easternsnowman Posted September 22, 2015 Share Posted September 22, 2015 NWS' October outlook is a downright torch for SC PA. You want to have the torch early, however this winter further north with elevation means something! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted September 22, 2015 Share Posted September 22, 2015 Picked up 0.12 last night. That brings my September total rainfall so far to 5.54 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted September 23, 2015 Author Share Posted September 23, 2015 If the month ended today, the rainfall total of 0.67" would be the second-driest September on recorded history (1901-present), and there's a good chance that could be the final number. The mean temperature of 70.4 is currently up 2 degrees for the warmest September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted September 24, 2015 Share Posted September 24, 2015 If the month ended today, the rainfall total of 0.67" would be the second-driest September on recorded history (1901-present), and there's a good chance that could be the final number. The mean temperature of 70.4 is currently up 2 degrees for the warmest September. I was thinking the temp/rainfall numbers for September were pretty extreme this year but didn't realize it was that crazy. Looks like little chance of rain through the end of the month and temperatures staying in the 70s too. Crazy to think we could still only be a few weeks away from talking about snow flurries if we can get a pattern change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted September 24, 2015 Share Posted September 24, 2015 Really has been some prefect weather. Looking up at the mountains you can see a few trees starting to change. When are we going to see our first frost? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 24, 2015 Share Posted September 24, 2015 What are the chances the Pope is speaking to a few hundred thousand Saturday in downtown Philly in the pouring rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 25, 2015 Share Posted September 25, 2015 What are the chances the Pope is speaking to a few hundred thousand Saturday in downtown Philly in the pouring rain? I would bet against that. The trends in the numerical guidance, especially the American camp, are for a drier solution in Philly. Looking at the long range, we probably have two weeks to squeak out a cheap 80+ degree reading before we start the true plunge into autumn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 25, 2015 Share Posted September 25, 2015 I've never seen the Susky look so low as to its current state. I guess I'm not alone, here is a video on pennlive saying the same. http://www.pennlive.com/midstate/index.ssf/2015/09/how_low_is_the_susquehanna_riv.html#incart_river_home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted September 26, 2015 Author Share Posted September 26, 2015 I've never seen the Susky look so low as to its current state. I guess I'm not alone, here is a video on pennlive saying the same. http://www.pennlive.com/midstate/index.ssf/2015/09/how_low_is_the_susquehanna_riv.html#incart_river_home I'll have to take a picture later of the Susquehanna under the Black Diamond Railroad Bridge. It's getting so dry up here you can almost walk from one side of the riverbank to the other. Never seen so much land exposed. The river up here is actually recording negative depth; if I recall, that is to indicate the water level has fallen below the gauge measuring height. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted September 28, 2015 Share Posted September 28, 2015 Rain's coming all at once this week lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 28, 2015 Share Posted September 28, 2015 Oh man, dat EURO...lol. Still need another 6" on top of that to get fun though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted September 28, 2015 Share Posted September 28, 2015 Rain's coming all at once this week lol. Yeah, this is crazy. Hearing in the NE forum that the 18z continue the trend to soakville. At least the sponge is rather dry and ready to soak some of it up. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted September 29, 2015 Author Share Posted September 29, 2015 Lol, we could wipe out almost the entire yearly deficit on some models verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 Guess we will see. Looks like a wet one on the eastern seaboard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 To bad its not like 20 degrees We do need the rain. I have never seen my yard as bad as it is right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 We do need the rain. I have never seen my yard as bad as it is right now. Indeed we do, but it appears as though the potential is there for excessive rainfall through the weekend. 1-3 inches from the midweek event, and then the possibility of MUCH MORE over the weekend depending on how everything plays out with Joaquin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 To bad its not like 20 degrees We do need the rain. I have never seen my yard as bad as it is right now. I was just gonna say that..... Thank you kind sir Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 It feels like freaking July 2 outside this morning, gross and humid and hot and sticky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 I was just gonna say that..... Thank you kind sir It feels like freaking July 2 outside this morning, gross and humid and hot and sticky. it really was sticky this am. anybody have thoughts for the weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 Somebody is going to get drenched. Fire departments in PA will be busy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 Somebody is going to get drenched. Fire departments in PA will be busy. it appears that way doesn't it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 My life depends on this run of the EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 My life depends on this run of the EURO your life, really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 My life depends on this run of the EURO What does it show? 06Z GFS showed over 5" throughout PA and then NE through this weekend. Saturday event looks pretty wild with cutoff low overhead. Don't think I'll eclipse the 4" 24-hour total from back in June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 What does it show? 06Z GFS showed over 5" throughout PA and then NE through this weekend. Saturday event looks pretty wild with cutoff low overhead. Don't think I'll eclipse the 4" 24-hour total from back in June. Nothing spectacular. Only about 4" of rain and total deflection of Joaquin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 Nothing spectacular. Only about 4" of rain and total deflection of Joaquin. Not so sure that will be the final outcome though. i mean 4" of rain would be more then enough to put some life back in my plants, other then that we dont need severe flooding etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 Then there's this member of the GEFS: www.atmos.albany.edu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 Looks like wind won't be too much of an issue with the weekend storm, which is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 It will be interesting to see if we get a coherent inverted trough associated with Joaquin swing through the region. With enhanced low-level convergence and a plume of tropical moisture, that would be an efficient rain-producer. Meanwhile, it looks as if the heaviest rain today has been in the north and west regions of PA, where the best mid-level frontogenesis is located. We should start getting in to some of the heavier precipitation tonight as a weak low develops along the cold/stationary front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 I suspect this 18z run of the GFS has the weenies Joaquin-off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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