paweather Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 25 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 18z GFS says this place will be busy over the next 16 days ! Blizz thanks this is great stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 31 minutes ago, pawatch said: We just got bumped down. Interesting. I got bumped back up to 6-8 from 4-6 on the previous map. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 8 minutes ago, paweather said: Blizz thanks this is great stuff. 8" over 16 days is not that impressive to me....but don't get me wrong..I would take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 6 minutes ago, canderson said: They’ve dropped the WWA from 3-6 to 2-4 and hbg to 1-3 (was 2-4 earlier tonight(p). HRRR looks horrid, rain at Cashtown nearly. Erroneous! Everyone,including Harrisburg, is still 2-4 except for maybe more in Schuylkill county... Here is the actual latest update from CTP... Mifflin-Juniata-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Lycoming- Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin- Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland- Including the cities of Lewistown, Mifflintown, Trout Run, Laporte, Williamsport, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, Newport, Harrisburg, Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, and Carlisle 954 PM EST Mon Jan 28 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total accumulations of 2 to 4 inches most places, with up to 6 inches possible over the higher terrain of Schuylkill County. The lightest amounts will be west of the Susquehanna River. * WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...Light snow will arrive toward dawn Tuesday and should taper off Tuesday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 The 0z RGEM looks good for the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Erroneous! Everyone,including Harrisburg, is still 2-4 except for maybe more in Schuylkill county... Here is the actual latest update from CTP... Mifflin-Juniata-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Lycoming- Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin- Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland- Including the cities of Lewistown, Mifflintown, Trout Run, Laporte, Williamsport, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, Newport, Harrisburg, Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, and Carlisle 954 PM EST Mon Jan 28 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total accumulations of 2 to 4 inches most places, with up to 6 inches possible over the higher terrain of Schuylkill County. The lightest amounts will be west of the Susquehanna River. * WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...Light snow will arrive toward dawn Tuesday and should taper off Tuesday evening. Adams, York & Lancaster are 2-4 as well in the update for those counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 I mean the grid. Tuesday Snow. High near 35. Southeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 29, 2019 Author Share Posted January 29, 2019 56 minutes ago, pawatch said: We just got bumped down. The reductions are most notable back here in the central/south central counties, AOO went from 2-3 range to <1 and UNV went from like 4 to maybe 1 or so. Although I'm sporting a nice 6-7" glacier pack as is so I don't expect anyone to feel bad for me haha. 53 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I think these maps are automated depending on whatever the NAM spits out every 6 hours. No there would be more than that going into generating those products with them having percentile and probability maps to look at. They likely utilize short range ensemble data like the SREF and HREF plus WPC's products. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 The 0z GFS is a @pasnownut bullseye ! Most of us in the Susquehanna Valley get 2-4 inches this run, which seems to be the consensus with most models today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 19 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 0z GFS is a @pasnownut bullseye ! Most of us in the Susquehanna Valley get 2-4 inches this run, which seems to be the consensus with most models today. Sure hope so. Still keeping my bar at 3”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 1 hour ago, 2001kx said: Goodluck to our eastern members.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Let’s hope for a surprise event on Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 29, 2019 Author Share Posted January 29, 2019 Bunch of virga out of this so far here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 27 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Bunch of virga out of this so far here. Very light dusting of snow on the car tops in Marysville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 The 6z High Res 3k NAM & the 0z Euro are in agreement, which is usually a good combo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 a few flakes starting to fly here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 around a 1/2" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Very light dusting here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Coming down pretty good now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Holy crap at CTP's probabilistic map. They bumped it down big time in some locations. Less than one inch for most areas west of US-15??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 1 minute ago, Voyager said: Holy crap at CTP's probabilistic map. They bumped it down big time in some locations. Less than one inch for most areas west of US-15??? Seems To Be The Theme The Last Couple storms.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Actually, in perusing the nearby CWA's, they all bumped down totals in PA. The 6-8 range over the Poconos Mount Holly was showing has pretty much vanished in favor of a widespread 4-6, and even Binghamton lowered everything in most of NEPA and southern NY state. I guess some last minute shifts in either qpf and/or position of the front and developing wave are the culprits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Holy ****, 81 caved fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Holy ****, 81 caved f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Jesus that was a fast failure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Still cranking here..would guess around 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 The 6z GFS says game on for the Susquehanna Valley today ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 The CTP advisory still has 2-4 inches of snow today for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 1 hour ago, Voyager said: Actually, in perusing the nearby CWA's, they all bumped down totals in PA. The 6-8 range over the Poconos Mount Holly was showing has pretty much vanished in favor of a widespread 4-6, and even Binghamton lowered everything in most of NEPA and southern NY state. I guess some last minute shifts in either qpf and/or position of the front and developing wave are the culprits. Not sure how anyone could get 6-8 from a fropa. There is a secondary pop and that’s what bumps up totals for the east (including me as I’m now at 4-6”). It’s why these deals never get me giddy. Will be happy with whatever comes though. I’m still close to the fail line for that too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 1 hour ago, Atomixwx said: Holy ****, 81 caved fast it was a demolition derby for a while 47 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The CTP advisory still has 2-4 inches of snow today for most of us. not sure i'm buying it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now