NCSNOW Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Speaking of miller B's, does anyone recall a miller B that stayed pure snow in the triad,triangle region of NC. I know it's possible in mtns. Guess if the coastal transfer happens south of us it's increases our chances, but those seem to be famous for carolina split and we get dryslotted. majority of transfers happen between obx and dellmarva. miller b almost always means mix precip or just plain ice frzng rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Everything is quiet on the 0z EURO. A few rain events in the next 10 days and a cold shot but no wintry precip outside of the highest peaks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Cross polar 12z Euro. Trough east of HI so no holding out over the SW. Lookin' cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 ^ Nice! Always like a Wow post. Wonder why those images always have to have >2 in the hundreds digit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Definitely like the ridging in the GOA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 26 minutes ago, Wow said: Cross polar 12z Euro. Trough east of HI so no holding out over the SW. Lookin' cold. Yeah euro looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 540 line needs to come south to look really good IMHO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 6 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Yeah euro looks good. Look at the ridge(?) going up through Alaska!! That's an awesome looks and get some energy to dive down the Rockies, and boom goes the dynamite!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 That's the bath tub slosh effect JB is always yammering about ! All the coldest of the cold, is on our side of the world!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 ^ 'Till it sloshes back - and what's to keep it from doing so? In 2 weeks? For good? How many sloshes are there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 till it sloshes back or more likely pac jet induced chinook eats it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Y'all check out the afternoon AFD from GSP!!!?? I think you will find it extremely tittilating, to say the least!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 1 hour ago, pcbjr said: 540 line needs to come south to look really good IMHO That's not the 500-1000mb thickness 540 line.... that's the 500mb height 540 line. Big difference..... the 500mb height 540 line would put 850mb temps somewhere around -15C. It can be somewhat misleading when you're looking at heights vs. thicknesses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 9 minutes ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said: That's not the 500-1000mb thickness 540 line.... that's the 500mb height 540 line. Big difference..... the 500mb height 540 line would put 850mb temps somewhere around -15C. It can be somewhat misleading when you're looking at heights vs. thicknesses. so you disagree that the 540 line further south on that map would not be a good thing? i know what i'm looking at - was just commenting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Just now, pcbjr said: so you disagree that the 540 line further south on that map would be a good thing? i know what i'm looking at - was just commenting No, the farther south the better. I was just pointing out that we did not need it that cold to snow. It's a different 540 line. It's not the rain/snow line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 33 minutes ago, pcbjr said: so you disagree that the 540 line further south on that map would not be a good thing? i know what i'm looking at - was just commenting its all cool and I understand that! just pointing something out - shoulda been a bit more specific i guess, but hey, it's sunday and too warm for dec - ergo, the posting part of the brain may not be running on all 8 cylinders today LOL guess to sum it up - that line seems awfully zonal, which may or may not be a concern, but I'd rather see a good dig at that height ... but then again - it's only a sunday afternoon thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 1 hour ago, mackerel_sky said: Y'all check out the afternoon AFD from GSP!!!?? I think you will find it extremely tittilating, to say the least!!! Just maybe we could have something to track. Here's GSP: The next problem will be the very end of the weekend potential precipitation issue. The GFS is on the dry side, while the European model want to spin up a potential wintry mess Sunday into Monday. At this juncture we have followed our neighbors, and WPC, with chance POPS Sunday into Monday. Precipitation types could be a troubling, but this far out we kept it rain or snow. Here's RAH: Otherwise, will be closely watching the pattern evolution late next weekend into the early part of the following week, as a couple weak short waves embedded in broad cyclonic flow are progged in the models to move across the eastern US during that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Anyone looked at the EPS? I'm wondering if it supports the op with the cross polar flow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 18z GFS backing up the Euro. Arctic Cold pressing down with good overrunning potential mid Dec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cg2916 Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 This run of the GFS seems much colder. Also it ends with the weeniest of all weenie scenarios: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 I was just about to post that lol. Yeah total weenie run! Look at the 2m temps. A nice 20 degrees. Sign me up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 The next day is even better. These are common temps around here right??? Right.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cg2916 Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 3 minutes ago, Cary_Snow95 said: The next day is even better. These are common temps around here right??? Right.. Is that 2 degrees in southeast NC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 2 minutes ago, Cary_Snow95 said: The next day is even better. These are common temps around here right??? Right.. Better than Chicago, I guess - Hades must have opened up on Lake Shore Drive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Haha if we got this run with the LP about 50 miles west. Call it a winter, i would be content Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 2 minutes ago, cg2916 said: Is that 2 degrees in southeast NC? Yeah its casual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 it's an 18z run .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 That run looks better than anything we have to wait till February to see! Glad to have both big models on board with cold at least! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Why oh why are we even looking at something 15 or 16 days away ? Come on people. Have we gotten that desperate ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 3 minutes ago, Snowless in Carrollton said: Why oh why are we even looking at something 15 or 16 days away ? Come on people. Have we gotten that desperate ? on an 18z run, no less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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