WinterWolf Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Just now, KEITH L.I said: I would hope your not serious about a 14 day OP GFS map... He couldn't be less serious...he's being sarcastic. Berg is on the Decembertoremember train...locking in that cold and stormy pattern! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: He couldn't be less serious...he's being sarcastic. Berg is on the Decembertoremember train...locking in that cold and stormy pattern! Even more, I’ve been banging the historic winter drum since the October heatwave. Something about the atmopshere balancing itself out...usually draws my attention. Plus the farmers almanac said cold and snow, lock it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 18z NAM is stronger with the clipper for Thursday night/Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: 18z NAM is stronger with the clipper for Thursday night/Friday That's a whiff on the NAM..maybe a flurry from a weakening/flattening wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 I think one of the mods should start a thread for the clipper on Thursday night/Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said: That's a whiff on the NAM..maybe a flurry from a weakening/flattening wave Yeah it turned out that way, but it was 18z if 00z runs show that then I would be concerned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 NWS Taunton likes this time frame too, Thursday into Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Let’s see if I can help this one.... Not gonna happen James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: Let’s see if I can help this one.... Not gonna happen James. Yeah get that ****ing piece of **** Thursday storm out of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Keeping that clipper weaker is prob better for Fri/Sat system. It's a garbage system with very low upside, so hopefully the clipper gets ground up in the flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 20 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Maybe somebody could give a rundown as to how many grinch storms there have actuallybeen in the past 20 years. It's probably less than we think because they stand out so easily . Only one site, and my criteria (snow-melting RA event during the period Dec. 21-28) may be overly broad for some folks, but of 19 Decembers we've had Grinch-ey wx during those 8 days in 15 of them. Three came with bare ground, and so don't count (Grinch found no presents to steal.) Also, my avg non-smoothed temp climbs more than 5F from 12/20 to 12/24, and 12/25 has had less total snowfall (1.7") than any other day of the month. SSS and all that, so I'm sure there will be a snow hit one of these years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 21 minutes ago, tamarack said: Only one site, and my criteria (snow-melting RA event during the period Dec. 21-28) may be overly broad for some folks, but of 19 Decembers we've had Grinch-ey wx during those 8 days in 15 of them. Three came with bare ground, and so don't count (Grinch found no presents to steal.) Also, my avg non-smoothed temp climbs more than 5F from 12/20 to 12/24, and 12/25 has had less total snowfall (1.7") than any other day of the month. SSS and all that, so I'm sure there will be a snow hit one of these years. Awesome, thanks! So the grinch is real! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 51 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Yeah it turned out that way, but it was 18z if 00z runs show that then I would be concerned Dude, she gone. Let 'er go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 14 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Awesome, thanks! So the grinch is real! For grins, I just looked at the 8 days immediately before my "Grinch period." Dec. 13-20 had 8 non-Grinch years (twice as many as 21-28), 6 Grinches (half as many), and 5 no-snow Grinch-eys. Temps averaged 0.9F colder for the earlier period, precip was twice as much, and snowfall almost 3 times as much as 21-28 (12.3" vs 4.2".) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Can't wait for the real storms to fire up in a couple weeks so we can stop reading hallucinogenic posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 1 minute ago, mreaves said: Sweet. Looks like our friend is back. Such a bitter dude. I heard he gets drunk and $hits himself, which is most unfortunate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 16 minutes ago, tamarack said: For grins, I just looked at the 8 days immediately before my "Grinch period." Dec. 13-20 had 8 non-Grinch years (twice as many as 21-28), 6 Grinches (half as many), and 5 no-snow Grinch-eys. Temps averaged 0.9F colder for the earlier period, precip was twice as much, and snowfall almost 3 times as much as 21-28 (12.3" vs 4.2".) since 1974 top ten warmest periods 12-23 to 12-25 1 2015-12-25 54.3 2 2014-12-25 47.0 3 2003-12-25 45.7 4 1979-12-25 43.8 5 1994-12-25 41.5 6 2006-12-25 40.5 7 1990-12-25 40.2 8 2007-12-25 39.2 9 1996-12-25 37.5 10 1977-12-25 36.8 Top Ten coldest 1 1989-12-25 10.2 2 1975-12-25 11.8 3 2000-12-25 17.5 4 1998-12-25 19.7 - 1980-12-25 19.7 6 1999-12-25 20.3 7 1983-12-25 20.8 8 2009-12-25 23.8 9 1993-12-25 24.0 10 1992-12-25 24.5 Least amount of snow OTG 1 2015-12-25 0 0 - 2014-12-25 0 0 - 2011-12-25 0 0 - 2006-12-25 0 0 - 2004-12-25 0 0 - 2001-12-25 0 0 - 1996-12-25 0 0 - 1994-12-25 0 0 - 1990-12-25 0 0 - 1986-12-25 0 0 - 1984-12-25 0 0 - 1979-12-25 0 0 - 1977-12-25 0 0 Most snow OTG' 1 1995-12-25 12 2 2008-12-25 11 3 2009-12-25 10 4 1981-12-25 9 5 2007-12-25 7 0 - 1975-12-25 7 7 1997-12-25 6 - 1992-12-25 6 9 2005-12-25 4 - 1989-12-25 4 - 1982-12-25 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 18z GFS brings light snow into the region, especially eastern SNE for Friday/Saturday coastal storm, does explode off the coast, we need it further northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 12 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: 18z GFS brings light snow into the region, especially eastern SNE for Friday/Saturday coastal storm, does explode off the coast, we need it further northwest. No it doesn’t. Actually the outer cape gets under 1/2 inch... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 1 hour ago, weathafella said: No it doesn’t. Actually the outer cape gets under 1/2 inch... We get at least 3" Jerry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 The modeled energy for the clipper doesn't come into view until tomorrow afternoon, so we wait until then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 11 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: We get at least 3" Jerry. Not on the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 41 minutes ago, weathafella said: Not on the gfs What the phuck is he looking at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: want tell you story...about a weenie on the Cape.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 2005...winter was so nice... Lord it was lovey..dovey... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 One KU One clipper One OES.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 Somebody spiked the egg nog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Somebody spiked the egg nog. No, that's the disturbing part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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