moneypitmike Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 15 minutes ago, weathafella said: BOX taking them back up... Collaborating with GYX. Here's Albany. Just a little expansion into BOX land would make me happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Too bad this is trucking along so fast. A fast wham-bam thank you, ma'am. My p/c gives me 9-13 Saturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Oddly, that's not the Albany map......their revised one which isn't posting, has a uniform 19-20 from PSF to Bennington to Brattleboro all the way to the BOX CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Also we were a little too high I think vs BOX to our south. Would prefer to match a little closer at this range and deviate as we get to go time when trends become more apparent.Todd Gutner going 18-24"Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 24 minutes ago, weathafella said: BOX taking them back up... 16” in ASH , prolly not 10-12 sounds fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 4 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Todd Gutner going 18-24" Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Have some cool temps with your snow up in Maine. 18Z on Sunday. I'll take the under on my p/c -5* on Monday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 If the 12z runs come in colder like the 6z runs, I would say confidence would be high enough for a Winter Storm Warning on the Cape, 6" or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: Have so cool temps with your snow up in Maine. 18Z on Sunday. I'll take the under on my p/c -5* on Monday night. I would go colder for the Cape too, there is no way with that much cold air present, we don't plummet too. I doubt we get out of the mid to upper 30s on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 5 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Todd Gutner going 18-24" Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk 24" is on the table, but I wouldn't be banking it at this point. I'm fine with that being the upper end of the range though. I'm more comfortable with the 12-18" range at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Anyone got the 6z Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I always thought that the NAM is usually the model that sniffs out the mid level warmth that often results in pingers making it farther north. And now it keeps trending south as several of the other models bring the warmth further north. I know it’s usually good at recognizing low level cold being a meso and all. Interesting last hour model battle. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Anyone got the 6z Euro? Out the 33. Should have a good idea shortly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 This morning's little flurry storm seems much stronger as it departs, around 26 hrs. Edit, was looking at wrong map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 55 minutes ago, weathafella said: BOX taking them back up... Def not expecting 9" here, will be happy with 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Euro nearly identical . If anything a few miles south with h85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Euro may be a tick colder, but almost noise. Maybe a hair slower too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Euro nearly identical . If anything a few miles south with h85 how's it looking qpf-wise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: how's it looking pf-wise? Same or similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Euro nearly identical . If anything a few miles south with h85 HIRES NAM shows throughout the storm a northeasterly surface wind over the Cape, means freezing rain and sleet is a great possibility over rain falling, I think we see 6"+ total from the storm, I think its a mistake for the NWS not to bring us into a winter storm warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 For the forgotten crowd: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Blizzard conditions could become possible if we get enough falling snow on the backside of the storm, winds will be gusting near 50-60mph out of the northeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Seems maybe a teeny bit slower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I think Chicago could see 12"+ from this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Minimal ice: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Well the trend is still ok. If everything holds the Leon push st 12z I think the pike region can more confidently entertain bigger totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: Well the trend is still ok. If everything holds the Leon push st 12z I think the pike region can more confidently entertain bigger totals. I believe so Jerry, I will go heavier further southward if the HIRES models come further south and colder with the main snow shield and surface low track. Watch the surface temps, it is possible CHH to BOS could see all frozen precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 This would have some jumping. Sorry--despite what image I add to my post, it's showing the wrong map (advice welcome!). What I tried to post was the 90% probability amounts. Which showed a lot of 0". It would be a hoot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Seems maybe a teeny bit slower Wouldn’t be shocked once it gets to the Mississippi we see further colder ticks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Minimal ice: That should help solidify what pack we have into a glacier. That way next week's rainstorm can just run off the top of it. Secure things until March.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: This would have some jumping. Yesterday’s map...like 24 hours ago...cmon man.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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