TalcottWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 ericfisher 30m30 minutes ago If Boston gets 10.3" of snow from this storm, the city will have seen more snow in 3 weeks than Chicago has ever seen in an entire winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 And I remind you, 8-12 is a big event in any season. We haven't permanently moved to Valdez. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Wow if you go by the HRRR? It says Rhode Island you are Fine! Gonna get killed in Part 1 AND Part 2 while Boston HS this Weird Firehouse Directly from its Northeast in the Gulf of Maine. HRRR says Watch out! Big and Fun storm incoming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 ericfisher 30m30 minutes ago If Boston gets 10.3" of snow from this storm, the city will have seen more snow in 3 weeks than Chicago has ever seen in an entire winter. I hope it happens so I can shove that down my Chicago relatives throat...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I am shocked Mike Wankum of all people going 12+ in Boston now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 ericfisher 30m30 minutes ago If Boston gets 10.3" of snow from this storm, the city will have seen more snow in 3 weeks than Chicago has ever seen in an entire winter. Amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 And I remind you, 8-12 is a big event in any season. We haven't permanently moved to Valdez.yea with winds to 55-60 and temps falling into single numbers by the end just f in pedestrian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I am shocked Mike Wankum of all people going 12+ in Boston now. Eric Fisher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I am shocked Mike Wankum of all people going 12+ in Boston now. I'm presuming numbers have to have Harvey's approval. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I'm holding on to my weenie hope that the mid levels bomb between 6z and 12z down to about 258DM at 12z and we get a tuck. Do I believe this....no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2015 Author Share Posted February 14, 2015 1" New Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 It's been from the get go not about epic snow totals,don't know if some expected 14-18 in Plymouth Mass but they sure as hell are going to know they are in the teeth of a beast. 2 New so far It's windy all the time here, most will think it busted if they don't get big snow totals. A frog farts on the ocean and it gusts to 30. It's about the snow, and the roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 My Qpf just axed in half here on the GFS and back to reality I'm expecting about 4 to 5 inches here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I'm presuming numbers have to have Harvey's approval. I think they will make a shift downward later, and they will say they expect the storm to get going a bit later and we "appear to have dodged" a bullet. Thou it could be "close". Reason being..... no modeling supports Harv's 5-10" + call in the A.M anymore, unless of course he is forecasting going by climo of 5H closed low going under us and favorable mid level tracks and I surely wouldn't be silly enough to question him if he did that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
walthsnow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I am hoping for a snowfall towards the upper end of the forecast but will be happy either way. Kind of cool nowcasting this and watching it unfold. I'm thinking 8" or so here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I think they will make a shift downward later, and they will say they expect the storm to get going a bit later and we "appear to have dodged" a bullet. Thou it could be "close" 8-14" within 495. Sticking by it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2015 Author Share Posted February 14, 2015 I'm holding on to my weenie hope that the mid levels bomb between 6z and 12z down to about 258DM at 12z and we get a tuck. Do I believe this....no. Honestly, at this stage....all the OCD RE meso models drives me nuts...yes, I realize its a wx board, so it is not wrong...my problem, I know. But at this point, I just assume look out the window, take a walk down the street, and check out RAD and SAT loops. Just me, but the whole the whole "3:35pm run of the RHFYAK model has backed off of the 3:17pm run, but it still heavier than the HYYSI model, which has gotten heavier since its last run 20 minutes ago". We'll see what it has on the next run in 10 minutes". Again, just me....not telling anyone to stop, before anyone flames me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Everything going as planned . WAA snows then lull then more tomorrow. Carry on with model watching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Honestly, at this stage....all the OCD RE meso models drives me nuts...yes, I realize its a wx board, so it is not wrong...my problem, I know. But at this point, I just assume look out the window, take a walk down the street, and check out RAD and SAT loops. Just me, but the whole the whole "3:35pm run of the RHFYAK model has backed off of the 3:17pm run, but it still heavier than the HYYSI model, which has gotten heavier since its last run 20 minutes ago". We'll see what it has on the next run in 10 minutes". Again, just me....not telling anyone to stop, before anyone flames me By and large I still find the HRRR and RAP useless. By the time they change to the final solution it's already blatantly obvious to everyone. Today is a case in point,this morning they hammered CT. How'd that work out? Now they hammer me....give it six hours and it'll be 2 whales and a seal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Please stop with the bad analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2015 Author Share Posted February 14, 2015 Didn't have that crap 8 years ago when I first joined......once it started snowing, we nowcasted the $hit out of things, and just had fun with obs....these days, you can't blink without having a meso model shoved down your throat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Final call 8.5" in BOS. Still more than enough to be a high impact storm when you consider the antecedent situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Everything going as planned . WAA snows then lull then more tomorrow. Carry on with model watching Does southern NH get into the lull? if so "approx." time frame?? ty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I'm holding on to my weenie hope that the mid levels bomb between 6z and 12z down to about 258DM at 12z and we get a tuck. Do I believe this....no. Becoming doubtful a warning verifies in the NW zones. The curse of the Winter of 2014-15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2015 Author Share Posted February 14, 2015 By and large I still find the HRRR and RAP useless. By the time they change to the final solution it's already blatantly obvious to everyone. Today is a case in point,this morning they hammered CT. How'd that work out? Now they hammer me....give it six hours and it'll be 2 whales and a seal. I'm not arguing with you at all. At this point, I'd just assume enjoy whatever I get.....if models haven't figured it out as the event unfolds, how much value are they really adding at this stage? And I'm not saying this to blindly expect 20"......I know the lofty expectations aren't going to work. Just wanna enjoy a snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Didn't have that crap 8 years ago when I first joined......once it started snowing, we nowcasted the $hit out of things, and just had fun with obs....these days, you can't blink without having a meso model shoved down your throat. YUP. We once used meso models to support positions, now they are the positions. I'll stick with 4-8" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Does southern NH get into the lull? if so "approx." time frame?? ty Does southern NH get into the lull? if so "approx." time frame?? ty Probably somewhere 10:00-11:00 pm..then will fill back in after a several hour light up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 ericfisher 30m30 minutes ago If Boston gets 10.3" of snow from this storm, the city will have seen more snow in 3 weeks than Chicago has ever seen in an entire winter. Gonna need a little more than that...89.7" is the top dog for Chicago (set in 1978-79). BOS has 74.0" in the last three weeks, though yesterday. Which of course is amazing. Regardless, a ridiculous amount snow for you all. Good luck and enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Hopefully Will can make a post on latest ideas to bring some good analysis back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Parking ban & snow emergency, MBTA shutting down at midnight, my boss texts us that we are open. Tell me how I am supposed to get to and from work? Do I just tell him it's impossible to get there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.