Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

Congrats HVN/TOL/ORH/BOS/PWM

West of the river misses the ccb it seems like while east gets fronto and ccb 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Snow starts sticking at 495/3 overpass and temps drop to 33.

Trees and grass covered by exit 33.

[JC-CT]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Crush job for LCI south and east.

That's you, isn't it?

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

West of the river misses the ccb it seems like while east gets fronto and ccb 

I was made fun of when I noted yesterday that the Euro would call for the JP to be east of the river.

[eyewall]

The new map here shows the cut back. This one stings for sure, especially being late in the season.

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

That's you, isn't it?

Pretty much...it gets the midlevel goodies up around this area. It’ll be close if this run verifies.

[JC-CT]

Just now, eyewall said:

The new map here shows the cut back. This one stings for sure, especially being late in the season.

 

What is your seasonal total?

[weatherwiz]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

West of the river misses the ccb it seems like while east gets fronto and ccb 

That makes very little sense based on radar

[eyewall]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

What is your seasonal total?

58.8 inches (mostly advisory events). 6.7 inches below normal to date.

[powderfreak]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Pretty much...it gets the midlevel goodies up around this area. It’ll be close if this run verifies.

You're looking good.  Stealing my mid-level band from the past 3 days haha.

[CTNoreaster]

1 inch in SW CT. Roads still clear. NWS forecast for 12-18...radar looks good.

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, eyewall said:

58.8 inches (mostly advisory events). 6.7 inches below normal to date.

Cool...STFU.

jk, but I've been a relative screw zone down here this year.

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

You're looking good.  Stealing my mid-level band from the past 3 days haha.

I need that another 10mi NW to account for drift below the beam.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

That makes very little sense based on radar

Looks like east does better than west but he also loves to make it an east vs west mid 90s biggie vs tupac rap war.

[kdxken]

40 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Upton, MA is going to get hammered. There's a zero percent chance they will have ptype issues when the main stuff comes in. A lot of mixing is going on at the onset, but that is before the real lift comes in. I'd be surprised if they were still raining since we are snowing in Holliston with fat flakes and Upton is actually in a better spot.

 Snowing pretty good in Southborough . What do you think for your area ? I'm hoping Sherborn gets more rain than here . 

[JC-CT]

Just now, dendrite said:

I need that another 10mi NW to account for drift below the beam.

Is it 10m? Somebody posted about that once, said it ended up being like 30m?

[backedgeapproaching]

3 minutes ago, eyewall said:

The new map here shows the cut back. This one stings for sure, especially being late in the season.

Take em down, down, down in VT.  Sucks, but probably reality at this point.

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Looks like east does better than west but he also loves to make it an east vs west mid 90s biggie vs tupac rap war.

tupac 100% biggie was a fat useless f***, tupac was a poet and a prophet

[eyewall]

Just now, backedgeapproaching said:

Take em down, down, down in VT.  Sucks, but probably reality at this point.

Yeah and this may still be generous.

[powderfreak]

8 minutes ago, eyewall said:

The new map here shows the cut back. This one stings for sure, especially being late in the season.

 

Ha I love your passion with the emotion.

I love getting riled up on the NW model runs but always expected it east.  We were banking on mid-level banding the whole time.  

Youve been up here long enough to know how this works.  We'll end up with some upslope surprise one of these nights from this thing.  Saturday night looks pretty good. 

Fun past two systems to track for sure.  Biggest busts will be those 18-24" forecasts in the Berkshires, Litchfield and SVT.  Even yesterday's EURO was too amped up.

[kdxken]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

I need that another 10mi NW to account for drift below the beam.

 What is it look like for timing up there my daughter is going to be returning from Plymouth State at around 6 PM ? I don't want Her to get caught in a cluster on 93 .

[FSUIZZY]

1 minute ago, eyewall said:

58.8 inches (mostly advisory events). 6.7 inches below normal to date.

And you don't think you'll get at least 6.7 inches. Heck I am willing to bet between now and next week your above normal to date. SMH. 

[eyewall]

6 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Ha I love your passion with the emotion.

I love getting riled up on the NW model runs but always expected it east.  We were banking on mid-level banding the whole time.  

Youve been up here long enough to know how this works.  We'll end up with some upslope surprise one of these nights from this thing.  Saturday night looks pretty good. 

Fun past two systems to track for sure.  

Yeah at least the skiing will be good that is true.

[weatherwiz]

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Looks like east does better than west but he also loves to make it an east vs west mid 90s biggie vs tupac rap war.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

tupac 100% biggie was a fat useless f***, tupac was a poet and a prophet

The bartender is cutting you off and calling a cab. 

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

Is it 10m? Somebody posted about that once, said it ended up being like 30m?

The drift depends on the winds below the beam, fall rates, and height below he beam. But I mostly meant that I’m not directly under the band in that image.

[eyewall]

1 minute ago, FSUIZZY said:

And you don't think you'll get at least 6.7 inches. Heck I am willing to bet between now and next week your above normal to date. SMH. 

Yeah I was just looking for one double digit hit at cap off the season.

[dryslot]

4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I need that another 10mi NW to account for drift below the beam.

I'm just going sit and rot under that if its right.

[JC-CT]

Just now, dendrite said:

The drift depends on the winds below the beam, fall rates, and height below he beam. But I mostly meant that I’m not directly under the band in that image.

Probably because I'm so far away from both local radars that I think that. My hood is just about the worst in the local area for radar coverage.

[DFRI]

Thunder snow.