• Member Statistics

    15,618
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    SnowGiant611
    Newest Member
    SnowGiant611
    Joined
Sign in to follow this  
the ghost of leroy

Hurricane Flo Banter Thread-no fun allowed, no saying the storm isn’t that bad plz

Recommended Posts

31 minutes ago, Animal said:

How so? The group think tank here is on point today.

let the storm play out first & stop being overly aggressive.

 

 

Floyd was a cat 2 on landfall..it killed 73 people in the US. 

 

Ike was a cat 2 at landfall, it killed 110 people in the us and did 30 billion in damage.

 

Isabelle was a cat 2 and did 5.5 billion in damage and killed roughly 50 people. 

 

Stop downplaying it. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

I'd say it will be a reasonable success if we keep the death toll out of triple digits.  

Sadly I agree. You know there are going to be people on the barrier islands that get inundated, and if it tracks down towards sc/ga that just further exsatribates the issues because they weren’t really fully expecting this.

 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, KPITSnow said:

Sadly I agree. You know there are going to be people on the barrier islands that get inundated, and if it tracks down towards sc/ga that just further exsatribates the issues because they weren’t really fully expecting this.

 

 

They need to get out now!  The surge is going to be awful.  But alas, many will stay and many will pay...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, KPITSnow said:

Sadly I agree. You know there are going to be people on the barrier islands that get inundated, and if it tracks down towards sc/ga that just further exsatribates the issues because they weren’t really fully expecting this.

 

 

Staying behind in some of these areas is a death wish.  

I wonder if we will get some numbers in the next day or two about how many people decided to not evacuate from various areas.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
15 minutes ago, KPITSnow said:

Floyd was a cat 2 on landfall..it killed 73 people in the US. 

 

Ike was a cat 2 at landfall, it killed 110 people in the us and did 30 billion in damage.

 

Isabelle was a cat 2 and did 5.5 billion in damage and killed roughly 50 people. 

 

Stop downplaying it. 

The category system is the worst.  Surge should be the most important factor in rating a storm since it's the killer.

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, bobbutts said:

The category system is the worst.  Surge should be the most important factor in rating a storm since it's the killer.

I think we need to find a way to better account for freshwater flooding. Harvey was cat 4, but the winds are not what caused most of the problems. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, KPITSnow said:

I think we need to find a way to better account for freshwater flooding. Harvey was cat 4, but the winds are not what caused most of the problems. 

Yeah, maybe rate each factor 1-5 (freshwater flood, surge, wind) and take the highest one..  There's no perfect way, but not accounting for the deadly effects is a mistake imo.

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
16 minutes ago, KPITSnow said:

Sadly I agree. You know there are going to be people on the barrier islands that get inundated, and if it tracks down towards sc/ga that just further exsatribates the issues because they weren’t really fully expecting this.

 

 

I just don't understand the rationale behind staying on a barrier island with this monster looming. They know what the barrier is for, right? What has to be said to convince them to get out of the way?

The people who choose to stay put a price on their lives - the few hundred dollars it would have cost to evacuate.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I wonder if we get a full blown landfall around Emerald Isle and not this hang just offshore thing. Florence is tracking a bit right today (and at decent speed) and would have to bend west more significantly to put the landfall down around ILM.  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
8 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

I wonder if we get a full blown landfall around Emerald Isle and not this hang just offshore thing. Florence is tracking a bit right today (and at decent speed) and would have to bend west more significantly to put the landfall down around ILM.  

Some of the 18z guidance are coming in NE of previous runs.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Yeah we'll see.  I don't want to be that guy who overreacts to track deviations but this seems like more than a brief wobble.

this storm is already north of the nhc center position

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Rd9108 said:

Pressure increasing and winds decreasing. Granted the rainfall will still be excessive, this threat is decreasing drastically. 

Threat has been decreasing all day. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, Rd9108 said:

Pressure increasing and winds decreasing. Granted the rainfall will still be excessive, this threat is decreasing drastically. 

 

2 minutes ago, ag3 said:

Threat has been decreasing all day. 

Sigh.....

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, KPITSnow said:

 

Sigh.....

It’s a standard cat 1-2 Carolina hurricane. Far from the Cat 3-4 historic hurricane models had a couple days ago. People are stuck on 2 days ago here. Far from that.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, ag3 said:

It’s a standard cat 1-2 Carolina hurricane. Far from the Cat 3-4 historic hurricane models had a couple days ago.

 

I’m sorry you’re disappointed. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, ag3 said:

It’s a standard cat 1-2 Carolina hurricane. Far from the Cat 3-4 historic hurricane models had a couple days ago.

 

It's not a standard Carolina storm.  The surge doesn't just go poof.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Can the uneducated NYC posters go back to their subforum? These "it's no big deal" posts ring hollow and have no meteorological basis to them.

  • Like 6

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

It's not a standard Carolina storm.  The surge doesn't just go poof.

The storm is weakening right now. Surge forecasts will decline as well. And the track is also east of forecast. This likely landfalls east of 12z suite and diminishes quicker.

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.