PivotPoint Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, Beachin said: Absolute destruction ahahahhahahah The low just literally sits and stalls. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 I was getting hyped with just the combo of 0.5” qpf and temps in the 20s. That was a legendary nam run. Gotta take it with a grain of salt, but maybe it’s a signal we’re a little closer to coastal impacts than previous runs suggested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Damn. Even .75 is a crushing. Good 6z and 12z so far Getting warning level snow all the way up into PA lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Just now, LeesburgWx said: Where is Ji? The storm is about to happen, which means he's looking for the next one. 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 8 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: NAM doing NAM things. Well FWIW up there the NAM did NAM things on 12/9/18 down here in RVA. And nailed it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 It has a 2" QPF lolly right around Annapolis and widespread 1.5"+ QPF from south of EZF North to BWI....thats crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Jesus that’s 12-18. Holy cow. The north trend is real just not sure if 18”. Lol. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 A good NAMing in the morning. Who doesn’t love that!? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
digital snow Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 NAM just nuked... For the dream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: 3k mostly agrees with its mentally unstable brother Glad I'm not at Sterling. I'd hang with the 06Z Euro as it's the NAM but wow. The last two runs have been mega. We've been NAMed. 14 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said: The storm is about to happen, which means he's looking for the next one. He's thinking, "meh...bring on the MLK storm next weekend!" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Last 4 NAM runs. THIS HAS BEEN COMING !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 5 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Damn. Even .75 is a crushing. Good 6z and 12z so far The thing the NAM has is a tighter 500 and a path that is perfect for the DC metro to keep that feed going all afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Mid Atlantic special. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 4 minutes ago, Fozz said: If this was 60+ hours away, I'd dismiss it immediately, but we're inside 36 hours and we have the NAM nuking most of us. I don't know what to make of this... it's one of the most stunning runs I've seen in ages. I....I don’t know what to think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luckyamaha Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Intense banding incoming for EZF and Stafford on this NAM runSent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Thats 20"+ on the 12km east of I-95. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 The NAM looks like JI drew up his version of this storm. Or me. Or all of us. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 4 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: Where is Ji? He fainted 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 12, 2019 Author Share Posted January 12, 2019 Just now, usedtobe said: Glad I'm not at Sterling. I'd hang with the 06Z Euro as it's the NAM but wow. The last two runs have been mega. We've been NAMed. I'm always very skeptical of nam qpf output. Temps are usually pretty good but i've seen more than my share of qpf busts. That said, i'm hugging the 12k until it implodes 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 We even got the red taggers excited. That tells me one thing... I’m going to need more beer and snacks 2 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Jesus that’s 12-18. Holy cow. The north trend is real just not sure if 18”. Lol. LWX talked about the potential for this this morning: " slightly negative EPV and Frontogenetical forcing that lines up, suggesting that CSI banding is possible" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: Mid Atlantic special. Kuchera poss? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Time to stop looking at models and stare at radars all day 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 HECS in the DMV and a sleet/cold rain in RVA. The atmosphere must have developed dementia. Where’s its memory? 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 7 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Damn. Even .75 is a crushing. Good 6z and 12z so far i mean i would normally laugh at the NAM this is happening on Game day. You probably dont remember but it was the first model to pick up getting a foot the night of our Feb 2014 storm(the storm where we got 18 inches) and Cape cried..i mean we are literally in its wheel house lol and all 6z models increased qpf 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Caution this might cause joy. I had to skip 2 frames in between but jesus look at the energy aloft at 700mb. Definitely a signal for a smashing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Just now, Bob Chill said: I'm always very skeptical of nam qpf output. Temps are usually pretty good but i've seen more than my share of qpf busts. That said, i'm hugging the 12k until it implodes True. Even if you cut the precip in half thats 6-10”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 4 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Hr 42 death band over my yard lolz. The deformation banding on that run was absurd. Even if 50% right on the total precip, that's a bonafide warning snowfall all the way to the border. I would not base any forecasts off that for the time being. But, if we see trends like that run continue, then maybe some triggers will be pulled. I'm with Wes, I would hate to be in Sterling's shoes right now. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 3k looked more reasonable. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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