dendrite Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 Toss the clowns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 I’m expecting the Euro to hold serve or even back off a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Toss the clowns. This vendor is pretty congruent with thermals. GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Me neither...but we're squeaking something wintry out of a cutter so you know it'll probably be torchy well aloft even if 850s get cold. I feel like we need another push or two to get this more snowy. There's still time I guess. Were starting to get inside day 5 now so going to start to pay more attention but it looks like just from prelim look it is ticking colder even in the upper levels but is such an anomalous set up, looks like models are trying to pop a Meso low off the coast so that may help in the snow dept. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 This is 1998 version for SNE south of ORH and sleet north. It’s not a snow set up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: I’m expecting the Euro to hold serve or even back off a bit We have no room for northern ticks like last time. Lots of time of course, but we don’t have a lot of cold signal like earlier as we did at this timeframe in the prior event. And we all know how that trended in the final 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Toss the clowns. He can’t help himself. As astute as he is it’s a siren...that can’t be ignored Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 Down in Mass but looking at this on my smartphone what a crap show for us central New Hampshire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: This is 1998 version for SNE south of ORH and sleet north. It’s not a snow set up Post the h5 from 1998 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: This is 1998 version for SNE south of ORH and sleet north. It’s not a snow set up 1998 ain’t walking through that door Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: He can’t help himself. As astute as he is it’s a siren...that can’t be ignored I'm not sure what you are talking about...that GFS run is big snow in Maine. It is what is is and may very well not verify, but given its a model thread, its posted for discussion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 I don’t think anyone has enough UK data to develop accurate snow maps. Euro probably also to a lesser degree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Post the h5 from 1998 It's nothing like this. lol That was days and days of SW flow aloft and strong confluence over QB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: It's nothing like this. lol That was days and days of SW flow aloft and strong confluence over QB. Maybe he means the impacts in CT would be the same as how CT was impacted in 1998. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 We have seen this before. Think, old timers. Like we said 3 days ago its going to be congrats NNE before SNE but interior frozen is looking likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: It's nothing like this. lol That was days and days of SW flow aloft and strong confluence over QB. It actually does resemble it. HP nosing down with strong primary and sw flow aloft . Not exact no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Maybe he means the impacts in CT would be the same as how CT was impacted in 1998. Lol I'm rooting for sleet here....don't think big snows are a realistic option, and the other alternative is me investing hundreds in a generator. No thanks- 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm rooting for sleet here....don't think big snows are a realistic option, and the other alternative is me investing hundreds in a generator. No thanks- Same. Looks like a classic mixed bag here. Some frozen in different forms. Some liquid. Hoping to avoid ZR but that seems to be somewhat likely. Not a big snow event in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 Kevin has mentioned damaging and 1998 probably two or three times every season since 2008. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah you have think with the high nosing in, it’s cold inland especially. Yeah it's not rotting in-situ type CAD with a retreating high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 12 minutes ago, weathafella said: I don’t think anyone has enough UK data to develop accurate snow maps. Euro probably also to a lesser degree The old version of wxbell had a graphic that displayed the warmest layer between H85 and H7.....I loved it. Now the new graphics this year just have H85 and H7 separately, which can miss the warmest layer that is often around H8. I'm not sure why wxbell did away with the other graphic...it was invaluable. But I think having upper air thermals in general should allow for a fairly accurate depiction of precip type, when sleet is not counted as snow, which it isn't on F5 graphics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Kevin has mentioned damaging and 1998 probably two or three times every season since 2008. It still really stings him that he missed 2008 by like 25-30 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: It still really stings him that he missed 2008 by like 25-30 miles I missed it by like 7-10mi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Same. Looks like a classic mixed bag here. Some frozen in different forms. Some liquid. Hoping to avoid ZR but that seems to be somewhat likely. Not a big snow event in SNE Mehhhing has begun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 Everyone has 1 or 2 they would like to have back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Mehhhing has begun The look right now is a bunch of sleet, a couple of inches of snow, some freezing rain, some plain rain for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 This is not just your ordinary primary dieing out west SW flow event as depicted . There is that component but there is also vorticity redevelopment as the Atmosphere profile crashes. Very complex and very interesting for snow lovers who have lined up in punt formation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Mehhhing has begun I think the impact ceiling on this is higher than it would be for a 1' of powder.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: The look right now is a bunch of sleet, a couple of inches of snow, some freezing rain, some plain rain for here. We hope.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 Ice is a factor that can't be ignored for some here, Sleet as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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