CoastalWx Posted May 16, 2016 Author Share Posted May 16, 2016 Looks like later next week could get pretty warm. Might turn cooler during Mem weekend...but my guess is a good weekend and AN temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 16, 2016 Share Posted May 16, 2016 Ssshhhh.Let's keep that secret until it's glaringly apparent to others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 16, 2016 Author Share Posted May 16, 2016 Ssshhhh.Let's keep that secret until it's glaringly apparent to others. Well just an early guess...but seems mild. I do think warmest weather is prior to mem weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 16, 2016 Share Posted May 16, 2016 Noyes has 70 or higher everyday from Thursday onwards thru the day 10. Has 78 Saturday and 75-80 Mon-Wed of next week... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 16, 2016 Author Share Posted May 16, 2016 LOL. Ahh those accurate day 10 casts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 16, 2016 Share Posted May 16, 2016 LOL. Ahh those accurate day 10 casts. What day from Thursday onwards can you see below 70 away from the water? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 16, 2016 Author Share Posted May 16, 2016 What day from Thursday onwards can you see below 70 away from the water? It depends how close any LP comes. Not even rain, but should it be cloudy...it won't be warm. For whatever reason, I've seen a lot of voodoo MOS munching for the Chamber of Commerce lately. I'm sure Scooby Doos favorite MOS munching stations had 70 yesterday and today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 16, 2016 Share Posted May 16, 2016 It depends how close any LP comes. Not even rain, but should it be cloudy...it won't be warm. For whatever reason, I've seen a lot of voodoo MOS munching for the Chamber of Commerce lately. I'm sure Scooby Doos favorite MOS munching stations had 70 yesterday and today. Here's Ryan's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 16, 2016 Author Share Posted May 16, 2016 I will say later this week through Mem weekend could be awesome if we avoid any lows moving up coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 16, 2016 Share Posted May 16, 2016 This warm dry upcoming pattern is not good for soils,lawns, vegetation etc... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted May 16, 2016 Share Posted May 16, 2016 It depends how close any LP comes. Not even rain, but should it be cloudy...it won't be warm. For whatever reason, I've seen a lot of voodoo MOS munching for the Chamber of Commerce lately. I'm sure Scooby Doos favorite MOS munching stations had 70 yesterday and today. LOL. only 60 at mi casa jesterday and probably similar today. As for the rest of the week it looks seasonal to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 16, 2016 Share Posted May 16, 2016 well ... let's keep in mind that "above normal" is the base-line ... a 'normal pattern' for calendar date is going to result a few decimal points above the 30-year climate mean - most likely - do to the fact that every month in the past 20 months...if not years ... are speckled along a plot whose curve that is sloped upward. so by above normal, what do we mean? frankly i'm still waiting for JBS's "major heat" wave to show up in the charts, and though I see a 'seasonal' relaxation and perhaps some positive height anomalies in the east, there are reasons not to get too excited about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 16, 2016 Share Posted May 16, 2016 This warm dry upcoming pattern is not good for soils,lawns, vegetation etc... the dry idea has issues... it depends on if that climate-friendly closed low that ALL guidance materializes along the MA is really there, weak, or even moderate intensity. if it's weak, probably weak onsuhore flow with cool-pool convection further west away from the Coast. if it's moderate ... more surface reflection and stronger(ish) onshore feed of moisture and probably steady coastal rains right smack targeted on your fantasy drought region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 16, 2016 Share Posted May 16, 2016 This would be a nice toasty Mem Day weekend..hopefully it holds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 16, 2016 Share Posted May 16, 2016 Big winds all of a sudden, chilly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 16, 2016 Share Posted May 16, 2016 New Euro Weeklies in. Nothing really screaming sustained warmth. Think we'll just be dodging back/forth either side of avg well into June https://twitter.com/ericfisher/status/732345262207799296 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 New Euro Weeklies in. Nothing really screaming sustained warmth. Think we'll just be dodging back/forth either side of avg well into June https://twitter.com/ericfisher/status/732345262207799296 of course the first person to object is TollandKev. Joey and the Twitter-sphere apparently are well aware of his biases, haha."@dcoviello32 @ericfisher Beautiful thing is that we all know what @TollandKev will see, as long as we know whether it's summer or winter :)" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ApacheTrout Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 i think Eric Fisher was being awful polite when he tweeted "beautiful things about forecasting. We all look at the same stuff and see different things". DIT will read that as being included in the "we", minus the meteorology classes, the degrees, and the paid job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 Pretty strong signal of a very warm Thursday-Sunday period next weekend for the holiday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 17, 2016 Author Share Posted May 17, 2016 Pretty strong signal of a very warm Thursday-Sunday period next weekend for the holiday Definitely looks warm, small chance front hangs nearby though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 Definitely looks warm, small chance front hangs nearby though. Be careful....some might consider forecasting anything to be preferring it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 Trending towards a nice rainer late Saturday /early Sunday. Maybe that would calm the drought fears and hysteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 17, 2016 Author Share Posted May 17, 2016 I'm not sold on the rain yet. You are gonna need a GFS op solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 17, 2016 Author Share Posted May 17, 2016 Next week has a shot with cutoff lifting north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 Trending towards a nice rainer late Saturday /early Sunday. Maybe that would calm the drought fears and hysteria.So you are forecasting 50s and heavy rain for the weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 Next week has a shot with cutoff lifting north. yeah ... not sure why this isn't getting more recognition. i admit, the trend of the season has been to over-do these features in that time range, but fact remains ...it's a climo-friendly solution, pretty much through early June, that is so - ( just in case) no one should be ignoring that. i'm not sold on a warm balmy period Sunday through mid-next week until that feature is atoned for closer to the boundary of the middle and late short ranges - ... Friday's modeling I suppose. if we want to argue that a cruddy solution in that thickness medium is perhaps not as bad as that deal we suffered last week, sure - but that's not a crack for spin-artist to wedge their perceptions into in saying that, either. the 'spirit' of the warm nuts seeking 84 with searing azure and hornets the size of helicopters may feel a tad jilted in that. as is... 4 maybe 5 of the 12 GEFs members i saw have enough depression in the mid levels along/astride the MA to induce ceiling and maybe precipitation issues as far N as SNE as of last night. just sayn' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 New Euro Weeklies in. Nothing really screaming sustained warmth. Think we'll just be dodging back/forth either side of avg well into June https://twitter.com/ericfisher/status/732345262207799296 the GEFs in total don't really look that far from seasonal in my opinion, either. ... course, things can change and of course, will ... but just sayn' as of right this moment, those in wait of a true ac weather are still standing in line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 Trending towards a nice rainer late Saturday /early Sunday. Maybe that would calm the drought fears and hysteria.??? The Ens backed way off from 12z yesterday. Other than a few showers Sat nite it looks like mostly a miss south with a nice weekend sandwiched in between a few drops Sat nite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 EPS ensemble mean actually has more precipitation than 12z yesterday with a clustering of low positions to the north of the ensemble mean and a weaker high pressure to the northwest in Southern Canada. I would watch out especially south of the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 ??? The Ens backed way off from 12z yesterday. Other than a few showers Sat nite it looks like mostly a miss south with a nice weekend sandwiched in between a few drops Sat nite A couple months ago and I'm sure you'd be onboard for a "South of the Pike" event, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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