KPITSnow Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 So maybe I'm hallucinating, but the primary seems to be north of where proffer, and the precip field seems to be expanding further north quicker than expected . Can a met chime in on if I'm just seeing what I want? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Great forecast Allweather 14 to 24 for the southern counties. Thanks! May need to go north a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Won't be able to do 12z ECM PBP as I will be going out for lunch/work soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 http://images.intellicast.com/WxImages/RadarLoop/shd_None_anim.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Hey Matt. Hope everything up your way is going well. All of the Ville Met majors are geared up and ready. I'm liking the LNS area for what Eric has at 16-24". I'm gonna literally be stuck in ground zero in Germantown MD NW of DC proper. This is a meteorological marvel. Enjoy the storm brother. Going to be one to remember down there (and in southern tier counties up here too). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Well we're all geared up here. Looks like a solid 16-24" with significant blowing an drifting likely. Looking forward to the crushing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Here's the latest RPM Its been having a hard time with the meso banding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 So maybe I'm hallucinating, but the primary seems to be north of where proffer, and the precip field seems to be expanding further north quicker than expected . Can a met chime in on if I'm just seeing what I want? I don't think the primary is north but the precip field certainly is taking advantage of the warm air advection overrunning phase. Flakes should start to reach the surface in DC here soon, about 2 hours ahead of schedule. The further north this precip shield can get now to erode the dry air the better before coastal low development. Johnstown airport is reporting light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I always used to be amazed at the number of 20"+ snowstorms BWI and IAD have had compared to NYC and even BOS. But this storm kinda shows you why. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 What map is this from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 What map is this from? NWS NDFD grids... Shows the graidient between CTP and LWX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Euro qpf through 36 hours MDT 1.2 UNV .3 PIT .25 LNS 1.4 THV 1.6 AVP .2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 NWS NDFD grids... Shows the graidient between CTP and LWX Thanks, explains why things aren't lined up. I'm hearing the Euro was drier up this way? Okay... we lost a couple of tenths of QPF from 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irvingtwosmokes Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Light flurries here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Euro qpf through 36 hours MDT 1.2 UNV .3 PIT .25 LNS 1.4 THV 1.6 AVP .2 How does that compare to last nights run? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Have to get back to work but the .25 runs roughly from high point NJ to near State College then southwest to just north of the sw corner of PA 1" runs kinda along 78 to just north of harrisburg then to near somerset or just north of there 2" makes it a few miles into PA near 83 and just west of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 How does that compare to last nights run? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk minor changes, mostly noise at this point. Back to work. Good luck all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 How does that compare to last nights run? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk I think last night LNS was 1.6"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Thanks, explains why things aren't lined up. I'm hearing the Euro was drier up this way? Okay... we lost a couple of tenths of QPF from 0z. That is just through 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I think last night LNS was 1.6"? So basically unchanged. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Euro is a little worse, GEFS is a little better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Good luck fellas, this was another weird one to track, but enjoy the snow! Gotta go into bball mode now, coaching a tourney tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Time for meso models and nowcasting Best of luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 CTP INTERESTING NOTE IS THE NEAR-NESS OF THUNDER IN THE DAY2 OUTLOOK.THE ENERGETIC/DYNAMIC SYSTEM IS DOUBTLESSLY CAPABLE OF INTENSEBANDING AND SLANTWISE INSTABILITY...BUT SPC IS ALSO PINNING SOMEVERTICAL INSTABILITY OVER SERN PA AS WELL. SO THUNDER-SNOWLOVERS...BE PREPARED TO GET YOUR CAMERA ROLLING. BUT WITH RATESOF 0.5-0.75 INCHES OF LIQUID PROGGED TO FALL INSIDE SHORT 3HRBLOCKS ACROSS THE SRN/SERN PARTS OF THE AREA IN THE MIDST OF THESTORM...WE WILL NEED VERY HIGH INSTABILITY TO REALIZE THOSEVALUES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 my best guess...these could easily have to be bumped north a bit as banding along the NW edge often sets up a little NW of progs. We will see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 HRRR speeding things up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 my best guess...these could easily have to be bumped north a bit as banding along the NW edge often sets up a little NW of progs. We will see GOAT.png That works. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 my best guess...these could easily have to be bumped north a bit as banding along the NW edge often sets up a little NW of progs. We will see GOAT.png Crazy as it might seem, I think this looks like a really good call. Good luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 THE WIND DOES SEEM TO BE A FACTOR IN THE EAST...WHERE SUSTAINEDSPEEDS OF 15-20MPH AND GUSTS OF 25-30MPH WILL BE COMMON. THIS ISONE REASON FOR PUTTING SCHUYLKILL CO INTO THE WARNING. THEELEVATIONS THERE MAY ALSO ALLOW FOR MORE SNOW THAN CURRENTLY FCST.TALK OF BLIZZARD WARNING IS WARRANTED...BUT HAVE CHOSEN TO KEEP ITAT A WSW FOR NOW IN CLOSE COLLABORATION WITH OUR NEIGHBORINGOFFICES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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