• Member Statistics

    16,116
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Irish
    Newest Member
    Irish
    Joined
Sign in to follow this  
WEATHERMINATOR

March 3rd-4th Shellacking threat

Recommended Posts

I'll be happy with a 6-8 inch storm since that would be the most snow I've seen since 2014 lol.

Though I feel like some areas might overperform, nothing crazy but stuff like 10" or maybe a foot at the very most for some areas.

Sent from my Z983 using Tapatalk

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

national westher service forecasting 5-9 by me in suffolk but they are claiming it will be a mix of snow sleet and freezing rain. does anyone buy this? i was thinking this would be all snow or rain and sleet

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

Look at last March, I had 4 inches and some of them had 20...

I live on the dividing line where elevation starts to go up. A few miles to my north or west has a surprising difference when it comes to snowfall. Isotherm’s yearly average snowfall map reflects this really well. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Here’s the million dollar question for me: I’m in south Nassau by Long Beach. Do I take the snow blower out of the shed (which I have yet to do this winter) or is it going to be pure slurpee slop when I wake up in the morning like all of the other recent storms?

i suspect a basic shovel to push the slop off the driveway is all I’ll need, but don’t want to have to shovel the back yard to get to the snow blower in the morning. 

TV weather isn’t helpful as they all say “could be less if warmer or more if colder”. News 12 is now calling for 4-8” across Nassau County. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, NyJosh said:

Here’s the million dollar question for me: I’m in south Nassau by Long Beach. Do I take the snow blower out of the shed (which I have yet to do this winter) or is it going to be pure slurpee slop when I wake up in the morning like all of the other recent storms?

i suspect a basic shovel to push the slop off the driveway is all I’ll need, but don’t want to have to shovel the back yard to get to the snow blower in the morning. 

TV weather isn’t helpful as they all say “could be less if warmer or more if colder”. News 12 is now calling for 4-8” across Nassau County. 

I’d expect at least 3-5” there, since there’ll be several hours at least of good snow before warm air comes close. If I had to wager from going through countless of these type storms, I’d say it mixes at some point but there may not be much of the storm left by then. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
StormTotalSnow.thumb.png.ae69ac4fd68959d94b2f5bbfd80d3d21.png

How can the Upton snowmap and my local accuweather differ this much? I know south shore LI is dubbed the “snowhole” of LI, but 2” for the entire storm when the NWS says 6-8” for the entire metro? Why this discrepancy?


.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Snowberd said:


How can the Upton snowmap and my local accuweather differ this much? I know south shore LI is dubbed the “snowhole” of LI, but 2” for the entire storm when the NWS says 6-8” for the entire metro? Why this discrepancy?


.

warm air is coming in and most likely

 snow will turn to rain

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, jm1220 said:

I’d expect at least 3-5” there, since there’ll be several hours at least of good snow before warm air comes close. If I had to wager from going through countless of these type storms, I’d say it mixes at some point but there may not be much of the storm left by then. 

So you would go with the shovel as opposed to pulling out the snow thrower (assuming I get outside around 7am)? If it’s too wet and sloppy the snow blower gets clogged up and doesn’t throw it more than a foot.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, NyJosh said:

So you would go with the shovel as opposed to pulling out the snow thrower (assuming I get outside around 7am)? If it’s too wet and sloppy the snow blower gets clogged up and doesn’t throw it more than a foot.

It's March. Put on a pair of waterproof hikers and go to work. It will be gone by the time you get home.

  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, SimeonNC said:

Fwiw a lot of the past hrrr runs never have LI completely switching to rain, mixing sure but no straight up rain storm.

Sent from my Z983 using Tapatalk
 

i hope so. we deserve a good snowstorm

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, weatherschool5 said:

East Shore Staten Island, Stapleton.... light snow and 36 degrees, VZ bridge almost obscured

The Stapleton PJs are no joke over there . I work in them time to time .. sorry a bit off topic .... 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Started raining lightly here in Metuchen at about 4:15 pm at 40F. The light rain just changed to light snow at 4:40 pm and it's 38F. Should drop pretty quickly, as the column cools from evaporation. It's already down to 34F 10 miles W in Somerville, where they've saturated the column. Show is about to begin folks.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Lol 

 

Rain, snow, freezing rain, and sleet before 2am, then snow and freezing rain. Low around 32. Wind chill values between 25 and 30. Southeast wind 7 to 17 mph becoming north after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no ice accumulation expected. New snow and sleet accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible.

 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said:

RGEM and hi res RGEM ticked QPF down a smidge, obviously noise. We're locked in to a 7-12" event. Probably ~9" IMO

Para gfs crushes Long Island now lol

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.