Hammer Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 39 / 27 here. Holding out hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Holding at 39, hope dp's can continue to drop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Is that a snow forecast for a trace to 0.2" in the NW Piedmont and foothills? LOL. Precision over accuracy right there. Way too exact for a snow forecast. Anyways, 40/31 now. I think the poor gal put the qpf on there for the snow total lol Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 There's a thin snow band over NGA right now. I just hope the temps here go lower than forecasted tonight (which is 36). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldman75 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 48 and clear skies here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Well he(ll), now TWC is predicing "rain/snow late". This is good, guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Rafar is filling in pretty good o er northern Mississippi as well as central alabama moving into north AL over last 2 frames. Just look at the Alabama radar on accuweather. Good signs if it keeps up for the AL and north GA crowd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Radar is filling in pretty good o er northern Mississippi as well as central alabama moving into north AL over last 2 frames. Just look at the Alabama radar on accuweather. Good signs if it keeps up for the AL and north GA crowd. Unfortunately its not even remotely cold enough for anything more than light rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Let's not make up the radar and snow bands guys. No ground truth or site obs showing snow and you can't just assume snow over rain just because temps are in the upper 30s and low 40s. Please correct me if I am wrong because I have been looking. Also here is the AFD from Alabama. Area forecast discussionNational Weather Service Birmingham Alabama904 PM CST Sat Jan 16 2016Update...evening update.&&Discussion...Looking over the latest trends on satellite...radar and short termguidance...precipitation chances appear to be too high. Some weakmiddle level frontogentical forcing is trying to form a band of lightrain over the central part of the state back into southernMississippi but it is going to have a hard time overcoming thedry air in place here. This forcing will quickly shift off to thesoutheast where the best rain chances will be. Will watch theradar trends over the next hour but aside from the band of lightrain...not expecting much across the north and expecting to lowerprobability of precipitation in that area with likely probability of precipitation remaining in the southeast.Also plan to remove the snow wording. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Was at 36/34 an hour ago, but sky is all clouded over now and temp rise has already begun - now at 37/35. Temps always rise when the clouds come in, I could see me getting back in the low 40s. Dewpoints are killing us as we can't wetbulb down far enough. Only way for the upstate to see any snow is if this thing really over-performs with rates and puts it down fast enough to bring down the cold - don't think that's gonna happen with this one. I think the upstate just doesn't have the cold; as usual! Have fun WNC! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Agreed. This thing is moving quick! We may not even have cold chasing moisture. We may have cold chasing much of nothing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Agreed. This thing is moving quick! We may not even have cold chasing moisture. We may have cold chasing much of nothing! Looks like a good chance of a FAIL storm. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Yep not looking to promising Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Agreed. This thing is moving quick! We may not even have cold chasing moisture. We may have cold chasing much of nothing!We only got 0.02. Much less than we were expecting. We are getting some decent winds though. Just gusted to 33mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Looks like a good chance of a FAIL storm. lol Incoming Special Weather Statement for you per Blacksburg AFD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Looks like a good chance of a FAIL storm. lolNo, but wait, all our best snows come when the day before was 60 degrees, it's gotta snow, it was 62 today, prepare for glory! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 17, 2016 Author Share Posted January 17, 2016 Looks like a good chance of a FAIL storm. lol There's a reason I titled this thread "Wintry Event" rather than "Winter Storm," ha. 39/30, OV. I think we'll be okay on temperatures, but the short-range modeling is not looking too hot on precip. Looks like we could get split here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Sitting here with my laptop near an open window, and I couldn't help but notice a small, crisp wind gust blow across me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 There's a reason I titled this thread "Wintry Event" rather than "Winter Storm," ha. 39/30, OV. I think we'll be okay on temperatures, but the short-range modeling is not looking too hot on precip. Looks like we could get split here. haha gotcha, I shouldn't use such strong language like that! Storm what was I thinking???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 James I was thinking the same thing. Just looked over modeling and the trend isn't our friend. Be honest right now I'll be suprised if mby sees anything. 6 hours ago wouldn't have said that. Precip is gonna stay to consolidated with sfc lp. Not a window of opportunity to get the moisture in here long enough if even at all. Maybe it will look different at sunrise. Time to go chase the mid and late week threats anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 There's something about this low that makes me think it'll turn into something huge within a few hours.. Can't quite put my finger on it. (TWC future radar barely works if that means anything) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 32/25 under mostly clear skies...feeling good about this one! (Well, if feeling good about possibly getting an inch of snow is a thing...) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 30/25 .. Hope to wake up to some flakes in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 The snow just increased its coverage over NGA by a considerable amount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Anyone know what the Euro shows for hours 18 through 24? They are missing on Wundergroup. The 27 hour map shows snow NE of the Triangle, but there could as easily be some further west before that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 The snow just increased its coverage over NGA by a considerable amount. Here is a current surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Anyone know what the Euro shows for hours 18 through 24? They are missing on Wundergroup. The 27 hour map shows snow NE of the Triangle, but there could as easily be some further west before that. Instead of trying to explain it, here's a small snippet of hr 18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Here is a current surface. Darn, didn't even think about that.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 41/34 Cloudy with a steady N wind. The winds have been from either the NW or N since late Sat. afternoon. Radar is looking decent for whatever comes this way. At the very least I hope we can get some sleet mixed in with the rain that way I don't feel completely shut out. http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=ffc&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 17, 2016 Author Share Posted January 17, 2016 James I was thinking the same thing. Just looked over modeling and the trend isn't our friend. Be honest right now I'll be suprised if mby sees anything. 6 hours ago wouldn't have said that. Precip is gonna stay to consolidated with sfc lp. Not a window of opportunity to get the moisture in here long enough if even at all. Maybe it will look different at sunrise. Time to go chase the mid and late week threats anyway. Looks like the 05z HRRR tries to close the gap. Guess we'll just have to see in the morning. It's going to be a crapshoot. Anyways, 38/29, OV. EDIT: As of 1 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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