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USCAPEWEATHERAF

SNE Tropical Weather Discussion - Hurricanes

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25 minutes ago, correnjim1 said:

the storm is in fantasy land and people are already arguing about damage potential lol 

 

10 minutes ago, correnjim1 said:

i didn't mention Florence either  

lol so what storm are you referring to? 

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Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Nice try. Your spin is not as perfected as DIT’s. 

ok you got me i was really talking about hurricane Zachary...it's going to send us back to the stone age 

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9 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

No...that will be a fish storm...the 38400 hour KFS told me so

ugh i knew it!...we'll never get another devastating hurricane ever again!! lol

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2 hours ago, correnjim1 said:

the storm is in fantasy land and people are already arguing about damage potential lol 

I wasn't discussing Florence specifically but there is no doubt that a direct hit from a cat 3/4 would devastate the area. Research the 1938 hurricane. 

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9 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

gfs_2018-09-06-12Z_210_44.404_285.014_39

And it’s not even over yet in eastern areas....although the majority of precipitation ends up on the right side which doesn’t really fit for hurricanes at our latitude 

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Just now, Diggiebot said:

And it’s not even over yet in eastern areas....although the majority of precipitation ends up on the right side which doesn’t really fit for hurricanes at our latitude 

in this case it coming sort of due north, not inland, but QPF so far out is "fantasy land" and I'm talking about #florence

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22 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

yeah, but it's sort of a primer for Winter.. ready to jump back in, need to sharpen the skills, blah blah

Yea.

I started kind of looking at it late last night.

The latitude that it has gained so far east has me spooked.

I feel like, if anything, it will get shunted into the Carolinas by the building ridge, otherwise it will do the 'ole slide job under LI eventually.

Just a hunch....haven't looked at much.

Anything is possible, I guess...

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1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

For a SNE hit?

24 hours...and I mean that.

Time and time again, models underestimate the westerlies in the mid latitudes even at short lead times.

True. Heck, Irene was supposed to slam into LI as a cat 2 about 36 hours out. Next thing you know it's a desiccated shell running over the OBX.

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32 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Has Edouard written all over it. Don't get sucked in.

What was the storm that tracked east of hatteras and then stalled and took a hard turn right?

Edouard is a decent comp but I'm favoring this storm I can't remember the name of.

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8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea.

I started kind of looking at it late last night.

The latitude that it has gained so far east has me spooked.

I feel like, if anything, it will get shunted into the Carolinas by the building ridge, otherwise it will do the 'ole slide job under LI eventually.

Just a hunch....haven't looked at much.

Anything is possible, I guess...

yeap, i'm with the carolina train, that blocking looks pretty strong..

 

just read recon flights will start Monday

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