Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    15,515
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    chrislittlenews
    Newest Member
    chrislittlenews
    Joined
weatherwiz

New England Convective Discussion

Recommended Posts

Line of intense storms that continue to intensify over eastern NYS are moving eastward into a better low-level shear environment will continue and increase as they make it into the SNE region.  Tornado threat will continue to increase through the rest of the afternoon and early evening.

  • Haha 1
  • Confused 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Mesoscale Discussion 1827
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0255 PM CDT Wed Aug 21 2019

   Areas affected...Hudson Valley into southern New England

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 609...

   Valid 211955Z - 212130Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 609
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Thunderstorm activity will continue to develop and
   intensify across the region through 5-7 PM EDT, posing a risk for
   damaging wind gusts, and perhaps at least some continuing risk for a
   tornado or two.

   DISCUSSION...The initial convective band has largely dissipated, but
   widely scattered, generally discrete vigorous thunderstorms have
   developed and persisted.  This includes one storm which still could
   take on an increasing supercell structure as it tracks
   near/northwest of Providence RI during the next hour or so.  

   Convection north of Albany appears to be gradually growing upscale,
   with potential to produce a swath of damaging winds becoming more
   apparent.  Further intensification and organization appears
   possible, as it tracks eastward along an effective warm frontal zone
   near/north of the Massachusetts/Vermont and New Hampshire border
   area through 21-23Z.

   Additional new thunderstorm development is ongoing within surface
   troughing, near/east of the Catskills and Poconos.  In the presence
   of moderate instability and shear, this activity is expected to
   intensify further and gradually pose increasing potential for strong
   surface gusts across the lower Hudson Valley into southern New
   England and Long Island.

   ..Kerr.. 08/21/2019

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Hoping stuff in E NY will intensify in CT. Debating on going to BDL but traffic now would be a shit show and there is an accident before 91 merger 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Hoping stuff in E NY will intensify in CT. Debating on going to BDL but traffic now would be a shit show and there is an accident before 91 merger 

I suspect there's too much cloud debris in southern CT for much intensification, at least near the coast, but you never know. The shear is definitely in place and intensifying, so we'll see. I no longer have much hope for anything really good in HVN area...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, ct_yankee said:

I suspect there's too much cloud debris in southern CT for much intensification, at least near the coast, but you never know. The shear is definitely in place and intensifying, so we'll see. I no longer have much hope for anything really good in HVN area...

It still seems rather unstable per mesoanalysis with no CIN showing up. Back in WeHa now but quite a bit of clouds. But shear is there with s/w arriving so we’ll see what happens.  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Downpours forming over CT . Sun gone. Severe threat dwindling 

 

Those downpours are starting to turn into some good storms

  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

It would have been one thing if they ended the watch early. Could see the concern. But looking at vis sat, I see no reason to think the watch should be continued at all at this point. All severe will be very isolated, if at all.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, sbos_wx said:

It would have been one thing if they ended the watch early. Could see the concern. But looking at vis sat, I see no reason to think the watch should be continued at all at this point. All severe will be very isolated, if at all.

Nice and cool here now. That was a fun visual storm

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Nice and cool here now. That was a fun visual storm

You really got an awesome one all things considered! Legitimate supercell 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Some reports of big branches down in Methuen, but I saw nothing of the sort.

I saw a few small branches down on the west side of town around forest/pelham st along with some quick flash flooding that quickly subsided. Nothing big that I saw though. It was a fun storm, tons of lightning and some brief hail as well. 

IMG_7460.PNG

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Downpours forming over CT . Sun gone. Severe threat dwindling 

 

 

JzsQKc5.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
36 minutes ago, sbos_wx said:

You really got an awesome one all things considered! Legitimate supercell 

Several trees on houses just to my NE. I could see how that happened.  Pretty cool

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×