cstrunk Posted June 19, 2019 Share Posted June 19, 2019 I agree with SPC concerning the tornado threat, my concern is for potentially wind-driven very large hail. That would be no fun. *edit - Towers are going up north of DFW. Initiation seems likely soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 19, 2019 Share Posted June 19, 2019 Expected storm tops to 65,000 feet. Whoa! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted June 19, 2019 Share Posted June 19, 2019 Warning up for rural Collin county for quarter size hail and 60 mph winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted June 19, 2019 Share Posted June 19, 2019 The southern supercell has a hook on it, very beefy storms in the NE TX region. National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 527 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019 TXC231-192300- /O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0242.000000T0000Z-190619T2300Z/ Hunt TX- 527 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN HUNT COUNTY... At 527 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Celeste, or 8 miles northwest of Greenville, moving east at 20 mph. This is a very dangerous storm. HAZARD...Baseball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. ... TORNADO...POSSIBLE HAIL...2.75IN WIND...60MPH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted June 19, 2019 Share Posted June 19, 2019 The hail core passing through Campbell looks crazy, warned for baseball sized hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted June 19, 2019 Share Posted June 19, 2019 Pretty large TOR warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted June 19, 2019 Share Posted June 19, 2019 This is from the DFW NBC 5 radar after the tornado moved over Greenville. Impressive stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted June 19, 2019 Share Posted June 19, 2019 Reports were a trunk not a wedge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted June 19, 2019 Share Posted June 19, 2019 It's kind of in a bad radar spot but the storm west of Winthrop AR looks very impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 19, 2019 Share Posted June 19, 2019 Wondering how long the cap will hold over the metroplex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted June 19, 2019 Share Posted June 19, 2019 AR storm is very impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted June 19, 2019 Share Posted June 19, 2019 could it be held up by the CI/AS layers currently in most of the metro from the storms off to the SW near Brownwood/Abilene/Dyess AFB (extrapolating from the ASOS cloud heights and satellite pics there attm). it also looks like two sets of the blowoff tops may have caused a bit of a bubble to form in between, with that bubble right on top of the metroplex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 20, 2019 Share Posted June 20, 2019 Looks like things are starting to get going west of DFW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 20, 2019 Share Posted June 20, 2019 Rotation seems to be pretty noticeable near Como and Sulphur Springs, TX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted June 20, 2019 Share Posted June 20, 2019 00Z RAOB from FWD. just an ever so slight lid still holding attm, especially if you look at the mixed layer, not the pure surface Td. still though 3900 j/kg cape and an LI of -12. just need to bust the cap at 750hPa. the lapse rate from the lid to 500hPa is big though, so pop it, and you'll need more than the Coyote's parasol to protect you from the hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 20, 2019 Share Posted June 20, 2019 Looks like DFW lucked out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted June 20, 2019 Share Posted June 20, 2019 Tor warning N. Of Shreveport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted June 20, 2019 Share Posted June 20, 2019 3 hours ago, yoda said: Looks like DFW lucked out The cap is king in DFW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob's Burgers Posted June 20, 2019 Share Posted June 20, 2019 HREF probs look pretty impressive this evening in the Central Plains. Depending on how robust these storms are could have major implications for tomorrow's event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 20, 2019 Share Posted June 20, 2019 That is an impressive shortwave coming through the S Plains for the end of June on Sunday. Setup looks more May-like synoptically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MNstorms Posted June 21, 2019 Author Share Posted June 21, 2019 Only tornadoes today seemed to be in a 0% chance spot in west Minnesota. Don't know how the SPC missed this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 quick question on this double squall line moving through eastern KS and Missouri currently. How close can these lines be before they end up working against each other in a dynamically destructive manner? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MNstorms Posted June 21, 2019 Author Share Posted June 21, 2019 HRRR is impressive for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob's Burgers Posted June 22, 2019 Share Posted June 22, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 On 6/21/2019 at 9:45 AM, Jim Marusak said: quick question on this double squall line moving through eastern KS and Missouri currently. How close can these lines be before they end up working against each other in a dynamically destructive manner? I'm not sure my answer is 100% correct but from my experience it is more about the timing than the distance apart. What I mean by timing is how long it takes for that second line to pass through the same environment the first line did. Generally that second line would weaken as it pushes east due to the fact of the first line eats up all the moisture and instability ahead of it. However, looking at previous models it was ridiculously unstable across that geographic area when those two lines passed through to where it would be hard for that first squall line to work over the atmosphere enough. Those lines were also moving really fast so it's not like that first line had time to work over the atmosphere enough either. Also the LLJ was very strong which definitely fueled those lines. Personally, I would consider this event an anomaly. I'm sure other mets can correct me or add onto this but I hope my explanation helps a bit at least! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 DFW in the enhanced risk area for the third Sunday in a row Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 Jeff Piotrowski seems to feel it could get pretty active. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vwgrrc Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 really quite for an Enhanced day over DFW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 Back on Friday the double squall line or double MCS was able to survive because both had open access to the LLJ and inflow. They were moving somewhat in parallel, instead of one immediately following the other. Eventually they somewhat merged in the Ohio Valley before continuing through the Tennessee Valley and off the Carolina coast. @Jim Marusak @It's Always Sunny The MCSs were impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 7 hours ago, nrgjeff said: Back on Friday the double squall line or double MCS was able to survive because both had open access to the LLJ and inflow. They were moving somewhat in parallel, instead of one immediately following the other. Eventually they somewhat merged in the Ohio Valley before continuing through the Tennessee Valley and off the Carolina coast. @Jim Marusak @It's Always Sunny The MCSs were impressive. that makes total sense. and yes they were impressive. not something you or I will see very often. just hope i remember the mental notes for the next time it happens, say in like 10 year or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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