weatherwiz Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: NAM over amps just like it did at 72 hours for the last non clipper. Unless we get a bend in the 5 h field rather than a rounded look we won't see substantial lift or inflow. Pretty obvious looking at the GFS Euro and GEM that the NAM right now is an outlier. Still time but I would not expect more than a nuisance event at this stage. can't disagree that it may be too amped. With such a tight baroclinic zone though this should yield at least a narrow band of rather intense snows...just a question of where this occurs. But a 100+ 500mb jet streak rounding the base of the trough could be a good signal for more amped than not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: can't disagree that it may be too amped. With such a tight baroclinic zone though this should yield at least a narrow band of rather intense snows...just a question of where this occurs. But a 100+ 500mb jet streak rounding the base of the trough could be a good signal for more amped than not Bigger fish to fry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Bigger fish to fry I liked the closed H5 for Tuesday. Friday is a concern for myself b/c we are headed to Saratoga Springs for the NE Storm Conference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: I liked the closed H5 for Tuesday. Friday is a concern for myself b/c we are headed to Saratoga Springs for the NE Storm Conference. Meh daytime event with marginal temps, cakewalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Meh daytime event with marginal temps, cakewalk oh damn...didn't look at much outside of H5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 The GEFS are interesting, they are still very wet but it's becoming clear that many members cluster near the OP but there is a steadfast clustering of much closer, deeper solutions. So my gut says this is missing south, but it could have the potential for very rapid forecast changes should one of these deeper solutions end up verifying. And I just love those surprises. But alas, it is probably not to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Uncle could be worse, gets the 5mm line up to about the ct/ma border, 2.5 up to about ray. Nuisance stuff but whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Euro bumps north now a solid 2 to 4 for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Euro looks good, a bump north. Something is wonky though with the qpf output on WSI, looking at those 6 hour intervals it looks to give most of CT only about .1-.2 total but weatherbell is showing .15-.2 for two frames and a total of .2 N up to .5 S....just weird noting that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 4 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Euro bumps north now a solid 2 to 4 for SNE Yup. Nice solid 3-6" event will be how this shakes out south of the pike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Still looks like congrats s coast. However s slight change in 20-30 miles would mean a lot. Hopefully 12z runs bump north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Ukie and Rgem both look good for said areas 90 south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ukie and Rgem both look good for said areas 90 south The question is how far north. Is it flurries or legit snow near pike. NW winds will be oozing in and that can gobble up the snow on the nrn edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Just saw 6z nam, exactly like 0z but injected with a a round of roids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Although, 3km was paltry. Still mixed signals on how heavy rates can get. Now that it seems likely that it will be a strung out wave and CT/RI/SEMA look to be the target, it's probably best to listen to scooter now. Before, he was just trolling though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 RPM quick hitting ripper http:// Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 I just looked at eps for this system-robust! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 06z NAM is NAMGW. Paints 6-7" stripe thru SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 12 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Nice job by DIT, he called it. So far DIT has been on fire this winter. lol. The Feb footer I called it days before the SB while he gave up on winter, and the SB at halftime.....changed his tune afterwards. This Sunday, he and I said it will come back north so we both wrong. Cant let the spin magic trick your eyes, reality is in the writing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Thanks for the kind words all. I just call them like I see them. I appreciate it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 He is a fellow CT weather warrior. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Before the feb storm he called for no more snow and morch. People hear what they want to hear. Link on here where I ever posted that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 SREFS make the grade-first out of the gate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 11 minutes ago, weathafella said: SREFS make the grade-first out of the gate. 3-5" for south of 90? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 3-5" for south of 90? I would even bring that line north 20 miles but yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 12z NAM will taketh what 6z giveth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: 12z NAM will taketh what 6z giveth. Yeah looks south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 12z NAM will taketh what 6z giveth. 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah looks south Para is still robust though. NAMs being NAMs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Para is still robust though. NAMs being NAMs. There's probably a NAM somewhere out there that crushes me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 NAM way south vs prior runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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