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SACRUS

July 4th weather

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With just about 3 weeks to go the holiday will slowly start showing up on some long range forecasts

Past July 4th's  

 

Year....18...17...16...15...14...13...12....11....10...09...08....07....06...05....04...03...02...01...00...99...98...97...96...95...94....93
 EWR:..89...88...84...79...76...91...97...92...101...83...81....73...89...80...87...94...100...81....88...99...86...88...72...84...86...97
 LGA:...84...87...86...75...74...91....95...88....98....81...80....73...92...82...83...93...98....81....84...95...86...87...73...84...83...92
 TTN:..91...86...82...75...75...84....88...95....99....81...80....74...89...84...89...92...97....82....87...99...85...84...73...81...83...92
 JFK:...86...85...82...80...76....84...89...86....101...83...82....72...86..78...79...92...99....75....81...97...82...89...74...80...83...96
 NYC:..86...85...84...75...74...87....92...86....96....79...78....71...87...83...82...92...96....79....84...96...84...85...71...84...86...95

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4th of July coming into view and troughing looks to be in place over the northeast to open July.  Looks near normal as of now 80s.  We'll see how it progresses.

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Overnight guidance a bit more unsettled for Mon Jul 4th after what seems like a very sunny/warm weekend Fri-Sun 1st - 3rd.   Trough and front timing and amount of storms to be ironed out next 10 days.

 

83 - 87 some scattered storms

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Latest guidance still lining up nicely for 4th of July but timing of track of front still needs to be honed down.  As it stands now Fr (7/1) - Sun (7/3) looks warm 85 - 90 with Mon (7/4) low to mid 80s.

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Latest guidance remains in the mid to upper 80s range for the 4th after some afternoon/evening storms on the third.  Fri - Sun look warm 85 - 90 range.  

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Latest guidance remains in the mid to upper 80s range for the 4th after some afternoon/evening storms on the third. Fri - Sun look warm 85 - 90 range.

My wedding is Sunday in Port Jeff. Hoping it doesn't rain for the ceremony at 4 which is outside. After that I'm not too concerned as the reception is indoors.

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Forecast remaining essentially unchanged.  Warm holiday weekend 85 - 90 with some scattered storms fri and sun.  4th of July 83 - 88 range and sunny.  Week turns a bit warmer 6th - 8th upper 80s / low 90s.   Summer time

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My wedding is Sunday in Port Jeff. Hoping it doesn't rain for the ceremony at 4 which is outside. After that I'm not too concerned as the reception is indoors.

Congratulations!!! Even if it does end up raining, may that be the worst of your concerns to ever have to face together

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What's everyone doing for the weekend.  Hosting a BBQ Saturday with the new American themed corn hole set I built. Will be at the beach the rest of the weekend. Water temps 70 or even better now. Get out there. 

 

post-5412-0-07434100-1467390381_thumb.jp

 

post-5412-0-17046700-1467390414_thumb.jp

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What's everyone doing for the weekend.  Hosting a BBQ Saturday with the new American themed corn hole set I built. Will be at the beach the rest of the weekend. Water temps 70 or even better now. Get out there. 

 

attachicon.gifIMG_1491.jpg

 

 

Props for building it yourself, interesting you went with two sets of legs, I only have the one set of legs in the back of the ones I built years ago now.  

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Props for building it yourself, interesting you went with two sets of legs, I only have the one set of legs in the back of the ones I built years ago now.  

Last minute decision to add the extra legs in the middle. I built the boards with 2x2's instead of 2x4's to try and make it as sleek as possible in an attempt to pack it in the car for camping trips. The two extra legs were just for more stability 

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INteresting ECM and nam has widespread tstorms between 8 and overnight on the 4th now.  GFS keeps em south.  Other than that the day looks great.

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Rgem is faster and looks like a big soaker

The RGEM had been dreadfully slow since its upgrade last year with most events. Using the NAM though which also tends slow I would say anyone from about central northern NJ east sees nothing before 10pm other than spotty light rain here or there.

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Eesh that forecast turned ugly quickly.  These systems are always ahead of prog's and at this point the only hope would be for this to track north with the main band.

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