RedSky Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Kamu is front seat for 12" snowpile FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 4, 2015 Author Share Posted March 4, 2015 EC is 7" at TTN on a 10:1 ratio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 You and that cras Ralph... Lol Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 4, 2015 Author Share Posted March 4, 2015 GFS and GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_AR_ Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I hope this hits Phl to Abe. I'll just take an inch or two refresher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 No comment on 6z GFS? Guess cause it is way south..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Treckasec Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 No comment on 6z GFS? Guess cause it is way south..... Was not expecting that. Went from nearly a foot to 4-5 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 More disconcerting was the fact the NAM ticked south ever so slightly. Dont need to be seeing that at this range. GFS is just garbage since the upgrade imo. Been put to the test a few times and failed miserably. Could it be onto something with the lower amounts? Maybe but im not sure if the GFS is actually "lowering amounts" or just that the NAM is overdone and the GFS is just being more realistic? However the higher qpf NAM does have support sooooo. A blend of the two seems reasonable at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 No comment on 6z GFS? Guess cause it is way south..... or maybe because it was 5 am when it came out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 or maybe because it was 5 am when it came out. Or maybe because it's been an outlier from the get go? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Or maybe because it could be onto something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Just wanted to drop by and give you guys props for an epic comeback this year. Glad we can all share in the shear epicosity of this storied season. We snow. You snow. We all snow. I think we all have one more good shot just aftetr the equinox, or thereabouts... Peace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 SREF Plumes have over 8 inches as the mean for philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Just wanted to drop by and give you guys props for an epic comeback this year. Glad we can all share in the shear epicosity of this storied season. We snow. You snow. We all snow. I think we all have one more good shot just aftetr the equinox, or thereabouts... Peace. Thanks, much appreciated. Good luck getting that last 2" to put Boston over the top...enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 More disconcerting was the fact the NAM ticked south ever so slightly. Dont need to be seeing that at this range. GFS is just garbage since the upgrade imo. Been put to the test a few times and failed miserably. Could it be onto something with the lower amounts? Maybe but im not sure if the GFS is actually "lowering amounts" or just that the NAM is overdone and the GFS is just being more realistic? However the higher qpf NAM does have support sooooo. A blend of the two seems reasonable at this point. I hear ya on that. The worst thing now is the 12z guidance literally push all the heavy precip even further south. Don't think that will happen, but you like to see the trend stay consistent and in the right direction. Anyway, NAM is rolling in, let's see what it does as we are now in its range. Pretty much all mesoscale models kick in now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Or maybe because it could be onto something Or maybe we're going hmmm...2 runs in a row...hmmm.......lets see what the 12z runs show.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I hear ya on that. The worst thing now is the 12z guidance literally push all the heavy precip even further south. Don't think that will happen, but you like to see the trend stay consistent and in the right direction. Anyway, NAM is rolling in, let's see what it does as we are now in its range. Pretty much all mesoscale models kick in now. The GFS seems to have been weakening the waves of low pressure along the front. I'm thinking that could be part of what's allowing the front to push further south? (for the GFS anyway) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Starting to think this is a 3-5" storm for Philly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Starting to think this is a 3-5" storm for Philly Nam is terrible for all of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 4, 2015 Author Share Posted March 4, 2015 Yeah, this trend is not a friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 My call is 3-6 for TTN. Gonna stick to that. I think south of TTN may see more though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 This is a 2-4" storm for phl....1-3" nw burbs. Game, set, match. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Red Sky either jumped or hasn't seen the NAM yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Somebody check on him. Weenie suicide watch should be issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Looks like those models bullseyeing s jersey 5 days ago may have been onto somethng after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 This is a 2-4" storm for phl....1-3" nw burbs. Game, set, match. Heh, well as much as I am not liking this southward movement of the better snows - I am not ready to go this low with snow amounts yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I'm gonna wait for the RGEM before calling bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I'm gonna wait for the entire 12z suite before calling bust. Fixed it for ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lman Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Wow people jumping off the Walt Whitman based off the 2 worst models all season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 NAM in its wheelhouse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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