Cold Miser Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/26862-coastal-erosion/ lol!! Sultan of Sandbags...aka Ginxy. Someone que up the SOS signal. Funny sh*t. Not sure why I didn't know that one. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 For entertainment...but the GGEM gives the Monadnocks probably around 2 feet of snow in early May on this run...of course most of the rest of the region also gets in on it, but the crush job for SW NH and S VT is epic this run, lol: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 For entertainment...but the GGEM gives the Monadnocks probably around 2 feet of snow in early May on this run...of course most of the rest of the region also gets in on it, but the crush job for SW NH and S VT is epic this run, lol: What a way for "winter 15-16" to truly end if that verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Will, the snow map on WxBell has a 21.3" jackpot near Ludlow/Okemo on that GGEM solution. 15" at Jaffery, NH. That whole area is pretty much 12-20" in SVT/CVT and SNH/CNH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Lol....Euro has it too, though not nearly to the extent like the GGEM...but it's funny that the upper air is somewhat similar...but you need a pretty special system to get meaningful snow in May: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 26, 2016 Author Share Posted April 26, 2016 Is that how May 78 happened? Same type of setup? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Lol....Euro has it too, though not nearly to the extent like the GGEM...but it's funny that the upper air is somewhat similar...but you need a pretty special system to get meaningful snow in May: So that's the GGEM, GFS and Euro now showing a big wintry system for NNE on next Tuesday....interesting to say the least... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Is that how May 78 happened? Same type of setup? Kind of similar...they both involved closed lows south of us, but May '77 actually took a steeper trajectory from the NW and it was a bit colder even than those progs. The closed low in '77 was more impressive than what those models show...so if we were actually serious about getting something historic, you'd want to see it trend that way. Right now, it's just fodder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Is that how May 78 happened? Same type of setup? I thought you said those talking snow had issues? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 26, 2016 Author Share Posted April 26, 2016 I thought you said those talking snow had issues? Huh? I was just wondering if that was how it could have happened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 I see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 26, 2016 Author Share Posted April 26, 2016 I see. Thanks for helping answer our question! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 26, 2016 Author Share Posted April 26, 2016 Yeah seems like exact same kind of thing The accumulation map from the historic May 1977 snowstorm. Unknown View all 3 photos On the evening of May 8, 1977, a strong double-barrel low pressure system gathered strength across the mid-Atlantic region. One area of low pressure was centered just north of Lake Ontario and the second low pressure was located near Harrisburg, Pennsylvania. As this secondary low pressure slid off the coast on May 9th, it developed into a strong coastal storm that would undergo rapid intensification just south of Cape Cod. Ads by ZINC Farmers Almanac The storm was able to bring an air mass of unseasonably cold air from Canada southward into upstate New York and New England changing rain over to a heavy and wet snow, as just the right ingredients in the atmosphere came together for a significant winter-like event. The storm dropped historic amounts of snow across the region, including more than a foot of snow just west of New Paltz, NY and up to 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 http://meteocentre.com/reanalyses/get_reanalyses.php?lang=en&mod=ncep&area=na&yyyy=1977&mm=05&dd=09&run=00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Anybody seen Champy? How much did he get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 26, 2016 Author Share Posted April 26, 2016 http://meteocentre.com/reanalyses/get_reanalyses.php?lang=en&mod=ncep&area=na&yyyy=1977&mm=05&dd=09&run=00Thanks for replying. Looks like Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Kev calling for 70s this weekend, the Met community? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 26, 2016 Author Share Posted April 26, 2016 Kev calling for 70s this weekend, the Met community? Either side of 70 inland areas yes. As nice as this past weekend but warmer dry air and 850 mb T's hovering around +1 to +3 SW to -1 C NE across the region. at this time of year and the power of ole sol notwithstanding, that's super-adiabatic flip-overs of BL clear to 70 or even 72 i Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Either side of 70 inland areas yes. As nice as this past weekend but warmer dry air and 850 mb T's hovering around +1 to +3 SW to -1 C NE across the region. at this time of year and the power of ole sol notwithstanding, that's super-adiabatic flip-overs of BL clear to 70 or even 72 i Good luck with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Good luck with that. Sunday looks pretty crappy down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 depends... jesus you guys. you say you don't wish on crap weather because it situates your psyche closer to your neurotic obsession with snow (in some petty moral victory), then I read the last 100 post based on a solitary run time and you make that very difficult to believe. first of all, if the 00z GGEM and Euro operational depictions panned out, my analysis for the weekend - which Kevin quoted above - is entirely valid would likely verify given that synoptic layout. the fact that the 12z runs may have changed the landscape - fine. let's go with THAT solution automatically then - okay. this will fall on unavailable minds but the GEFs teleconnectors from the nightly derivatives don't support the 12 z slosh back to absurdity.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Either side of 70 inland areas yes. As nice as this past weekend but warmer dry air and 850 mb T's hovering around +1 to +3 SW to -1 C NE across the region. at this time of year and the power of ole sol notwithstanding, that's super-adiabatic flip-overs of BL clear to 70 or even 72 i "Super adiabatic flip-overs"...did that come to you in your sleep or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 26, 2016 Author Share Posted April 26, 2016 "Super adiabatic flip-overs"...did that come to you in your sleep or something?That was from Tips post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 26, 2016 Author Share Posted April 26, 2016 depends... jesus you guys. you say you don't wish on crap weather because it situates your psyche closer to your neurotic obsession with snow (in some petty moral victory), then I read the last 100 post based on a solitary run time and you make that very difficult to believe. first of all, if the 00z GGEM and Euro operational depictions panned out, my analysis for the weekend - which Kevin quoted above - is entirely valid would likely verify given that synoptic layout. the fact that the 12z runs may have changed the landscape - fine. let's go with THAT solution automatically then - okay. this will fall on unavailable minds but the GEFs teleconnectors from the nightly derivatives don't support the 12 z slosh back to absurdity.. You get these guys that try and hold onto cold and chill all year. Just can't face that we are in warm season. Last weekend got into the mid 60's under a far worse setup. 70 is very possible one or both days in favored locales Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 You get these guys that try and hold onto cold and chill all year. Just can't face that we are in warm season. Last weekend got into the mid 60's under a far worse setup. 70 is very possible one or both days in favored localesmaybe its just we are better at figuring out the LR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 27, 2016 Share Posted April 27, 2016 That was from Tips post Haha that makes more sense...I was thinking you channeled your inner-Tippy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 27, 2016 Share Posted April 27, 2016 The psycho-analyzing in this is riveting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 27, 2016 Share Posted April 27, 2016 The psycho-analyzing in this is riveting Yeah no need to go psycho-analyzing. We're gonna torch this week and into the weekend...Kevin's big big warmth is coming, you just wait!!! At least that is what I read a while ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 27, 2016 Author Share Posted April 27, 2016 How'd those forecasts of a cold crappy week for this week work out? 1 bad day which was captain obvious. But the cold wet awful 5 day siege. How's that look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 27, 2016 Share Posted April 27, 2016 5 day siege? Looks nice and BN. End of week may be cloudy and cool again. I don't know what's worse. The PDS bust yesterday or the calls to install. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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