ORH_wxman Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Figured we should start a new thread for this with today's significant bump north on guidance. We are still in a precarious setup though even with the northward shift..it merely gets us in the game for an advisory snowfall....with the best chance of that being the southern zones as of right now. The vort energy (or vortmax as often referred as) actually takes a pretty nice track for SNE going near or just south of LI....I'll use the 18z NAM as an example...not because the NAM is the best model, far from it, but because it was handy to grab and the model differences on the vortmax are basically negligible....the issue though is notice how the trough itself is kind fo rounded at the base. We want to sharpen that up a bit and it would both bump the snowfall northward and make it more intense at the same time with more inflow....if we don't see a bit sharper shortwave, then this will likely be mostly a miss save the south coast with probably sub-advisory accums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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