gravitylover Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said: For me, before here going back through them there was Eastern, WWBB, then the good ole ne.weather back in the late 90s. I know I’ve mentioned it before, but I recall DT screaming at me that I was a moron and there was no way it was snowing up here as hard as it was LOL. He was quite a trip back then. ne.weather, that was it. I think DT went off on me at least a few times too It's pretty light snow out there, tiny flakes not accumulating quickly at all. I don't even have 1" down yet. Thankfully not much for wind but what there is seems to be out of the south. The street has no snow on it at all but the puddle in front of my house is pretty big, ground must be really warm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 7, 2018 Author Share Posted March 7, 2018 Snow has picked up to moderate intensity now. Roads completely covered again. Temp down to 29° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 ne.weather was great! There are still old archives of the usenet sites around. Fun to look back on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Nice band swinging through, probably the last of the WAA snows before the main show gets going in a couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster15 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 hour ago, snywx said: TWC is reporting live in Central Valley next to the Woodbury Commons lol.. Lol my sister manages a store over there. The Mecca of outdoor shopping, 32 and snowing here in the Burg Got a little over an inch so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 7, 2018 Author Share Posted March 7, 2018 For those that were ready to panic 12z NAM came back alittle west. Still liking a general 12-16" on top of what has already fallen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Serious snow just commenced here about 5 minutes ago. Let’s get this party going. 35.6f. About an inch otg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 7, 2018 Author Share Posted March 7, 2018 Its coming boys! Mesoscale Discussion 110 < Previous MD Mesoscale Discussion 0110 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0747 AM CST Wed Mar 07 2018 Areas affected...eastern PA...central and northern NJ Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 071347Z - 071745Z SUMMARY...Heavy hourly snowfall rates of 1-2 inches per hour are likely to develop later this morning. Locally higher rates (2+ inches/hour) are possible primarily after noon local time within the frontal snow band and/or convectively augmented bursts. DISCUSSION...13Z surface analysis places a sub 1000mb developing low 60 mi ESE of WAL. Temperatures are in the 32-34 degrees F range from the northern part of Chesapeake Bay to NYC. The 12Z IAD RAOB from Dulles, VA showed a temperature profile subfreezing except immediately near the surface. The 500mb temperature was -25.5 C. Looping water-vapor imagery indicates the mid-level trough was located over the central Appalachians as of 13-14Z. As this disturbance approaches the region, strong mid-level ascent associated with the trough (leading to significant columnar cooling in the mid-levels) coupled with the northern periphery of a plume of steep 700-500mb lapse rates (7-8 degrees C per km) will combine and result in pockets of weak buoyancy and upright convection. Convection will increase in coverage from northern DE northeast towards the NYC area during the late morning into the early afternoon. Models indicate the development of strong frontogenetic forcing will begin primarily around or after 17Z. As the deep-layer large-scale ascent strengthens and becomes vertically juxtaposed with the intensifying frontogenesis, hourly precipitation rates will markedly increase from around 0.10 inch to 0.10-0.25 inch. Marginal surface temperatures will effectively result in a significant concern/limiting factor for the spatial coverage of 1+ inch/hour rates farther southeast across portions of NJ as a sharp rain/snow precipitation-type gradient becomes established. Eastern PA into northern NJ will likely maintain snow as the precipitation type and heavy snowfall rates will focus in a narrow corridor from the north part of PHL north-northeast into northern NJ. Higher elevations will likely attain the coldest temperatures (due to the low-level thermal profile cooling as elevation increases from sea level to 1-2 kft) and the most intense accumulation/hourly rates. ..Smith.. 03/07/2018 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...BGM... LAT...LON 40197573 41297505 41527459 41407422 41187402 40637420 40077524 40047555 40197573 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Hoping those rates get to Poughkeepsie as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, snywx said: For those that were ready to panic 12z NAM came back alittle west. Still liking a general 12-16" on top of what has already fallen 12z puts the best banding basically over POU now as opposed to western Orange from last night, but you can see the weaker ancillary boundaries fanning out from the main deform zone. Ultimately I wouldn't be surprised to see the familiar scene play out where NYC jacks with a couple feet and we're a bit lower up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 11 minutes ago, Pitmaster15 said: Lol my sister manages a store over there. The Mecca of outdoor shopping, 32 and snowing here in the Burg Got a little over an inch so far You mention “the Burg”. And that’s not the Burg that we called “The Burg” growing up lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, IrishRob17 said: You mention “the Burg”. And that’s not the Burg that we called “The Burg” growing up lol. Orangeburg?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 7, 2018 Author Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, IrishRob17 said: You mention “the Burg”. And that’s not the Burg that we called “The Burg” growing up lol. You mean the 6th boro? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Orangeburg?! We have a few posters that should spend time in a certain group of buildings on old orangeburg road in orangeburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 5 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Orangeburg?! Newburgh, specifically the City of... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 7 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: 12z puts the best banding basically over POU now as opposed to western Orange from last night, but you can see the weaker ancillary boundaries fanning out from the main deform zone. Ultimately I wouldn't be surprised to see the familiar scene play out where NYC jacks with a couple feet and we're a bit lower up here. As is tradition 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 The main observation page is brutal. Every tricking storm it's the same panic. It's like group-think, reverse psychology. It takes the fun out of the storm. With that said, heavier echoes are approaching my area from the south. White pines are loaded up already. Here we go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 20 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: As is tradition 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster15 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 29 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: You mention “the Burg”. And that’s not the Burg that we called “The Burg” growing up lol. Lol well I’m a newbie to Rockland. Just moved here to Sloatsburg about 3 yrs ago. That’s what happens when you fall in love with a beautiful girl whose 2 daughters want to stay in suffern schools. So here I am. Everyone here calls it the burg so I’m acclimating lol But I do miss the days of living in Monroe in the OC. The snows just aren’t the same here even though it’s 15 mins south of where I was in Monroe. Sigh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 8 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said: The main observation page is brutal. Every tricking storm it's the same panic. It's like group-think, reverse psychology. It takes the fun out of the storm. With that said, heavier echoes are approaching my area from the south. White pines are loaded up already. Here we go. I used to be the same way when I was younger. I've learned to have patience, well most of the time. Still it starts snowing and sticking I'll be a little worried Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 16 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Simply a terrific song, along with Mandolin Rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Unless you fall under an intense band for a while, I am thinking 6-10 inch snowfall for around here. Don't think most of us crack a foot unless under a band. Northern Jersey looks to JP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Latest snow maps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 hour ago, BxEngine said: We have a few posters that should spend time in a certain group of buildings on old orangeburg road in orangeburg. Grew up in Tappan, I know of those buildings. Some posters defiantly quality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 8 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said: Latest snow maps. South of Dutchess County I can see a foot or more. Very skeptical around these parts given the new track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 7, 2018 Author Share Posted March 7, 2018 5 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: South of Dutchess County I can see a foot or more. Very skeptical around these parts given the new track. How much do you have so far? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 4 minutes ago, snywx said: How much do you have so far? Dusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Melting on most surfaces Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, hudsonvalley21 said: Grew up in Tappan, I know of those buildings. Some posters defiantly quality. Tappan, that’s close to the Cuomo Bridge, correct? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 22 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Unless you fall under an intense band for a while, I am thinking 6-10 inch snowfall for around here. Don't think most of us crack a foot unless under a band. Northern Jersey looks to JP. 6" will go down as low, though I do tend to agree with your tempered expectations. The axis of precip has already materialized over DE and NJ, and it's pivoting northward... just have to watch where that goes from here. 8-12" still looks good for up here. 16 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said: Latest snow maps. Wow, huge numbers... unfortunately the NWS getting gung-ho right as things start cranking is usually the KOD, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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