Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think my area looks to get about the largest WE pack according to that map....10" of snow, then like 3" of sleet....1.9" liquid. Lol remember when everyone said bring QPF down. Historically high precip evolutions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I am paying attention to next week's system, I still think a few inches is possible tonight before the changeover and then more after it changes back to all snow on the backside of the system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 This storm is going to catch some off guard. A significant event with nowcast details. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2019 Author Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Lol remember when everyone said bring QPF down. Historically high precip evolutions Well, I'll take the under on 1.9". Just speaking to the map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: let me see google maps Come up 95 to 395 turns into 290 right into ORH, right off the exit 15. Would love to see you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2019 Author Share Posted January 19, 2019 4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: let me see google maps Funky Murphy's in Worcester....1pm on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Funky Murphy's in Worcester. Yeah i saw the original thread then googled the address, it's an hour and 30 minutes. Not too bad. What time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, I'll take the under on 1.9". Just speaking to the map. Go big young man, banding site suggests copious WAA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2019 Author Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: Yeah i saw the original thread then googled the address, it's an hour and 30 minutes. Not too bad. What time? Will and I will be there for the Euro at 1pm...the rest will trickle in all PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2019 Author Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Go big young man, banding site suggests copious WAA Either, way....1.5", 1.9"....big event. No debate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: Yeah i saw the original thread then googled the address, it's an hour and 30 minutes. Not too bad. What time? 1245 ish for Euro discussion should be light traffic, 35 minutes for me. Food is excellent and you wont find better company lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Nothing like a rain jackpot on frozen ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Will and I will be there for the Euro at 1pm...the rest will trickle in all PM. Yo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 This trend is over. I'm confident of that. Wouldn't be surprised to see some slight improvements for the GTG tmw. You guys can watch well I put my arrow maps together 8-10 your area is very realistic. And further north of the border, 10-16 is spot on.Boston metro always had less buffer. I think 4-8 will accurately cover current guidance as well as a probable Messenger shift east. My initial call for Boston was 6-12 but those higher #s are looking less likely.Wish I could join the GTG, would be fun to analyze and learn in person Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 1245 ish for Euro discussion should be light traffic, 35 minutes for me. Food is excellent and you wont find better company lol As long as Kevins coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Thanks for posting those euro maps Ray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2019 Author Share Posted January 19, 2019 22 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 1245 ish for Euro discussion should be light traffic, 35 minutes for me. Food is excellent and you wont find better company lol Its about exactly an hour for me...not bad..thankfully, I am right off of 495. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 31 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its about exactly an hour for me...not bad..thankfully, I am right off of 495. 54 mins here from Nashua Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Nammmy warmer aloft 0c 925 from about a hair S of BDL - Sturbridge - lynnfield at 12z ...maybe 5-10 miles north of THAT at 15z icy trendy not ur friendy for ice Nam thermals lookin mild at 12z w 32 like from PSM to Salem NH to Me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Well I'm having a hard time matching the snow forecasts to my west, but otherwise match BOX and CAR. But it was definitely a tick down from the previous forecast. There's the before, so people can chuck when the new one comes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I was more gentle than I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 As evidence of how warm the 00z suite was, WPC's 10th percentile distribution on top of our snowfall (9 out of 10 time you should expect more than this number) for a location like ASH went from around 9" at 12z to 3" at 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: ? Crushed with rain, Boston has a helluva ice storm Hey look, Im in the Jackpot Zone!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: As evidence of how warm the 00z suite was, WPC's 10th percentile distribution on top of our snowfall (9 out of 10 time you should expect more than this number) for a location like ASH went from around 9" at 12z to 3" at 00z. Have the models really been that far off or is it that the rates will be so high near the changeover zone that a difference of a couple of hours or 20 miles could mean the difference between 9" and 3"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, LibertyBell said: Have the models really been that far off or is it that the rates will be so high near the changeover zone that a difference of a couple of hours or 20 miles could mean the difference between 9" and 3"? What it means is that there are just enough models now spitting out the lower range values that the 10th percentile of the curve has lowered to around 3". Previously so many models were high QPF and cold that 9" was the lower end of that tail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, OceanStWx said: What it means is that there are just enough models now spitting out the lower range values that the 10th percentile of the curve has lowered to around 3". Previously so many models were high QPF and cold that 9" was the lower end of that tail. Thanks, how much of a change was there in the median between those two sets of runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, LibertyBell said: Thanks, how much of a change was there in the median between those two sets of runs? The median values are like 10-11". The high end values are actually still quite high, because if it stays all snow there is still 18" potential. So their range just got wider. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Oh boy oh boy oh boy * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Temperatures plunging into the upper teens to lower 20s by late afternoon will result in a flash freeze and wet roads becoming icy. Any mixed precipitation will end as a period of snow Sunday afternoon. Travel will be very difficult and hazardous tonight through Sunday afternoon, along with po Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Sheesh, WBZ dropped the coast and inside 128 to ORH to 2-4”. Bust incoming. Sticking with my 3-6” call IMBY to BOS. 6”+ just to the NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFRI Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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