downeastnc Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Fraz you gonna get hit hard by the storm but the rotation gonna pass 5-6 miles south of you...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Last frame shows it weakened considerably....most likely not producing at this point.....crossing Hwy 1 about 2-3 miles north of Sandford Ok , that's a little further dowm. Thanks for your help. Isaw it hook on my tablet and told my wife to find the folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Thats 1 mile south of me Oh I was using google earth and Mancure in that case go get some good pics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Fraz you gonna get hit hard by the storm but the rotation gonna pass 5-6 miles south of you...... Yeah lots of wind and rain now. Big bolts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Why was there no watch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 That cell to its south ran up on it and shut off the inflow and killed the rotation for now, looks like that squall line might finally be taking shape..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bhs1975 Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Velocity signature is weakening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Oh I was using google earth and Mancure in that case go get some good pics [/quote]no you were right all along. I got a little excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Storm seems to be moving northeast and headed my way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Cudos to my wife. She stayed on the porch with me the whole time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Cell near Siler City needs a warning soon as well, couplet really trying to get organized and it looks to cross very near or just west of Siler City...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 SPC really dropped the ball on this. There are some nasty storms out there now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Somebody wake up the watch issuer guy before Brick has a total coniption. Please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 SPC really dropped the ball on this. There are some nasty storms out there now. That's what the elevated risk part of today's severe is/was all about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Yep central and east NC is looking nice for severe and a line seems to be coming together for the Columbia area in SC, but it all over in the upstate was of the Broad river unless that line on the NC/Tenn border does something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 I know we got a few posters in Siler City, I hope they are paying attention cause they are about to get hammered, must be a nice low wall cloud with that rotation and its gonna pass right over Siler City it looks like.....still no warning of any kind on that cell though... its got maybe 10-15 more mins to produce before that cell to the south runs into it ...... new couplet with the Sandford storm as well forming way back near where the other one was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowacane Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Somebody wake up the watch issuer guy before Brick has a total coniption. Please! Lets name him the watcher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 That's what the elevated risk part of today's severe is/was all about. I was on the front porch waiting on the storms. It was cool to watch the two cells come together. I was in the center of the merge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 That's what the elevated risk part of today's severe is/was all about. They do need to issue a watch though in parts of NC and SC. The radar justifies it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 That's what the elevated risk part of today's severe is/was all about. You mean enhanced? Yes, but they didn't do anything because of the clouds this morning. Seems to be the wrong call now. More severe storms today than yesterday when there was a watch, and nothing today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Whats interesting to me is with all of this activity flying around it is dead calm here now in the western triad. No wind at all. Grilling in the sun on the back deck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 You mean enhanced? Yes, but they didn't do anything because of the clouds this morning. Seems to be the wrong call now. More severe storms today than yesterday when there was a watch, and nothing today. Is it Monday morning already? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Here ya go Fraz 2146 1 NW CUMNOCK LEE NC 3555 7924 TORNADO ON THE GROUND AT THE 421/421 BUSINESS INTERCHANGE. TORNADO RESULTED IN A COUPLE TREES DOWN AND MINOR SHINGLE DAMAGE. (RAH) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... southeastern Chatham County in central North Carolina... southwestern Wake County in central North Carolina... northern Harnett County in central North Carolina... Lee County in central North Carolina... * until 700 PM EDT * at 613 PM EDT...Doppler radar indicated a severe thunderstorm capable of producing quarter size hail and damaging winds in excess of 58 mph. This storm was located 8 miles northeast of Sanford... and moving east at 30 mph. * Locations impacted include... Cary...Sanford...Lillington...Fuquay-Varina...Angier...apex...Holly Springs...Broadway...Seminole and Cumnock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 I'm really surprised by the lack of any kind of watch out for the area; if that rotation near Wilmington wouldn't have weakened that would of been chase able lol it was about 40 mins from me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Mesoscale Discussion 1215 [an error occurred while processing this directive] MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1215 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0523 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015 AREAS AFFECTED...CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA PIEDMONT INTO COASTAL AREAS CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 272223Z - 280030Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT SUMMARY...AT LEAST SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION THROUGH MID TO LATE EVENING. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS APPEAR THE PRIMARY THREAT IN STRONGER STORMS. THE POTENTIAL FOR UPSCALE CONVECTIVE GROWTH INTO AN EVOLVING MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM REMAINS UNCLEAR...BUT SEEMS LOW AT THIS POINT. UNLESS THIS OCCURS...THE SEVERE WIND POTENTIAL MAY REMAIN SOMEWHAT SPOTTY IN NATURE. DISCUSSION...DUE TO GENERALLY WEAK LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RATES AND LIMITED SURFACE HEATING...MIXED LAYER CAPE ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION IS RATHER MODEST...TO THE SOUTH OF A CONVECTIVELY REINFORCED FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS THE EASTERN VIRGINIA PANHANDLE AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA INTO THE DELMARVA PENINSULA. ASIDE FROM A CORRIDOR OF STRONGER HEATING TO AROUND 90F ACROSS THE SOUTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT...WHERE CAPE MAY BE IN EXCESS OF 2000 J/KG... VALUES APPEAR GENERALLY ON THE ORDER OF 1000-1500 J/KG ELSEWHERE. IN THE WAKE OF THE CONVECTIVE BAND NOW SPREADING INTO/THROUGH THE DELMARVA PENINSULA...SOUTHERLY 850 MB FLOW /AND LOW-LEVEL SHEAR/ IS FAIRLY WEAK. BUT SOUTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW IS AT LEAST MODEST IN STRENGTH /30-40 KT AROUND 500 MB/....AHEAD OF A SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE TROUGH GRADUALLY PIVOTING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY. AS THIS IMPULSE APPROACHES THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS LATER THIS EVENING...MODELS SUGGEST THAT IT WILL TAKE ON AN INCREASINGLY NEUTRAL TO NEGATIVE TILT. FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE...COUPLED WITH SEASONABLY STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR... WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE AT LEAST SOME POTENTIAL FOR STRONG/SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT...INCLUDING ISOLATED SUPERCELLS. GIVEN THE MOIST NATURE OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER...AND PERHAPS SOME DRYING IN MID-LEVELS...HEAVY PRECIPITATION LOADING AND EVAPORATIVE COOLING NEAR DOWNDRAFTS MAY CONTRIBUTE TO THE RISK FOR STRONG SURFACE GUSTS. ..KERR/WEISS.. 06/27/2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Fraz go look out your front door you might see a tornado or at least a hell of a wall cloud Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Tornado warning for Wake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Fraz go look out your front door you might see a tornado or at least a hell of a wall cloud Im on the ft porch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Getting windy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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