Ginx snewx Posted May 30, 2015 Author Share Posted May 30, 2015 GFS print qpf has me with 4.67 Between Sun and Wed, probably not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 Maybe some TOR's tomorrow pike south in warm sector Ed Vallee @EdValleeWx 14m 14 minutes ago Would not be surprised to see a few isolated tornadoes Sunday PM from NY to New England along warm front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 I feel like someone is going to get crushed with rain tomtrow aftn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 30, 2015 Author Share Posted May 30, 2015 I feel like someone is going to get crushed with rain tomtrow aftn. setup is there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 30, 2015 Author Share Posted May 30, 2015 round Twosday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 I feel like someone is going to get crushed with rain tomtrow aftn.How about Tors? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 Best Feb of our lives and now best May of our lives. This is how we do seasons in seasons @ericfisher: With 2 days to go, it's been the hottest May ever recorded in Windsor Locks, CT (Bradley Airport). High of 86 today. http://t.co/ixL3jaHdBw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 look at what a lack of winter weather does to us all...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 What lack? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 What lack? hard to be excited about the "potential" for an inch or two of rain but we do really need it everywhere....as much as i offer and encourage constructive dialogue during our winter weather threats this warm weather stuff is just not the same... ill tell all of you one thing, fishing is at least three weeks behind where i am in southern ri for work, water is still cold and only slowly warming down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 GFS has almost a cstl front like feature too. Pretty neat. When the land is warmer than the ocean ... must be a backward cold front. I realize a sprawler is migrating N of the area, and that puts us both in a baroclinically active region but also in a cool, anomalous flow, but I don't think over-land atmosphere is going to be colder than 55 F at this time of year. At least ...not substantially enough for coastal boundary mechanics in the typical sense. We'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 gfs really has a soaker for boston/pike area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 12z NAM just bombs the Adirondacks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 Looks like I'm driving to Jackman if I want to play golf on my off days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 The NAM has me in the 40s from 33hr through 84hr (would probably extend through 96hr). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 30, 2015 Author Share Posted May 30, 2015 hard to be excited about the "potential" for an inch or two of rain but we do really need it everywhere....as much as i offer and encourage constructive dialogue during our winter weather threats this warm weather stuff is just not the same... ill tell all of you one thing, fishing is at least three weeks behind where i am in southern ri for work, water is still cold and only slowly warming down here Agree 100%, and yea although peeps tell me stripers are hot right now and fluke slamming on the reefs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 The whole thing is very winter like. Just the mere proposal of a lower troposphere blocking high pressure, with trough approaching from the NW and inducing inflow in the 800-600 mb depths... forced into isentropic instability, then evacuated by difluence above in the ~ 500 surface, is all quite reminiscent of the types of event structures observed in the colder climes of the year. It's anomalous relative to time of year, and again ... it hearkens to a "tendency" for me, blocking that I personally believe began some 18 months or so ago, and has continued all over the NH really. From mock winter synoptic evolutions that parlay mere rainy days to unwitting minds, to dying Indians ..it's all a weird bent the atmosphere has to split the flow above and below the middle latitudes, and whenever the two are out of phase, you end up with these transient train-wrecks ...spitting out anomalies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 The NAM has me in the 40s from 33hr through 84hr (would probably extend through 96hr). Seems a bit zealous ...but, heh.. I just got done mentioning that we are in a kind of longer duration propensity for odd-ball scenarios so what the hell - Maybe we can white the roof-top to your NW while we're at it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 Seems a bit zealous ...but, heh.. I just got done mentioning that we are in a kind of longer duration propensity for odd-ball scenarios so what the hell - Maybe we can white the roof-top to your NW while we're at it It may be...but whether it's 2 straight days of upper 40s or 50-55F it's still going to be a sensible mess. I'm willing to sacrifice a couple of murky days to start the work week considering how beautiful May has been and how it still looks nice overall late week through next weekend. I have pulled off 48+ hours of 40s before close to this late in the season. Looking back on my data...my max temps on 5/27 and 5/28 in 2009 were 49.6F and 48.0F respectively with over 1" of liquid combined amongst those days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 Tomorrow looks like a soaker to me. Sort of odd setup too with a backdoor-esque front sliding south from Maine and elevated instability residing over the developing steep inversion. I think someone gets totally drenched tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 GFS pushes the boundary down to PHL by Mon AM now. 80s cancel for forky? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 Tomorrow looks like a soaker to me. Sort of odd setup too with a backdoor-esque front sliding south from Maine and elevated instability residing over the developing steep inversion. I think someone gets totally drenched tomorrow. Mulch bed washouts? I agree...that's one of those deals where someone gets like 3+ in a short time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 GFS pushes the boundary down to PHL by Mon AM now. 80s cancel for forky? Mid 40s for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 And the GFS verbatim is 2 record low maxes here...easily in the 40s with plenty of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 Mid 40s for you? Yeah...no cheap midnight max on these runs either. 40s by 3z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 Yeah...no cheap midnight max on these runs either. 40s by 3z. Whatever your maxs are I usually subtract 2 or 3. Better fire up the woodburning stove. Really need the rain so I don't mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 rain and temps that cold give me massive gardening anxiety. can almost hear the celosia roots rotting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 rain and temps that cold give me massive gardening anxiety. can almost hear the celosia roots rotting. At least we got a quick start on the soil temps. 6" has already been running mid/upper 60s for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 Maybe later in day but I don't see much rain south of pike till mid- late Pm. Could see breaks of sun in morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 30, 2015 Share Posted May 30, 2015 And if we do get some sun.. Ed's point on spinners south of puke tomorrow is legit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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