Eskimo Joe Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Anybody have that link for the 1 min rapid scan satellite? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Anybody have that link for the 1 min rapid scan satellite? I think it's offline due to a power failure. Only 5-10 min RSO GOES-R can't come soon enough. http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/goes-west_goes-east.asp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tater Tot Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Very impressive looking for a noreaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 12z UKM brings it back to symmetric warm core off the NE coast. Makes sense with the anomalies in play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Saw this at the SE forum. 11 minutes ago, packbacker said: Euro is a pounding...looks like 5-8" QPF across the triangle...20-25kt sustained and 50kt (60mph) gusts. 8 minutes ago, packbacker said: Yikes...Euro is 7-9" QPF across Wake Co with 60kt gusts (70mph). Ummm...time to go battery shopping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 2 minutes ago, Superstorm93 said: 12z UKM brings it back to symmetric warm core off the NE coast. Makes sense with the anomalies in play What website was that image from? I thought coolwx, but can't find the location if so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 2 minutes ago, Shawn said: What website was that image from? I thought coolwx, but can't find the location if so. http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/ ECMWF stalls Hermine off of the Delmarva for a day or so. 850's warm when it gets offshore, so it may develop tropical characteristics again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdgwx Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 That's a really cool chart Superstorm93. Where did you get it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Just now, Superstorm93 said: http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/ ECMWF stalls Hermine off of the Delmarva for a day or so. 850's warm when it gets offshore, so it may develop tropical characteristics again. last night's 00z ECMWF had Hermine (or post-tropical Hermine) near the Delmarva for 4 days. That would be quite the wave action and beach erosion if it was 970mb for 4 days. Now the center of Hermine can be estimated based off KTBW radar, about 150 nautical miles from downtown St. Petersburg. vertical wind profiler at KTBW now shows 50kt at 3000-4000 ft above ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 I do believe there are some gusts in the 80-85mph range. Can see the coast now coming into view. Discrete cells now developing in front of initial feeder band. Reports of brief spin-ups. Have one screaming N headed directly for here. It's like getting laid for the first time...let's get it on. LMFAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 An absolutely wonderful satellite imagery link I just was linked to - http://climate.cod.edu/hanis/satellite/1km/index.php?type=Florida-vis-0-24 - you can loop it via the "loop" text under the "Auto-Refresh" text on the bottom of image. I like the angle. Feels like I can tell more about the movement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 9 minutes ago, Chinook said: last night's 00z ECMWF had Hermine (or post-tropical Hermine) near the Delmarva for 4 days. That would be quite the wave action and beach erosion if it was 970mb for 4 days. Now the center of Hermine can be estimated based off KTBW radar, about 150 nautical miles from downtown St. Petersburg. vertical wind profiler at KTBW now shows 50kt at 3000-4000 ft above ground. The 12z Euro still has Hermine or what's left of her off the NJ coast next Thursday, as in a week from today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Several 60+kts SFMR (up to 64kts) near the center with no rain contamination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tater Tot Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Just now, Shawn said: An absolutely wonderful satellite imagery link I just was linked to - http://climate.cod.edu/hanis/satellite/1km/index.php?type=Florida-vis-0-24 - you can loop it via the "loop" text under the "Auto-Refresh" text on the bottom of image. I like the angle. Feels like I can tell more about the movement. Ooh, thanks for the link! It actually looks pretty good there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 2 minutes ago, wxmx said: Several 60+kts SFMR (up to 64kts) near the center with no rain contamination. What is the significance of rain contamination? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 6 minutes ago, wxmx said: Several 60+kts SFMR (up to 64kts) near the center with no rain contamination. Yup. Could argue an upgrade. Quote 182430 2733N 08503W 8441 01459 9994 +174 +174 226065 069 061 012 00182500 2733N 08504W 8423 01472 9989 +176 +176 228063 065 064 013 03182530 2734N 08505W 8433 01457 9982 +178 +178 231065 066 063 016 03182600 2735N 08506W 8419 01470 9977 +180 +180 233065 068 063 028 03182630 2736N 08508W 8439 01447 9972 +182 +182 240059 062 063 027 03 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)Transmitted: 1st day of the month at 18:45ZAgency: United States Air ForceAircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF98-5307Storm Number & Year: 09 in 2016Storm Name: Hermine (flight in the North Atlantic basin)Mission Number: 13Observation Number: 12A. Time of Center Fix: 1st day of the month at 18:36:30ZB. Center Fix Coordinates: 28°03'N 85°25'W (28.05N 85.4167W)B. Center Fix Location: 148 statute miles (238 km) to the S (174°) from Panama City, FL, USA.C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,331m (4,367ft) at 850mbD. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 61kts (~ 70.2mph)E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 36 nautical miles (41 statute miles) to the SE (144°) of center fixF. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 221° at 77kts (From the SW at ~ 88.6mph)G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 39 nautical miles (45 statute miles) to the SE (143°) of center fixH. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 988mb (29.18 inHg)I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 18°C (64°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,514m (4,967ft)J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 20°C (68°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,525m (5,003ft)K. Dewpoint Temp & Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not AvailableL. Eye Character: Not AvailableM. Eye Shape: Not AvailableN. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and TemperatureN. Fix Level: 850mbO. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical milesO. Meteorological Accuracy: 2 nautical milesRemarks Section:Maximum Flight Level Wind: 77kts (~ 88.6mph) which was observed 39 nautical miles (45 statute miles) to the SE (143°) from the flight level center at 18:23:30ZDropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 305° at 3kts (From the NW at 3mph) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 9 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: What is the significance of rain contamination? SMFR (Stepped Microwave Frequency Radiometer) senses high level microwaves emitted from the sea surface. If the sea surface is rough and foamy from high winds, more amounts of microwave energy are sent back to the aircraft. Rain can interfere with this microwaves, specially strong rain...in strong hurricanes the effect is negligible, but in weaker storms, it can be a bit more significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 000 WTNT64 KNHC 011854 TCUAT4 HURRICANE HERMINE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 155 PM CDT THU SEP 01 2016 ...DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT HERMINE HAS STRENGTHENED TO A HURRICANE... Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds in Hermine have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h). Based on these data, Hermine is now upgraded to a hurricane, the fourth hurricane of 2016 in the Atlantic basin. SUMMARY OF 155 PM CDT...1855 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.1N 85.4W ABOUT 115 MI...180 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM W OF TAMPA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES $$ Forecaster Brennan/Pasch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Ladies and gentlemen, the little storm that could against all odds is now a Hurricane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 You can clearly see the Eastern eyewall now on KTBW radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Strong winds on recon to the NW side as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 27 minutes ago, wxmx said: SMFR (Stepped Microwave Frequency Radiometer) senses high level microwaves emitted from the sea surface. If the sea surface is rough and foamy from high winds, more amounts of microwave energy are sent back to the aircraft. Rain can interfere with this microwaves, specially strong rain...in strong hurricanes the effect is negligible, but in weaker storms, it can be a bit more significant. Cool thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Impressive Hurricane Hermine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 West side of the circulation really picked up in intensity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 6 minutes ago, Superstorm93 said: West side of the circulation really picked up in intensity Yeah, trying for a real eyewall. Still some deepening to do, let's see what can it do in the last 6-10 hours before landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 hrrr has done a great job with hermine since yesterday and showed the convection wrapping around the west side of the circulation well. latest run has it getting down to 982mb at landfall and covering sc in heavy rainfall 12z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 NW Eyewall is really blossoming now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Glad that the FL Hurricane drought will be broken with a legit cane that's strengthening upon landfall rather than a sloppy, weakening mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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