this morning

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Just my $0.02, but I don't think much of us get much accumulation, maybe an inch or two in the higher elevations. As far as I see, we hover around 31-35. And if we saw what happened last Monday, we need some decent rates to get accumulating snow. Add in that It will be near 60 on Tuesday, and the ground will probably still be warmer than the air, at least for the start of snow. 

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The 06 NAM backed off QPF and the 06z ICON has the band of precip. far SE with only minor accumulations for the coastal areas.  But the 06z UK and RDPS were still very wet with (likely) moderate snow accumulations.  The 12z NAM was again light on QPF.

Typical slight but locally meaningful model disagreement.  The radar and obs early Wed. morning off to our SSW will likely tell the tale.  

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There seems to be a slight trend to lessen QPF and possibly shift the axis a little east among the majority of guidance in recent runs.  But it's hard to tell if it's just noise or not.

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Kuchera snowmap has about 3 inches for the city. 

Nam so far is the driest model.

2-4 inches for the city based off the 12z runs with the cmc and euro up.

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8 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Kuchera snowmap has about 3 inches for the city. 

Nam so far is the driest model.

2-4 inches for the city based off the 12z runs with the cmc and euro up.

This is more of a car topper in the city..maybe an inch.

entire event looks mediocre at best even inland.

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2 minutes ago, Animal said:

This is more of a car topper in the city..maybe an inch.

entire event looks mediocre at best even inland.

Based off what ? 

2-4 is a good call right now

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19 minutes ago, weathermedic said:

With temps progged to fall below freezing, a rain to snow transition and precipitation continuing to fall, I think a major problem will be any untreated road surfaces freezing up eventually as the morning progresses. 

Yes, I think this storm is being underplayed.  1-3 inches on top of wet roads can be hazardous, most accidents happen during and just after light snowfalls.

 

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The morning rush hour Wednesday has the potential to be quite dicey as it stands right now. No one is going to take a snow threat seriously tomorrow when it's 65 degrees and raining. 

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2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Like I said yesterday, we'd be lucky to get an inch. No change from that idea.

Northwest burbs should get a few inches.  Wouldn't really be expecting more than an inch or two for i95/coast with BL issues and crappy lift.  

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