powderfreak Posted March 27, 2017 Share Posted March 27, 2017 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It just reeks of either a total elevation event in SNE or nothing at all except for ski areas. This is one of those cut and dry either or's. Everything is on the table right now I think...as the ensembles show. To me instead of elevation event it seems more like a SWFE might be where we end up with the antecedent airmass in place with CAD. The 18z GFS shows this quite well...with warmth moving from SW to NE...such that actually NE Mass is one of the last spots to warm up in SNE based on the 850/925mb temps. Wedges in there with east of the Green Mtn Spine down to northern Mass with core of the cold in the classic CAD regions of the Lakes and NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 27, 2017 Share Posted March 27, 2017 Congrats Dendrite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 27, 2017 Share Posted March 27, 2017 What was the start time for this on the euro and EPS in Boston? I have a flight out of Logan at 830 pm Friday. GFS seems much faster than the rest of guidance; I hope it's wrong... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 27, 2017 Share Posted March 27, 2017 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Well that would suck . Hopefully that's a terrible analog Don't take the analog literally to every detail. The January 1996 blizzard was a good analog for the January 2016 blizzard even though parts of the north shore were choking on exhaust in 2016 while they grabbed 30" in 1996...but the storm still had a lot of similarities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 27, 2017 Share Posted March 27, 2017 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Don't take the analog literally to every detail. The January 1996 blizzard was a good analog for the January 2016 blizzard even though parts of the north shore were choking on exhaust in 2016 while they grabbed 30" in 1996...but the storm still had a lot of similarities. ORH has 4.1 has snowfall for the 93 storm while Boston 8.5 ,very odd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 27, 2017 Share Posted March 27, 2017 20 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There's def gonna be a latitude component with that high where it is. You can even look at the loose analog from 3/24/93 I posted to scooter. That one had basically zero snow south of the pike but BOS got blasted with like 8-10". Now maybe this time the gradient is further south but there's a latitude limit on this for sure. Elevation will def help...it always does this time of year but it won't be the only factor. Funny I was just looking around the VT sites for that date and that seems similar to current guidance in terms of precip modeled... up in these parts it was 0.25-0.5" QPF event with 2-5" of snow with BTV on the lower end at 2.4" and the higher 3-5" amounts from the Greens east. Mansfield was 0.4" QPF with 3" of snow but that seems low given the temps and QPF unless they got sleet...or it was just the classic under-report for the snow value up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 27, 2017 Share Posted March 27, 2017 13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: ORH has 4.1 has snowfall for the 93 storm while Boston 8.5 ,very odd Yeah. It actually makes sense though looking at the '93 setup. BOS being further east was in deeper cold air. ORH had a lot of icing on that. I remember icing in midday at like 30 degrees after the quick 4-5" thump. I was pissed when I found out people near BOS got over 10", lol. It it was funny. Like this roller coaster emotional ride of first being happy we got 4-5" of snow and the ice when mostly rain was predicted to then being kind of pissed when you realized you missed another 6" by like 10-15 miles. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 27, 2017 Share Posted March 27, 2017 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah. It actually makes sense though looking at the '93 setup. BOS being further east was in deeper cold air. ORH had a lot of icing on that. I remember icing in midday at like 30 degrees after the quick 4-5" thump. I was pissed when I found out people near BOS got over 10", lol. It it was funny. Like this roller coaster emotional ride of first being happy we got 4-5" of snow and the ice when mostly rain was predicted to then being kind of pissed when you realized you missed another 6" by like 10-15 miles. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: That storm was def all rain down in your part of RI. You were probably watching the 6pm news with footage of MA getting thumped with a paste job while throwing your 1993 reebok pumps across the room. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That storm was def all rain down in your part of RI. You were probably watching the 6pm news with footage of MA getting thumped with a paste job while throwing your 1993 reebok pumps across the room. Definitely no snow day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 92-93 was not that kind relatively speaking TAN-PVD. T-blizzard would have been burning his Scott Zolak jersey while I was pounding paste. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 I'm not really invested for this area. Would like to see the storm trend stronger as well as the High strength and placement. I would like to see a nice clean PNA ridge and not another storm over the SW US. Airmass looks marginal. Hopefully it trends better. By this time of year I either want a major event or just get over with it. An inch or two of slush is really pointless.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 1 minute ago, CTValleySnowMan said: I'm not really invested for this area. Would like to see the storm trend stronger as well as the High strength and placement. I would like to see a nice clean PNA ridge and not another storm over the SW US. Airmass looks marginal. Hopefully it trends better. By this time of year I either want a major event or just get over with it. An inch or two of slush is really pointless.. This!! And you just know, if it's anything frozen...it'll most likely be an inch of slush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 92-93 was not that kind relatively speaking TAN-PVD. T-blizzard would have been burning his Scott Zolak jersey while I was pounding paste. How was the Superstorm there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 Kevin is deathly afraid of 33F rain while everyone else is prancing in paste. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 Let it ****ing rain. Wash away all the sand/salt **** off the streets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: How was the Superstorm there? I was in Brockton. It was basically a 4 hr thump...lol. But, we had about 10-11" or so. Still the best obs for a storm ever in BOS. Might be all time winter ob in CONUS for a city of town outside of MWN. METAR KBOS 132300Z 06047G62KT 0SM +TSSN -BLSN OVC/// M01/M01 A2916 RMK R04RVR06-V06 TB50 SW MOVG N OCNL LTGIC DRFTG SNW PK WND 0670/33 PRESFR SNOINCR 3/10/11 SLP875 P0028 T10061006 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: That storm was def all rain down in your part of RI. You were probably watching the 6pm news with footage of MA getting thumped with a paste job while throwing your 1993 reebok pumps across the room. Story of a coastal RIers life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 24 minutes ago, dendrite said: Kevin is deathly afraid of 33F rain while everyone else is prancing in paste. I think if we make it through another 24 hours with models showing a gradient of heavy snow just to his north, he's gonna start getting a pit in his stomach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 26 minutes ago, dendrite said: Kevin is deathly afraid of 33F rain while everyone else is prancing in paste. In fall and winter yes.. in Napril so be it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I was in Brockton. It was basically a 4 hr thump...lol. But, we had about 10-11" or so. Still the best obs for a storm ever in BOS. Might be all time winter ob in CONUS for a city of town outside of MWN. METAR KBOS 132300Z 06047G62KT 0SM +TSSN -BLSN OVC/// M01/M01 A2916 RMK R04RVR06-V06 TB50 SW MOVG N OCNL LTGIC DRFTG SNW PK WND 0670/33 PRESFR SNOINCR 3/10/11 SLP875 P0028 T10061006 Yea hard to top that first 4 hours Sh it even the sleet was intense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 17 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Let it ****ing rain. Wash away all the sand/salt **** off the streets. It rained all day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: In fall and winter yes.. in Napril so be it I call BS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: It rained all day Yet somehow I still have snow on my roof (just a little) from 2 weeks ago...and 100% coverage. I couldn't do that in Jan or Feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: I call BS He can't even wash and wax the truck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Yet somehow I still have snow on my roof (just a little) from 2 weeks ago...and 100% coverage. I couldn't do that in Jan or Feb When you get a storm that dumps 1.5-2" of qpf dense snow/sleet, it does wonders for preservation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Yet somehow I still have snow on my roof (just a little) from 2 weeks ago...and 100% coverage. I couldn't do that in Jan or Feb Last of my non piles melted away today in the rain and fog. Impressive still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 Still a few patches even in protected areas after all that rain. Given that the 7-8" of snow compacted to a 5" glacier...Impressive it lasted this long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: When you get a storm that dumps 1.5-2" of qpf dense snow/sleet, it does wonders for preservation. There was 3 feet plus in the woods off of Ridge Run on North Peak. They put a road in you have to ski under a bridge, several new million dollar homes too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 The heavily wooded areas of Enfield still have fairly solid cover, the mainly residential areas are piles and patches of coverage and the more urbanized areas near the Malls/Plazas and highways are just piles. My back yard is down to about 20 percent and the front is gone. Its just about over here. I noticed some depths of 22-24 inches just north of my parents Cabin in Mount Vernon Maine near Tamarack/ Farmington Maine area. Pretty impressive for an area generally only 400-600 ft elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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