CoastalWx Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 Look at HP. All you need to see The 500 pattern helps govern the surface features. If that PV is really pressing then it goes south. You are also fighing a trough in the Rockies which wants to force it north...nevermind time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 If it's not snow in SNE it's 5 days in a row of rain and low - mid 30's for all.. So you damn well better wish for snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 The 500 pattern helps govern the surface features. If that PV is really pressing then it goes south. You are also fighing a trough in the Rockies which wants to force it north...nevermind time of year.ASOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 If it's not snow in SNE it's 5 days in a row of rain and low - mid 30's for all.. So you damn well better wish for snow If the weather did what we wished, I'd have 600" of snow this winter and would be BBQing in flip flops right now next to a 25 foot snowpack. Unfortunately it don't work like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 ASOUT ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 Well at this stage it's wait and see. I certainly would keep an eye on it for sure north of the pike. About all you can say at this juncture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 what's asout mean again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 Well at this stage it's wait and see. I certainly would keep an eye on it for sure north of the pike. About all you can say at this juncture. Yeah, or it could also be a 34F rain here while Montreal to Jackman gets buried haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 what's asout mean again?As some of us thoughtOften used as an indirect form of AIT: as I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 Yeah, or it could also be a 34F rain here while Montreal to Jackman gets buried haha. I posted a month or so ago that the storm track would delay its move to a favorable one (for NNE) until it was too late and would just make for cold rain, maybe with a few catspaws. Love to be wrong... (about the too late part) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 ??Oh.. The cold Hp. Bet it ends up snowy down to Nyc like 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 Oh.. The cold Hp. Bet it ends up snowy down to Nyc like 2010 you keep mentioning 2010? when was the snowstorm in April 2010? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 you keep mentioning 2010? when was the snowstorm in April 2010?Umm there were 2 in the first week. Look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 Umm there were 2 in the first week. Look Link, the Box site doesn't have any snow data for that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 Link, the Box site doesn't have any snow data for that NYC site doesn't either for April 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 Kevin April 2010 was a torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 Link, the Box site doesn't have any snow data for that Maybe I have the year wrong then..could have been 08 0r 09. Snow outs at Yankee stadium..Either way..it's similar to that setup and lead up. Details TBD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 it was April 9th 2003 and there was also an event a day or 2 prior to that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 Maybe I have the year wrong then..could have been 08 0r 09. Snow outs at Yankee stadium..Either way..it's similar to that setup and lead up. Details TBD I think you're off by 7 years... http://www.nytimes.com/2003/04/08/sports/baseball-snowstorm-foils-the-boys-of-summer.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 Maybe I have the year wrong then..could have been 08 0r 09. Snow outs at Yankee stadium..Either way..it's similar to that setup and lead up. Details TBD 03 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 it was April 9th 2003 and there was also an event a day or 2 prior to that hey 2010,2003 close enough lol 2003-04-07 38 30 34.0 -16.0 31 0 0.56 4.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 You know me and my years and how i mix them up. #old Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 GFS is really nice looking for NNE on Fri night/Sat morning. If things break right, it could be an epic week for the ski resorts up north...GFS is still a bit north for mid-week to smoke them, but it's really close...a bit better than 12z. That boundary won't be resolved for another several days though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 Kevin April 2010 was a torchThat was the year where NE VT had it's biggest snowfall of the season on April 26-28. Even BTV got 6"...but the western slope towns got 12-24" along with the ski areas and parts of the NE Kingdom. I think that was the poster klm' largest of the season by far.That's the largest late season event I've ever seen. And it was a torch so all the leaves were out. I remember green leaves and like 18" of snow above 700ft on the west slope towns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 GFS is really nice looking for NNE on Fri night/Sat morning. If things break right, it could be an epic week for the ski resorts up north...GFS is still a bit north for mid-week to smoke them, but it's really close...a bit better than 12z. That boundary won't be resolved for another several days though. Still snowy SNE Easter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 GFS is really nice looking for NNE on Fri night/Sat morning. If things break right, it could be an epic week for the ski resorts up north...GFS is still a bit north for mid-week to smoke them, but it's really close...a bit better than 12z. That boundary won't be resolved for another several days though. Fri night and Sat on that 18z GFS is about perfect up here right now. It got a little stronger and seemed to juice up a bit closer to the EURO levels. It also had some light snow in SNE for Easter into Monday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 The GFS sends that boundary quickly south Tuesday night. What a mess for models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 I'd agree with BTV's thoughts of 2-5" potential, maybe spot 6-7" highest terrain. ----------- If spots do hit 60f Friday, that would be the first time since around last Thanksgiving, a seemingly long time ago indeed. Welcomed warmth is relatively short-lived however, as by Friday night a fairly robust surface wave will ride along the front to our immediate south with a general re-blossoming of widespread precipitation. Most challenging will be the near-surface thermal profiles and timing of p-type changeover from rain to snow as flow trends northerly and cold thermal advection begins in earnest through the lower and middle levels. Leaned toward the milder/less snow scenario during the first half of the night given prior day's mild temperatures and ground temperature response. However by later at night enough cooling such that most areas will have transitioned to a light to moderate wet snow with some accumulations possible. Best estimate at this point will be for accumulations to range generally in the 2 to 5 inch range (less far southern valleys and locally higher to 6/7 inches in favored higher terrain locales across the north). With surface/ground temperatures hovering around freezing mainly a minor impact event expected, though a reminder that the cold winter of 2014/15 hasn't totally played his last card quite yet. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 GFS coming in warmer for Sat. Congrats Montreal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 GFS coming in warmer for Sat. Congrats Montreal?Not really. Still looks good for NNE. Not sure if I'm missing something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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