BretWx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 5 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: One thing to note. On the GEFS, the mean snowfall has yet to go down since the whole storm is in picture, the average has climbed every single run... I keep waiting for something to fall through, but again, haven't seen this many models consecutively showing this. Wild. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 18 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: One thing to note. On the GEFS, the mean snowfall has yet to go down since the whole storm is in picture, the average has climbed every single run... This usually happens in storms like this. This storm setup is a classic for heavy mountain snow. The temp will be just right and the snow will be heavy and wet. A lot like last years storm. I'm hoping I'm back by this weekend to enjoy it with everyone. Iv been paying close attention to the models and the forum. Great job fellas. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 The Euro map just posted in the main forum. Holy hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Holy ***** 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 1 minute ago, BretWheatley said: The Euro map just posted in the main forum. Holy hell. This is crazy. I keep on thinking these totals are going to start to be cut down and they do the opposite. Over 3' in spots of the mountains. Widespread 2'+ in all of the mountains. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Speechless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 I honestly dont even know what to say after the Euro. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Lol 3 feet of snow in the peaks of the Blue Ridge.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 But if we get the northern stream to phase with our low, its game on like I've personally never seen before. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 WOW!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Anyone in Boone have an extra bed? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Tempted to head to bed after leaving the office just to get to tomorrow's runs... LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Euro doubling down again. Don’t think I’ve ever seen it spit out a widespread 2’ in the past for most all of WNC. This one looks historic to me. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Pants tent after the euro run! 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 4 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Pants tent after the euro run! My weather weenie definitely has a euro chubby after that run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Model porn will keep you up at night! You fellas might want to pump the brakes a bit on the 2'-3' solutions. Not saying it won't happen or can't. I just would caution against verbatim model hugging. No matter what happens this is shaping up for many areas to cash with 12"+ totals which is amazing in it's own right! Exciting times in this thread for the next couple of days. Enjoy the ride folks! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Anyone in the Asheville/Lake Lure area PLEASE be careful... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 7 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: I don't recall ever seeing anything like this, for so many. Still a few days to go, but even half of that.. hell, a THIRD would be great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 9 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: No matter what the outcome is with this system, staring at this map is hypnotic & makes me dizzy! You may never see something like this again in your lifetime.....32" @ KAVL is just mind boggling! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inthepines Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Good luck in Asheville! Just moved back to DC this summer. Honestly, I'm not a fan of Asheville when it comes to snow (the upslope snow is def fun though)... too many variables to work out to get it right, but if any are going to produce there this would appear to be the one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 6 minutes ago, Inthepines said: Good luck in Asheville! Just moved back to DC this summer. Honestly, I'm not a fan of Asheville when it comes to snow (the upslope snow is def fun though)... too many variables to work out to get it right, but if any are going to produce there this would appear to be the one. Euro Master gave them 41.9"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cold air aloft Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 I'm really curious about this afternoon's discussion from GSP. Obviously they don't want to create a panic when the potential event is still several days away and of course the models will change. But holy smokes, if anything close to what the models are saying verifies, folks need to be prepared. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 I’m trying to imagine even 2ft+ of (heavy wet) snow around Asheville and it’s unfathomable. Roofs would be collapsing left and right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 10 minutes ago, cold air aloft said: I'm really curious about this afternoon's discussion from GSP. Obviously they don't want to create a panic when the potential event is still several days away and of course the models will change. But holy smokes, if anything close to what the models are saying verifies, folks need to be prepared. They're going to have to cave at some point. It won't be today or even tomorrow, but nearly every model consensus is pointing at a big storm in WNC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 I will definitely be back fellas! Looking forward to getting into the game. I would hedge on the side of caution just because we are several days out. This does look "historical" but we have all see small changes and adjustments to the tracks of lows that make a big difference in snow totals. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Even the EPS has over a foot for KAVL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Also given the time of the year and climo wise we stand the best to see snow falling especially getting a foot. I'm afraid outside the mountains may have p-type issues as we have seen several times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 5 minutes ago, Met1985 said: I will definitely be back fellas! Looking forward to getting into the game. I would hedge on the side of caution just because we are several days out. This does look "historical" but we have all see small changes and adjustments to the tracks of lows that make a big difference in snow totals. Well I know the entire sub forum will be glad to have you back for this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 6 minutes ago, Met1985 said: I will definitely be back fellas! Looking forward to getting into the game. I would hedge on the side of caution just because we are several days out. This does look "historical" but we have all see small changes and adjustments to the tracks of lows that make a big difference in snow totals. I just got to thinking that a winter storm thread just doesn't seem right without Met. Welcome back! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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