eekuasepinniW Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Mean looking black clump of clouds nearly overhead and to my southwest. Boiling TCU in every other direction. Looks acceptable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 10 minutes ago, eekuasepinniW said: Mean looking black clump of clouds nearly overhead and to my southwest. Boiling TCU in every other direction. Looks acceptable. Lots of towering Cu's finally going up now after mostly being flat all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 decent cell there over the Berkshires/Pike out there... least, it's lasted longer than 2 or 3 frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Just a little baby. Hopefully it grows up and has a productive life mowing down forests. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guvna Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 ain't happening down here like I told Kev this morning. Parameters aren't there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 1 minute ago, eekuasepinniW said: Just a little baby. Hopefully it grows up and has a productive life mowing down forests. similar sky scape down here, too... crispies visible S and W with a couple of pulse glaciaters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guvna Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 go to bed boys...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 interesting ... may be small, but that cell out in western Mass actually looks like it split - heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 we have a warning! ahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: we have a warning! ahaha We think there is something up with kbox (not their warning strategy but the actual RDA). kbox showing 60 dBZ over 20 kft, but ENX barely even has 50 dBZ to that height. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Never mind that kbox is showing no less than 20 dBZ for any of those cells south of ALB. I mean there is typically a smooth transition to 0 dBZ especially in the higher reaches of the clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 22, 2016 Author Share Posted July 22, 2016 2 hours ago, OceanStWx said: Meltdowns aside, Wiz is right about the forcing aspect. It's just too dry aloft right now for localized convective initiation. We need sustained convergence to get an updraft to really go right now. Elevated heat source like terrain or a diffuse boundary won't cut it. But jet energy is starting to increase from the NW. We're seeing sustained convection where the red and purple overlap. Do you know o any papers on research that may have been done specifically on forcing and severe in New England? Someone has had to do some research on this...specifically dealing with where you want the s/w to be placed and tracked and prime locations for jet streaks/entrance/exit regions and such. hell, even if something exists im going to further investigate this. I just wish there was a way to compile a list of setups which had potential but did not pan out and then compare the setup and evolution to the events that did pan out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Do you know o any papers on research that may have been done specifically on forcing and severe in New England? Someone has had to do some research on this...specifically dealing with where you want the s/w to be placed and tracked and prime locations for jet streaks/entrance/exit regions and such. hell, even if something exists im going to further investigate this. I just wish there was a way to compile a list of setups which had potential but did not pan out and then compare the setup and evolution to the events that did pan out You could definitely find some research on that out there, but I don't have any in mind off the top of my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 kbox definitely having issues. They're running 8-10 dBZ hot. Talk about a COC tease. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 22, 2016 Author Share Posted July 22, 2016 8 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: You could definitely find some research on that out there, but I don't have any in mind off the top of my head. If anything, this summer has shown how important forcing is and how critical it is...even when you have juicy cape values. The cape will obviously help build updrafts and provide the fuel but without the forcing they can only take you so far. We we get reminded of this very much during our cool season setups...you don't need big cape for severe...strong forcing > big cape IMO. Thats why you guys do so well...you might not get the big cape values but you're always so much closer to the jet dynamics and forcing and that does alota lot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 22, 2016 Author Share Posted July 22, 2016 The 18z 4km NAM shows a supercell-like storm right over my fanny at 0z the run though actually hasn't done terrible with current convection...is a bit bullish but has hit areas of initiation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 21 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: kbox definitely having issues. They're running 8-10 dBZ hot. Talk about a COC tease. Looks like they went from clear air straight to DIT mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
w1pf Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 downpour and windy here.. 89/68 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
w1pf Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 pea-sized hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
w1pf Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 0.2" in the davis in 5 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MBRI Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Radar looks pretty impressive around UMass. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
w1pf Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 all done, sun is out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 2 minutes ago, MBRI said: Radar looks pretty impressive around UMass. . yeah nice winds here... lots of small stuff down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
w1pf Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 lots had already melted, for some reason there was no SD card in my camera Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Storms popping to the west now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
w1pf Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 got a bit cooler here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Kaboom - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Kaboom - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Nice cell heading right for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 22, 2016 Share Posted July 22, 2016 Crazy watching how fast the towers are building to the east so cool to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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